Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform" (maintained rating) [8] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry outlook for Q3 is optimistic, with a focus on domestic computing power and self-controllable directions. The release of DeepSeek V3.1 model is expected to catalyze industry turning points by optimizing for next-generation domestic chips [2][16] - Nvidia's H20 chip sales plans may change, highlighting the long-term importance of establishing a domestic computing chip supply chain. Domestic model development companies are expected to increase procurement and usage of domestic chips [3][17] - The global AI smart glasses market is projected to see significant growth, with a 110% year-on-year increase in shipments in H1 2025. Major companies are expected to launch new AI smart glasses, driving demand [4][18] Summary by Sections Q3 Semiconductor Outlook - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 is designed for next-generation domestic chips, enhancing the synergy between domestic computing power and models, which is expected to accelerate the self-controllable process in the industry [2][16] - Nvidia has paused production of H20 chips for the Chinese market, indicating a shift towards developing a new AI chip based on the Blackwell architecture, which is expected to outperform H20 [3][17] July Semiconductor Industry Data - In July, the semiconductor supply chain showed stable growth, with rising orders in wafer foundry and packaging testing sectors. The overall delivery times are expected to increase, with prices continuing to rise [5][19] - The semiconductor market is entering a recovery phase, with global sales projected to reach approximately $626.87 billion in 2024, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [38][39] Key Recommendations - Focus on domestic chip design companies such as Cambricon, Haiguang Information, and Chipone Technology, as well as foundry and packaging companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor [3][17][7] - In the AI SoC and storage segments, companies like Hengxuan Technology and Jiangbolong are recommended due to their potential in adapting to computing power needs [4][18][37]

Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Cautiously Optimistic" with a focus on operators with sustained profit growth and enhanced network value, optical communication companies benefiting from traffic growth, and high-quality enterprises with continuous technological innovation [5][41]. Core Viewpoints - The communication sector has shown steady growth in traditional businesses while actively exploring new growth points through innovative applications. Despite recent market adjustments, valuation levels are recovering [5][41]. - The integration of 5G-A (5.5G) and AI is highlighted as a core trend, with expectations for AI to further lead the communication industry towards 6G exploration. Chinese companies are positioned as key players in driving global communication industry development [4][40]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From March 10 to March 16, 2025, the communication sector (CITIC) increased by 0.21%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.59%, resulting in a 1.37 percentage point lag [2][12]. - Year-to-date, the communication industry has risen by 3.6%, ranking 18th among CITIC's primary industries [12][13]. - As of March 14, the CITIC communication industry had a TTM PE of 22.88 times, positioned at the 26.67 percentile [14]. Industry News - The MWC 2025 showcased the integration of 5G-A and AI, emphasizing the importance of AI in future industry trends. The event attracted over 2,700 exhibitors and highlighted the deep integration of communication technology with various industries [3][36]. - The GSMA's annual report indicated that by the end of 2024, global mobile internet users would reach 4.7 billion, with projections of 5.5 billion by 2030 [3][36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a cautiously optimistic stance, focusing on operators with continuous profit growth, optical communication companies benefiting from traffic growth, and high-quality firms with strong core competitiveness [5][41].