稳定是如今中国股市的底色 [Table_Authors] 方奕(分析师) ——中国权益策略周报 本报告导读： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | | | fangyi2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | 张逸飞(分析师) | | | 021-38038662 | | | zhangyifei@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080008 | | | 田开轩(分析师) | | | 021-38038673 | | | tiankaixuan@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080006 | | | 苏徽(分析师) | | | 021-38676434 | | | suhui@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880516080006 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 坚定信心，持股过节 2026.02.08 转型牛：更高、更稳、更长 2026.01.18 一年之计在于春 2026.01.04 跨越，远望又新峰 2025.12.28 跨 ...

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 每 周 投 资 早 参 2026 年 3 月 2 日 轮动行情，踏准节奏 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 上周五 A 股市场延续震荡分化格局。早盘三大指数集体收跌，但午后市场情 绪回暖，沪指及深成指上演 V 型反转，但创指全天弱势震荡。盘面上看，受涨价 逻辑持续催化，小金属板块延续强势表现，并带动有色煤炭油气等周期股走强。 与之形成对比的是，上周四表现强势的光模块、PCB、半导体等科技相关板块则 出现回调，轮动效应明显。 当前 A 股市场呈现出"震荡分化、热点轮动"的运行特征。短期来看，A 股市 场热点轮动速度较快，踏准节奏成为盈利的核心关键，避免盲目追涨杀跌。这种 快速轮动的格局，考验着投资者的择时能力与板块研判能力。 操作上，踏准节奏，逢低布局仍是占优策略。后市仍可逢低关注"资源品+ 科技"方向：一是受益于涨价逻辑和地缘政治催化的周期板块，如石油化工、有色 金属等；二是具备长期产业趋势的科技板块，如 AI 算力、半导体、人形机器 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI-PCB and core computing hardware sectors, as well as the Apple supply chain and self-controlled beneficiary sectors [4][26]. Core Insights - NVIDIA's FY27Q1 revenue guidance is strong at $78 billion (±2%), indicating sustained demand for AI [1][26]. - The demand for AI-related products, particularly the new LPU chip, is expected to drive significant growth in the PCB industry, with potential increases in material requirements and production capacity [1][26]. - The report anticipates explosive growth in the ASIC numbers from major tech companies like Google, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft between 2026 and 2027 [4][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Consumer Electronics - The report highlights the ongoing expansion of AI applications in consumer electronics, particularly within the Apple supply chain and smart glasses, driven by advancements in multi-modal interaction and AI model optimization [5]. - AI mobile applications are expected to see significant growth, with Apple focusing on innovations in chips, systems, and hardware [5]. 2. PCB - The PCB industry is experiencing high demand, particularly for copper-clad laminates, driven by the automotive and industrial sectors, as well as AI applications [6][26]. - The report notes that many AI-PCB companies are currently operating at full capacity and are expanding production to meet demand [4][26]. 3. Semiconductor and Components - The semiconductor sector is projected to benefit from increased demand for storage solutions, particularly DRAM, as cloud service providers expand their data center capacities [20][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials in light of global supply chain challenges and export controls [23][25]. 4. Market Trends - The report indicates a robust upward trend in the semiconductor equipment sector, with significant growth expected in 2025 driven by advanced logic processes and increased demand for HBM applications [24]. - The overall electronic industry has shown a positive performance, with specific segments like PCB and passive components leading in growth [35][38]. 5. Company Highlights - Companies like NVIDIA, Micron Technology, and various PCB manufacturers are highlighted as key players benefiting from the current market dynamics [1][26][27]. - The report suggests that firms such as North Huachuang and Zhongwei Company are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for semiconductor equipment and materials [28][29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI-PCB and core computing hardware sectors, as well as the Apple supply chain and self-controlled beneficiary sectors [4][26]. Core Insights - NVIDIA's FY27Q1 revenue guidance is strong at $78 billion (±2%), indicating sustained demand for AI [1][26]. - The demand for AI-driven products is expected to lead to significant growth in the PCB industry, with many AI-PCB companies experiencing strong orders and production [4][26]. - The report anticipates explosive growth in the number of ASICs from major tech companies like Google, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft between 2026 and 2027 [4][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The AI demand is driving a significant increase in PCB value, with expectations for material upgrades and increased production layers [1][26]. - The report highlights the strong performance of the AI sector, with NVIDIA's new LPU chip expected to create new demands in the PCB market [1][26]. 2. Semiconductor and PCB Sector - The PCB industry is maintaining high demand due to the growth in automotive and industrial control sectors, alongside AI expansion [6][26]. - The report notes that the price of copper-clad laminates is expected to rise, indicating a tightening supply situation [6][26]. 3. Consumer Electronics - The report emphasizes the ongoing expansion of consumer electronics applications, particularly in the Apple supply chain and smart glasses [5][26]. - AI applications are expected to continue their rapid growth, with significant advancements in mobile and wearable technologies [5][26]. 4. Storage and Memory - The storage sector is projected to enter an upward cycle, driven by increased demand from cloud service providers and consumer electronics [20][22]. - The report suggests that the DRAM market will see price increases due to supply constraints and rising demand [20][22]. 5. Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment sector is expected to benefit from the ongoing trend of domestic production and self-sufficiency in the face of global supply chain challenges [23][25]. - The report highlights the strong demand for advanced packaging and the need for domestic semiconductor equipment [23][25]. 6. Key Companies - Companies such as North Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, and Sanhua Group are highlighted for their strong positions in the semiconductor and PCB markets [27][28][33]. - The report notes that these companies are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in AI and semiconductor demand [27][28][33].

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 3 月 1 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20260301 国际油价上涨， TDI 、黄磷价格上涨 三月份建议关注：1.地缘政治事件对原油及部分石化产品带来的价格影响；2.低估值行业的 龙头公司；3."反内卷"等背景下相关子行业涨价行情；4.下游需求旺盛，自主可控日益关 键背景下的电子材料公司与涨价背景下的部分新能源材料公司。 行业动态 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300517050002 投资建议 截至 2 月 27 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 30.87 倍，处在历史（2002 年至 今）87.20%分位数；市净率为 2.78 倍，处在历史 81.65%分位数。SW 石油石化市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 15.58 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）47.72%分位数；市净率为 1.51 倍，处在 历史 52.34%分位数。展望 2026 年，本轮行业扩产已近尾声，"反内卷"等措施有望催化 行业盈利底部修复，同时新材料受益于下游需求的快速发展，有望开启 ...

Group 1: Insurance Fund Management Overview - As of the end of 2025, the total balance of insurance funds was 38.48 trillion yuan, with life insurance companies holding 34.66 trillion yuan, and stock investments amounting to 3.51 trillion yuan, representing 10.12% of the total[2][15]. - In 2025, the insurance fund management balance increased by approximately 5.2 trillion yuan, with equity holdings growing by about 1.3 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 25% of the total increase[5][16]. Group 2: Asset Allocation Trends - The survey indicates that over 60% of insurance institutions plan to increase their stock positions in 2026, with 27% of asset management firms and 31% of insurance companies maintaining their equity positions[7][44]. - The predicted increase in stock investments for 2026 is expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan, driven by the initiative to allocate 30% of new premiums to A-shares[6][28]. Group 3: Investment Preferences and Focus Areas - Insurance institutions are focusing on sectors such as electronics, non-ferrous metals, power equipment, and AI computing, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" for technological innovation and industrial upgrading[8][47]. - The preference for high-dividend stocks remains strong, with approximately 30% of institutions still focusing on high-dividend strategies, despite a shift towards growth sectors like AI and semiconductors[8][54]. Group 4: Overseas Investment Outlook - Hong Kong stocks are the most favored overseas investment option for 2026, with half of the asset management institutions planning to slightly increase their allocations[9][61]. - Gold investments are also gaining attention, alongside U.S. stocks, indicating a diversified approach to overseas asset allocation[9][61].

格隆汇2月27日丨日联科技(688531.SH)公布2025年度业绩快报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入10.71亿 元，同比增加44.88%；实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润1.75亿元，同比增加21.81%；实现归属于母公 司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润1.45亿元，同比增加50.85%。 报告期末，公司财务状况良好，总资产41.08亿元，较报告期初增加12.88%；归属于母公司的所有者权 益33.69亿元，较报告期初增加4.28%；经营活动产生的现金流量净额为1.91亿元，同比增长509.37%。 报告期内，公司始终专注主业，持续加大研发投入，巩固核心技术及产品自主可控地位。公司工业X射 线源实现全谱系覆盖，微焦点射线源实现大规模出货，纳米级开管射线源以及大功率射线源顺利实现产 业化，AI智能检测软件、3D/CT检测技术等领域实现突破，产品市场竞争力得到提升，新签订单实现大 幅度增长；公司坚定践行下游多应用领域布局战略，产品已全面覆盖集成电路及电子制造、新能源电 池、铸件焊件及材料检测等战略新兴领域，并积极把握下游领域的产业发展机遇，不断开拓新应用场 景，进一步巩固市场领先地位；此外，公司持续开展全球化布 ...

记者丨董鹏 编辑丨郑世凤 张明艳 金珊 本就处于紧平衡的锂盐市场，供给端再添重要变量。 2026年2月25日，津巴布韦矿业部发布锂矿出口禁令，涵盖在途货物，且无明确恢复时间表。 津巴布韦，是过去几年全球锂精矿增长最迅速的国家之一，此前曾吸引多家中资锂业公司参与当地资源开发。 相关数据显示，2025年，中国进口锂精矿总量约为775.1万吨，其中从津巴布韦进口量达120.4万吨，占总进口量的15.5%左右，是仅次于澳大利亚的第二大 进口来源国。 因为有刚果（金）暂停出口引发2025年钴价上涨的案例在先，此次津巴布韦限制锂精矿出口也加重了市场各方对锂产品涨价的预期。 不过，节后碳酸锂期、现价格已经连续大涨，逼近今年1月下旬的前期高点，加之该品种多空博弈激烈，26日多个期货合约高开低走，Wind锂矿指数涨幅也 大幅收窄至1.19%。 "价值留存"战略 津巴布韦加强自身锂资源管控，此前已有征兆。 2022年12月，时任矿业部长奇坦多签署禁令，首次禁止未加工锂原矿出口，启动"价值留存"战略，以迫使矿业公司在当地精炼矿产,从其国家资源中获取更 大的经济收益。 不过，也正是在2022年四季度，全球锂价触顶回落，到2025年碳 ...

中银证券（601696）近日发布化工行业周报：本周（02.17-02.24）国际油价大幅上涨，WTI原油期货价 格收于66.31美元/桶，收盘价周涨幅6.39%；布伦特原油期货价格收于71.49美元/桶，收盘价周涨幅 6.04%。宏观方面，根据新浪财经的消息，美国与伊朗关系持续紧张，地缘政治紧张局势以及市场对美 国可能对伊朗采取行动的担忧成为本轮油价上涨的主要推手。 以下为研究报告摘要： 二月份建议关注：1、低估值行业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺 盛，自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司。 行业动态 本周（02.17-02.24）均价跟踪的100个化工品种中，共有33个品种价格上涨，8个品种价格下跌59个品种 价格稳定。跟踪的产品中60%的产品月均价环比上涨，29%的产品月均价环比下跌，11%的产品月均价 环比持平。周均价涨幅居前的品种分别是WTI原油、纯苯（FOB韩国）、石脑油（新加坡）、对二甲苯 （PX东南亚）、硝酸铵（陕西兴化）；周均价跌幅居前的品种分别是甲苯（华东）、电石（华东）、 硝酸（华东地区）、二氯甲烷（华东）、多氟多（002407）冰晶石。 本周（02.17- ...

证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 半导体 ETF 投资指南 [Table_Title2] ETF 投资手册之二 [Table_Summary] ► 股票型 ETF 是什么产品？ 股票型 ETF 全称是交易型开放式指数基金，其名称刚好对应它 的三个特点："交易型"指该基金份额可在证券交易所内像股 票一样进行买卖，投资者可按市场价格实时交易；"开放式" 意味着基金份额不设固定上限，投资者既可通过券商在二级市 场交易，也可按净值在一级市场进行申购与赎回。"指数基 金"则是该基金采取被动管理策略，其主要目标是紧密跟踪某 一特定指数的表现，而非由基金经理进行主动选股。 ► 股票型 ETF 近年来发展如何？ 2023 年以来股票型 ETF 大幅扩张。绝对水平来看，我国股票型 [Table_Summary] 本篇报告在系统梳理半导体产业链构成的基础上，层层递进地 提出对应半导体 ETF 筛选和分析框架，为 ETF 策略提供参考。 ►半导体产业：主题投资热土，集成电路为先锋 半导体产品包含集成电路、光电器件、分立器件和传感器四 类。从规模上看， ...