哥本哈根这场原本打着"非正式"旗号的聚会，一开门就排出满编阵容：欧盟27国领导人外加英国、挪威、乌克兰等十多位政要齐刷刷坐进会议室，光这一幕 就把"十字路口"的味儿摆在台面。大家不是来聊欧债，也不是谈移民，而是直奔一个名字——俄罗斯。 说起这套手法，乌克兰早年吃过亏。可欧洲直到最近才意识到，矛头对着的不只是基辅。会前，马克龙直接放话：普京想撬动的是西方整盘棋。朔尔茨这回 也没再念"对话优先"的老调，而是点头支持"无人机防御墙"。波兰、芬兰、爱沙尼亚更是早就喊破嗓子，催着欧盟把"纸面共识"变成真家伙。 过去一年，从波罗的海到北欧边界，各种"看着像民用、骨子里带火药味"的事件没消停：丹麦一处军事基地被无人机"误闯"，瑞典海底通信缆线连续断线， 芬兰政府网络被黑客敲得发烫。没有开枪，却让边境国家心里敲鼓。丹麦情报部门私下提醒各国：莫斯科在试探防线，这招业内叫"混合战"。 然而，之前每回遭骚扰就开会、发公报，雷声大雨点小。外界把这次哥本哈根峰会称为"战略醒来"的第一站，就是看它能不能跳出这个循环。因为乌克兰战 事已是对欧盟决心与能力的压力测试，问题不再是"帮不帮"，而是"怎么帮"。 桌面上摆着三条路。第一条最硬：把冻 ...

Core Points - The article discusses the shift in U.S. foreign policy under President Trump, indicating a long-term move away from Atlanticism and European alliances towards a focus on the Asia-Pacific region [1][2] - It highlights the challenges Europe faces in re-establishing its own defense capabilities amid a perceived abandonment by the U.S. and the need for increased military spending [4][7] - The article emphasizes the fragmentation of European military capabilities and the reliance on U.S. military technology, which complicates Europe's efforts to independently rearm [12][13] Group 1: U.S. Policy Shift - The U.S. is moving away from Europe, prioritizing the Asia-Pacific region and sacrificing Atlanticism as a result of strategic contraction [1][2] - This shift is not merely a temporary phenomenon tied to Trump's presidency but reflects a long-term trend that will persist regardless of which party is in power [1] Group 2: European Defense Challenges - Europe is attempting to bolster its own defense capabilities, with NATO countries aiming to increase defense spending from 2% to 3% of GDP and enhance military equipment by 30% over the next 5-10 years [7][10] - The European Union has proposed an €800 billion "rearmament plan," with €650 billion coming from member states and €150 billion from a new EU fund [10] Group 3: Military Capability Fragmentation - European NATO countries have a total military strength of around 1.5 million personnel, but much of this is non-combat support, leading to concerns about actual combat readiness [4][6] - The reliance on U.S. military equipment is increasing, with European NATO countries' arms imports rising by 105% from five years ago, 64% of which come from the U.S. [6][12] - European military industries are struggling to meet the demand for advanced military technology, particularly in areas like combat aircraft and naval systems, which are heavily reliant on U.S. technology [12][13]