May 13, 2025 10:44 AM GMT 中国的新兴前沿 前沿 28：投资于不断变化的趋 势 我们继续推出中国新兴前沿系列文章，引入我们的六要素框 架，以了解支撑产业升级故事的成功要素，并确定未来的投 资机会。 要点 有兴趣探索中国具备结构性竞争优势的新兴行业的投资者应考虑阅读本报告。本 报告概述了我们如何识别中国在面临债务、通缩、人口变化和全球多极化环境等 挑战下有望表现出色的行业。这些技术支持的新兴前沿将远超出我们今天的想 象，因此，我们理解我们的框架和选择过程的局限性，但持续跟踪这些趋势很重 要。我们还纳入了未上市的新兴初创企业，并进行了监测和跟进分析。 中国对产业升级和前沿产业的关注持续不减。在本系列的第一部分 Navigating the Path to Industry Upgrades 中，我们研究了中国的工业演变、前沿和关键产业如何 推动生产力以及发达市场的经验教训。在本报告中，我们探讨了中国先进供应链 和制造业的重大机遇，包括整个潜在市场。 中国新兴前沿投资策略⸺筛选产业升级机会：我们看到了机械、汽车和新能源领 域的竞争优势，以及半导体、航空航天、人工智能、软件、制药、人形机器人 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the ultrasonic fingerprint recognition industry in China, highlighting significant growth potential and opportunities for domestic manufacturers [5][8]. Core Insights - The ultrasonic fingerprint recognition technology has a promising market outlook, driven by increasing consumer demand for secure and convenient biometric solutions in smartphones and other electronic devices [5][6]. - The market for ultrasonic fingerprint recognition is still considered a blue ocean, with major players like Qualcomm and Goodix holding over 90% market share, indicating ample room for growth and competition [7][8]. - The industry is expected to experience substantial growth, with the market size projected to increase from 3.57 billion yuan in 2025 to 14.53 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.41% [8][37]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the ultrasonic fingerprint recognition industry in China, detailing the supply chain and market size development [2][5]. Market Dynamics - The demand for high-quality biometric solutions is rising, with ultrasonic fingerprint recognition poised to become a leading technology following optical fingerprint recognition [5][6]. - The core component of ultrasonic fingerprint recognition modules is the ultrasonic sensor, which plays a crucial role in identity verification by analyzing three-dimensional images of fingerprints [6][14]. Competitive Landscape - The current market is dominated by Qualcomm and Goodix, which together account for over 90% of the market share, indicating a concentrated competitive environment [7][8]. - The report notes that the domestic production of ultrasonic sensors is accelerating, which will support the development of downstream module packaging manufacturers [12][19]. Market Growth Projections - The ultrasonic fingerprint recognition module market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the acceleration of domestic production processes and decreasing costs, which will expand market applications [8][37]. - The market size is projected to grow from 3.57 billion yuan in 2025 to 14.53 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 32.41% [37][38]. Application Trends - Smartphones are identified as the primary application area for ultrasonic fingerprint recognition modules, with a notable trend towards higher screen-to-body ratios in devices, creating opportunities for this technology [29][30]. - The penetration of ultrasonic fingerprint recognition technology is gradually moving from high-end to mid-range smartphones, indicating a broadening market reach [35].