Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance slightly underperformed market expectations, primarily due to the early recognition of revenue from European projects and the larger scale of multiple projects requiring both supply and installation, leading to a delayed revenue recognition schedule [1] Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported revenue of 4.432 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.95%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 473 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.57% [1] - For 2Q25, revenue was 2.285 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 17.13%, and net profit was 192 million yuan, down 49.56% year-on-year [1] - The company’s power cables and marine engineering segments showed strong profitability, with gross margins of 10.8% and 29.1% respectively in 1H25 [1] Order Backlog and Inventory - As of August 12, 2025, the company had a strong order backlog totaling 19.6 billion yuan, with 11 billion yuan from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, and 3.6 billion yuan from marine equipment and engineering operations, marking a historical high [2] - The company’s inventory stood at 3.12 billion yuan and contract liabilities at 1.67 billion yuan, indicating a robust production trend [2] Development Trends - The company is expected to emerge from the transitional period post-offshore wind parity in 2025, entering a phase of sustained order and profit growth, particularly in ultra-high voltage submarine cable products [3] - A continuous order fulfillment cycle is anticipated to start from 4Q24, with the company likely maintaining an advantage in ultra-high voltage cable orders [3] - The company is projected to reach a revenue recognition turning point in 3Q25, with an increase in the revenue share from ultra-high voltage products expected to structurally enhance profitability [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been revised down by 7.8% to 1.61 billion yuan, while the 2026 profit forecast remains unchanged at 2.31 billion yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 21.9 and 15.3 for 2025 and 2026 respectively [4] - Given the robust order backlog and the ongoing cycle of order and profit growth, the company maintains an outperform rating with a target price of 66.47 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 29.3% from the current stock price [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's main board companies have shown resilience and stability in their performance, supported by a series of incremental policies, reflecting a robust economic structure in China [1] Group 1: Export Market Diversification - In 2024, companies on the Shanghai main board achieved overseas revenue of 6.09 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7%, with non-US exports accounting for over 80% [2] - Key export destinations include ASEAN, Africa, and countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative, with significant growth in sales for companies like SANY Heavy Industry and SAIC Motor [2] - Major construction state-owned enterprises have actively expanded overseas, signing new orders worth 1.87 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15% [2] Group 2: High-Tech Product Exports - High-tech products such as high-end equipment, integrated circuits, smart home appliances, and electric vehicles have accelerated exports, leading to revenue growth in related industries [3] - Companies like Oriental Cable and Zhaoyi Innovation have made significant strides in international markets, with Zhaoyi Innovation achieving record high shipments [3] - The rise of new business models like cross-border e-commerce has boosted overseas sales for various sectors, including light manufacturing and retail [3] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions Activity - From 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, over 1,500 new M&A transactions were recorded on the Shanghai main board, with a total transaction value exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan [4] - Notable M&A cases include Guotai Junan's acquisition of Haitong Securities and China Shipbuilding's proposed merger with China CSSC, each exceeding 100 billion yuan [4] - The trend of private acquisitions and the purchase of quality non-profitable assets has emerged, indicating a shift in M&A strategies [4][5] Group 4: Quality Improvement and Efficiency - By 2024, 946 companies on the Shanghai main board disclosed "quality improvement and efficiency return" action plans, with nearly 60% participation [6] - Among the companies that disclosed plans, nearly 90% achieved profitability, and almost 50% reported performance growth [6] - The total cash dividend announced by 1,259 companies reached 1.77 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with a dividend payout ratio of 39% [7] Group 5: ESG Reporting and Progress - In 2024, 1,068 companies on the Shanghai main board disclosed ESG reports, achieving a disclosure rate of approximately 63%, an increase of 6 percentage points year-on-year [9] - The number of companies included in the MSCI ESG rating increased, with 90 companies receiving upgrades in their ratings [9] - Companies have actively engaged in social responsibility initiatives, contributing to employment and environmental sustainability [10] Group 6: Index Investment Growth - In 2024, net inflows into ETFs on the Shanghai main board reached nearly 840 billion yuan, with significant participation from foreign capital [11] - The trading volume of ETFs ranked first in Asia, with a total trading amount of nearly 30 trillion yuan [11] - Foreign investment preferences are concentrated in sectors such as banking, food and beverage, and public utilities, indicating a strategic focus on stable industries [12] Group 7: Exit Mechanisms and Risk Mitigation - Since 2025, 19 companies on the Shanghai main board have faced various forms of delisting, with a significant portion resulting from financial issues [13] - The introduction of diverse exit channels, including voluntary delisting and asset restructuring, has become more prominent [13] - Companies have actively taken measures to improve operations and mitigate risks, with several successfully lifting delisting warnings [13]