跟踪式3D视觉数字化产品
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思看科技(688583):3D扫描仪国产龙头,应用场景广泛
CMS· 2026-01-21 15:28
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on the company with an "Accumulate" rating [2] Core Insights - The company, Sikan Technology, is a leading domestic manufacturer of 3D scanners, showing steady growth in performance and profitability that exceeds comparable companies in the industry. The company is rapidly innovating its products and expanding into downstream applications such as aerospace and healthcare [1][6] - The global market for 3D visual digitization products is projected to grow from 12.29 billion yuan in 2022 to 40.01 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of 26.6%. In China, the market is expected to grow from 1.49 billion yuan in 2022 to 6.03 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of 32.3% [6][41] - The company holds a significant market share in the domestic handheld and tracking 3D scanning products, ranking first in China and second globally in the manual product segment [6][55] - The company has a high gross margin of over 75%, with a projected revenue CAGR of 27.6% and a net profit CAGR of 21.3% from 2021 to 2024 [6][19] Financial Data and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 3.92 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 18%, and a net profit of 1.30 billion yuan, reflecting an 8% increase [1][6] - The financial projections for the company from 2023 to 2027 indicate a steady increase in total revenue and net profit, with revenue expected to reach 5.62 billion yuan and net profit 1.68 billion yuan by 2027 [1][6] - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 77.8 in 2023 to 52.8 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation over time [1][6] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic industrial-grade 3D scanning market, with a focus on both industrial and professional-grade products [11][14] - The competitive landscape shows that the top five companies in the manual product market hold a combined market share of 59.1%, with Sikan Technology leading at 16.3% [55][57] - The company benefits from a concentrated ownership structure, with the top three shareholders holding a combined 50.78% of the shares, which may influence strategic decisions [31][32] Growth Opportunities - The company is expanding into multiple emerging sectors, including commercial aerospace and brain-machine interfaces, which opens new growth avenues [6][71] - The increasing demand for 3D visual digitization products across various industries, including automotive, healthcare, and education, supports the company's growth trajectory [47][53] - The trend of domestic substitution in the 3D scanning market is gaining momentum, as local manufacturers improve technology and offer competitive pricing [56][60]
研判2025!中国三维视觉数字化产品行业发展历程、产业链及市场规模分析:行业爆发式增长,技术革新与产业变革共筑黄金发展期[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-19 01:44
Industry Overview - The 3D visual digitalization product industry in China is entering a golden development period, with a projected market size of approximately 2.9 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.72% [1][13] - Growth is driven by multiple factors, including explosive growth in the new energy vehicle supply chain, increasing industrial demand for battery module testing and automotive body measurement, and the continuous release of demand for 3D detection in the clean energy sector [1][13] - The integration of AI and 3D visual technology is creating new applications in non-industrial fields such as medical orthodontics and cultural relic reconstruction [1][13] Industry Development History - The industry has experienced four main stages: 1. **Incubation Period (1980-2000)**: Emergence of 3D scanning technology with limited precision and efficiency, primarily used in research and high-end manufacturing [4] 2. **Market Cultivation Period (2001-2010)**: Commercial breakthroughs in laser scanning and structured light technology, expanding into industrial inspection [5] 3. **Diversified Application Period (2011-2020)**: Integration of AI with 3D visual technology, expanding applications into non-industrial fields [6] 4. **Ecosystem Construction Period (2021-Present)**: Multi-technology integration and the popularity of portable devices, driving the industry towards intelligence and automation [6] Industry Value Chain - The upstream of the industry includes raw materials and components, software services, and production equipment [8][9] - The midstream focuses on the research and development of 3D visual digitalization products [8] - The downstream applications span various sectors, including automotive, industrial machinery, aerospace, energy, healthcare, education, cultural relics, 3D printing, virtual reality, and gaming [8] Market Size - The market for 3D visual digitalization products in China is projected to reach approximately 2.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 34.72% [1][13] - The explosive growth in the new energy vehicle supply chain and the national strategy promoting clean energy are key drivers of this growth [1][13] Key Companies' Performance - The industry has formed a competitive landscape characterized by "dual super and multiple strong" players, with Sikan Technology and Xianlin 3D as the dual super leaders [15] - Sikan Technology leads in handheld laser scanning technology, serving major national projects like the C919 aircraft and the Chinese space station [15] - Xianlin 3D specializes in high-precision industrial 3D scanning, with a significant market share in dental digitalization and automotive reverse engineering [15] Industry Development Trends 1. **Technological Integration**: The integration of 3D visual technology with AI, 5G, and IoT is accelerating the penetration of applications into non-industrial fields [20] 2. **Domestic Substitution**: Significant progress has been made in domestic substitution of core components, reducing reliance on imports [21][22] 3. **Globalization**: Leading companies are restructuring the global market through technology output and localized operations, enhancing China's influence in international standards [23]
思看科技(688583)深度研究报告:从平面到立体,商业级蓝海启航,工业级技术筑基
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-27 00:40
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 148.35 CNY based on a 70x PE for 2025 [6][9]. Core Insights - The company is a global provider of 3D visual digitalization solutions, focusing on both industrial and professional-grade markets. It has shown rapid revenue growth, with a CAGR of 37.9% from 2020 to 2024 [6][32]. - The global market for 3D visual products is expected to grow significantly, reaching 400 billion CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of 26.6% [8][12]. - The company has a strong R&D foundation, with a focus on self-developed core technologies, which positions it well for future growth [6][9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 333 million CNY in 2024 to 677 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.4%, 26.5%, 26.9%, and 26.8% respectively [2][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 121 million CNY in 2024 to 209 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 5.5%, 19.6%, 19.8%, and 20.8% [2][9]. - The company maintains a gross margin above 75.5% since 2020, indicating strong profitability [32][34]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company operates in a rapidly expanding 3D digitalization market, with a significant focus on industrial applications, which accounted for 96% of its revenue in 2024 [6][8]. - The penetration of 3D visual products is increasing, with expectations for manual products to capture a larger market share by 2027 [8][12]. - The company has established a stable shareholding structure, with major shareholders holding 44.64% of the equity, ensuring consistent management [6][30]. Product Development and Innovation - The company has a robust product development cycle, introducing new products every 1-2 years, including innovations in handheld and automated 3D scanning technologies [14][15]. - R&D expenses have been maintained at around 18% of revenue, reflecting a commitment to innovation and technology advancement [34][41]. Industry Overview - The global 3D digitalization market was valued at 500.6 billion CNY in 2022, with expectations to grow significantly, driven by advancements in automation and machine vision technologies [8][12]. - The domestic market for machine vision is also expanding, with a projected CAGR of 17.5% from 2024 to 2028 [38][43].