证券研究报告 嘉友国际 (603871 CH) 蒙煤量价承压，供应链贸易拖累盈利 | 华泰研究 | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 8 月 27 日│中国内地 | 仓储物流 | 目标价(人民币): | 15.20 | 公司公布上半年业绩：收入 40.8 亿元，同比-12.0%；归母净利润 5.6 亿元， 同比-26.1%。其中二季度公司实现收入 17.9 亿元，同比-32.4%；归母净利 润 3.0 亿元，同比-33.9%。公司上半年业绩低于我们预期（6.5 亿元），主 因上半年蒙煤价格承压，供应链贸易服务收入及毛利均同比下滑。虽然蒙煤 进口量整体下滑，但公司跨境多式联运业务收入与毛利均同比增长，我们看 好公司凭借跨境陆运运营经验、核心口岸资源、与上游资源方和下游客户的 长期合作关系，通过物贸一体化模式稳固中蒙基本盘业务，中非多项目持续 推进打开第二成长曲线。维持"买入"。 中非：多个项目稳步推进，加速构建跨境物流网络 1H25 陆港项目服务实现营业收入 3.1 亿元（yoy+34.2%），毛利 1.8 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual results and 2025 Q1 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but a decline in net profit in the fourth quarter and first quarter of 2025, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 8.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.14%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.276 billion yuan, up 22.88% [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw operating revenue of 2.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.63%, but net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 33.88% to 188 million yuan [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.295 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.02%, while net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.77% to 262 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The Mongolian coal business experienced a slowdown in growth due to the cyclical nature of the steel and coke industry, but the company remains optimistic about the future market share increase in its integrated logistics business [1]. - In 2024, the Ganqimaodu port completed a total import and export cargo volume of 40.716 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.55%, with imported coal accounting for 39.206 million tons, up 7.38% [1]. - The cross-border multimodal transport business saw a revenue increase of 22% in 2024, with a gross margin improvement of 2.17 percentage points [2]. Group 3: Market Trends and Outlook - The company benefits from the trade dynamics with landlocked countries, and the African multimodal transport business is growing due to increased demand for copper and cobalt resources [2]. - The infrastructure segment is showing strong performance, with a steady increase in the number of customs clearance vehicles, and the company’s land port project service revenue grew by 16.42% in 2024, with a gross margin of 57.46% [2]. - The company is expected to see improvements in the supply-demand dynamics of the coke and steel industry, which may enhance its market position in the future [1].