Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 15.20 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was RMB 4.08 billion, a decrease of 12.0% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 560 million, down 26.1% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of RMB 1.79 billion, a decline of 32.4%, and a net profit of RMB 300 million, down 33.9% year-on-year [1][3]. - Despite the overall decline in Mongolian coal imports, the company's cross-border multimodal transport business saw revenue and gross profit growth of 13.9% and 18.8% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for this segment [2][5]. - The supply chain trade services segment experienced significant pressure due to falling Mongolian coal prices, with revenue dropping 24.1% year-on-year to RMB 2.53 billion and gross profit down 63.9% to RMB 200 million [3][5]. Summary by Sections Cross-Border Transport - The company's cross-border multimodal transport business generated RMB 1.22 billion in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with a gross profit of RMB 360 million and a gross margin improvement of 1.2 percentage points to 29.7% [2][5]. Supply Chain Trade - The supply chain trade services reported revenue of RMB 2.53 billion, a decline of 24.1% year-on-year, and a gross profit of RMB 200 million, down 63.9%, with a gross margin decrease of 8.5 percentage points to 7.7% [3][5]. African Projects - The company's projects in Africa generated RMB 310 million in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 34.2%, with a gross profit of RMB 180 million, up 40.4%, and a gross margin increase of 2.7 percentage points to 59.6% [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with net profits expected to be RMB 1.02 billion, RMB 1.14 billion, and RMB 1.34 billion, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 22.5%, 28.6%, and 32.4% [5][12]. The target price is set at RMB 15.20, based on a PE ratio of 20.3x for 2025 [5][9].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual results and 2025 Q1 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but a decline in net profit in the fourth quarter and first quarter of 2025, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 8.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.14%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.276 billion yuan, up 22.88% [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw operating revenue of 2.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.63%, but net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 33.88% to 188 million yuan [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.295 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.02%, while net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.77% to 262 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The Mongolian coal business experienced a slowdown in growth due to the cyclical nature of the steel and coke industry, but the company remains optimistic about the future market share increase in its integrated logistics business [1]. - In 2024, the Ganqimaodu port completed a total import and export cargo volume of 40.716 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.55%, with imported coal accounting for 39.206 million tons, up 7.38% [1]. - The cross-border multimodal transport business saw a revenue increase of 22% in 2024, with a gross margin improvement of 2.17 percentage points [2]. Group 3: Market Trends and Outlook - The company benefits from the trade dynamics with landlocked countries, and the African multimodal transport business is growing due to increased demand for copper and cobalt resources [2]. - The infrastructure segment is showing strong performance, with a steady increase in the number of customs clearance vehicles, and the company’s land port project service revenue grew by 16.42% in 2024, with a gross margin of 57.46% [2]. - The company is expected to see improvements in the supply-demand dynamics of the coke and steel industry, which may enhance its market position in the future [1].