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重磅发布!阿联酋 2025 年住宅市场深度报告:多重红利驱动市场增长
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-09-24 03:03
Core Insights - The UAE real estate market is experiencing significant opportunities driven by a combination of policy, economic, and planning benefits [2][4][6] Economic Growth and Diversification - The UAE's economy is projected to grow by 4% in 2024, with non-oil sectors contributing 75.5% to GDP, marking a historical high [2][4] - The tourism sector is particularly strong, contributing 13% to GDP in 2024, with international tourist spending exceeding 217 billion dirhams [4][6] Population Dynamics - The UAE's population is expected to reach 12.5 million by 2024, a 23% increase from 2023, primarily due to the influx of expatriates [8][10] - The age demographic shows that 68.62% of the population is between 25-54 years old, indicating a robust labor force and strong consumer spending potential [10][11] Policy Environment - The UAE has optimized its visa policies to attract international investment, including lowering the threshold for golden visas and allowing joint property investments [11][12] - The UAE ranked as the 10th largest destination for foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2024, attracting 167.6 billion dirhams, a 48% increase from the previous year [12][14] UAE-China Cooperation - Enhanced cooperation between China and the UAE in various sectors, including construction, investment, and tourism, is expected to deepen, with 22 agreements reached in the first half of 2025 [14] Abu Dhabi Market Insights - Abu Dhabi's GDP reached 291 billion dirhams in Q1 2025, with a 3.4% year-on-year growth, driven by a 6.1% increase in non-oil sectors [15][16] - The residential market in Abu Dhabi saw a 30% increase in transaction value in the first half of 2025, with off-plan sales contributing significantly [20][23] - The average residential price in Abu Dhabi reached 3.3 million dirhams, a 17% increase year-on-year [26] Dubai Market Insights - Dubai's GDP is projected to grow by 3.3% in 2025, with tourism being a key growth driver, as evidenced by a 6% increase in international overnight visitors [38][40] - The Dubai real estate market recorded a historic high of 326.9 billion dirhams in transaction value in the first half of 2025, a 22% increase year-on-year [45][48] - Emaar led the Dubai market with a 46% increase in sales, reaching approximately 46 billion dirhams in the first half of 2025 [58] Conclusion - The UAE residential market is in a golden period characterized by policy benefits, economic transformation, and sustained population growth, making it a market to watch in 2025 [60]