因G3京台高速公路齐河至济南段改扩建工程槐荫枢纽位置德州至天桥方向匝道改扩建以及上跨天桥至泰安方向匝 道施工需要，为全力预防道路交通事故，保护人民群众生命财产安全,依据《中华人民共和国道路交通安全法》等 法律法规，根据设计文件和工程实际进展，济南市公安局交通管理支队、山东高速股份有限公司决定对G3京台高 速槐荫枢纽部分匝道进行临时交通管制，现通告如下: 一、自2025年7月28日5时起至2025年8月11日5时止，封闭京台高速槐荫枢纽北向东方向匝道。（德州至天桥收费 站方向） 路线：槐荫枢纽直行→国家医学中心收费站调头→京台高速北京方向→槐荫枢纽→天桥方向 二、自2025年8月11日5时起至2025年8月12日5时止，封闭京台高速槐荫枢纽东向南匝道。（天桥收费站至泰安方 向） 三、封闭期间，通行车辆可就近绕行齐河生态城、国际医学中心、天桥等收费站。 四、因施工活动需进一步采取交通管制措施的，另行发布相关通告或信息。 五、请广大驾乘人员及相关运输企业根据交通管制规定，提早做好出行规划，合理安排出行路线，因施工带来的 不便，敬请谅解。 济南市公安局交通管理支队 山东高速股份有限公司 2025年7月22日 绕行路线 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|红利资产月报（2025 年 7 月） 25H1 预计稳健增长，重视回调后投资价值 交通运输 2025 年 07 月 21 日 推荐（维持） 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 电话：021-20572539 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：霍鹏浩 邮箱：huopenghao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524030001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 联系人：李清影 邮箱：liqingying@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 122 | 0.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 33,240.61 | 3.34 | | 流通市 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the civil aviation industry in China, focusing on passenger transport and airline performance in 2025 [1][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Passenger Transport Growth**: In Q2 2025, China's civil aviation passenger transport volume is expected to reach approximately 186 million, representing a 15% increase compared to 2019 and a 7% increase compared to 2024 [1]. 2. **Flight Volume Increase**: The overall flight volume is projected to grow by 4.4% year-on-year compared to 2024 and by 5.96% compared to 2019 [1]. 3. **Ticket Pricing Trends**: Average ticket prices from February to June 2025 are slightly lower than those in 2019 and 2020, with oil-inclusive ticket prices remaining stable compared to 2024 [2]. 4. **Profitability Outlook for Airlines**: Major airlines like Air China, China Southern Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines are expected to significantly reduce losses in Q2 2025, nearing breakeven [3]. 5. **Spring Airlines Performance**: Spring Airlines is projected to maintain its scale economy profit between 550 million to 580 million, which is stable or slightly increased compared to the previous year [3]. 6. **Demand and Capacity**: The demand in the aviation sector remains strong, with a reported 375,600 passenger flights from April 1 to July 12, 2025, marking a 3.3% increase year-on-year [4]. 7. **Price Adjustments and Competition**: The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) is addressing "involution" in competition, which may positively impact ticket prices as the peak travel season approaches [5]. 8. **Eastern Airlines Ranking Adjustment**: The ranking of China Eastern Airlines has been adjusted to a higher position among the three major airlines due to its significant capacity growth [6]. 9. **Hua Xia Airlines Stock Performance**: Hua Xia Airlines has seen a stock price increase of 11.08% since 2005, attributed to expected significant improvements in performance in 2025 [7]. 10. **Operational Efficiency**: The airline's operational metrics, including passenger turnover, have shown substantial growth, with a 33.21% increase in available seat kilometers compared to 2024 [8]. 11. **Subsidy Impact**: The revision of the regional airline subsidy management policy has positively influenced the airline's profitability, with other income reaching 1.293 billion in 2024 [8][9]. Additional Important Insights - **Cost Management**: Airlines are focusing on cost control, which may enhance profitability despite fluctuations in toll revenue and operational challenges [12][13]. - **Market Dynamics**: The overall market dynamics indicate a potential for improved profitability in the airline sector, driven by demand recovery and strategic adjustments in pricing and capacity [5][6][7]. - **Investment Recommendations**: The call suggests monitoring specific airlines and infrastructure companies for potential investment opportunities, particularly those with strong cash flow and dividend capabilities [21][24]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections discussed during the conference call, highlighting the civil aviation industry's current state and future outlook.

Core Viewpoint - The announcement provides a detailed breakdown of the toll revenue and traffic volume for Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Co., Ltd. for June 2025, highlighting the company's performance in the expressway sector [1][2]. Revenue Summary - Total toll revenue for June 2025 amounted to 385,339,774.97 yuan [1]. - The revenue from various segments is as follows: - Jinggang'ao Expressway, Zhengzhou to Luohe section: 169,115,303.94 yuan with 2,740,740 vehicles [2]. - Jinggang'ao Expressway, Luohe to Zhumadian section: 34,696,827.09 yuan with 1,264,770 vehicles [2]. - Zhengluan Expressway, Zhengzhou to Yaoshan section: 71,136,727.77 yuan with 742,792 vehicles [2]. - Zhengzhou to Minquan Expressway: 44,981,489.50 yuan with 909,806 vehicles [2]. - Deshang Expressway, Yongcheng section: 9,413,320.20 yuan with 406,260 vehicles [2]. - Shangqiu to Dengfeng Expressway: 55,996,106.47 yuan with 531,297 vehicles [2]. Additional Notes - The data provided is based on information from the Henan Provincial Expressway Network Monitoring and Charging Communication Service Co., Ltd. and is unaudited [2]. - The toll revenue reported does not include value-added tax due to the implementation of the "business tax to value-added tax" policy [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Indonesian government has announced a summer economic stimulus plan worth 24.44 trillion Indonesian Rupiah (approximately 1.53 billion USD) aimed at boosting consumer spending to achieve a near 5% economic growth target by Q2 2025, in response to a slowdown in economic growth and various external pressures [1][2]. Economic Context - Indonesia's economy grew by 4.87% year-on-year in Q1 2023, marking the lowest growth rate in over three years, influenced by global trade tensions, uncertainties from U.S. tariffs, and weak domestic demand [1]. - The threat of up to 32% tariffs from the U.S. has created significant uncertainty for Indonesian exports, negatively impacting market confidence [1]. - From January to April 2023, foreign capital outflows from the Indonesian stock market reached 50.72 trillion Indonesian Rupiah (approximately 3 billion USD), with the bond market experiencing outflows of over 6.11 trillion Indonesian Rupiah (approximately 375 million USD) [1]. Stimulus Measures - The stimulus plan includes various measures such as: - 20% discount on toll fees for 110 million drivers and 30% discount on train tickets for 2.8 million passengers [2]. - 50% electricity bill discount for 79.3 million households to alleviate living costs and increase disposable income [2]. - Expansion of social assistance to 18.3 million households, providing additional monthly subsidies and free rice [2]. - Wage subsidies for low-income workers earning below 3.5 million Indonesian Rupiah (approximately 215 USD) [2]. Funding Sources - The funding for the stimulus plan will come from public-private partnerships for toll and unemployment insurance discounts, while the remaining funds will be allocated from the government budget [3]. Market Reactions - Mixed reactions from the market and experts, with some questioning the transfer of costs to the private sector, while others view the plan positively as a means to boost market confidence and address economic slowdown [3]. - Analysts believe that despite the challenges, the government's proactive approach could lead to a rebound in economic growth in Q2 2025 [3]. Long-term Challenges - Long-term sustainable development of the Indonesian economy faces challenges such as global trade dynamics, commodity price fluctuations, and structural domestic issues [4]. - Experts suggest that the government should implement structural reforms alongside short-term stimulus measures to enhance economic competitiveness and resilience [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its asset optimization and growth potential [4][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a young asset structure and value reassessment driven by asset optimization. The focus on operational efficiency and network expansion is anticipated to enhance revenue and profitability [4][5][8]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue of RMB 6,825 million for 2025, with a slight decline of 2.06% year-on-year, followed by a recovery to RMB 7,017 million in 2026 and RMB 7,438 million in 2027. Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from RMB 1,002 million in 2025 to RMB 1,150 million in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.32% [4][6]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from RMB 0.45 in 2025 to RMB 0.51 in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 10.92x to 9.52x over the same period [4][6]. Business Structure - The company primarily operates toll roads, with toll revenue accounting for approximately 63.98% of total revenue in 2024. The construction service segment contributes 33.22%, while real estate sales account for only 1.25% [5][15]. - The company has a total of 808 kilometers of managed highways, with a weighted average remaining toll collection period of 17.04 years, providing ample time for traffic growth and revenue generation [5][42]. Dividend Policy - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, committing to a minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 40% of net profit from 2025 to 2027. The dividend payout ratio was 40.42% in 2023 and is expected to rise to 43.40% in 2024 [5][35]. Market Position - The company benefits from a strategic location in Henan Province, a key transportation hub in China, enhancing its operational advantages and potential for traffic growth [5][36]. - The company is part of the Henan Transportation Investment Group, which holds a significant share of the province's toll road assets, providing a strong backing for its operations and growth prospects [12][57].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for H-shares over A-shares, emphasizing the potential of Hong Kong dividend assets [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that H-shares have outperformed A-shares, with significant gains in key dividend stocks during June 2025. The top performers include Anhui Wantuo Expressway (+18.66%), Jiangsu Ninghu Expressway (+14.71%), and COSCO Shipping Ports (+9.17%) [4][17]. - The report notes a low interest rate environment, with the 10-year government bond yield decreasing to 1.64% as of June 20, 2025, which supports the attractiveness of dividend assets [24]. - The report indicates a significant increase in average daily trading volume for ports, with a 213% year-on-year increase in June 2025 [25]. Monthly Market Performance - H-shares showed better performance compared to A-shares, with the transportation sector experiencing a cumulative decline of 0.80% from June 1 to June 20, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.96 percentage points [8][9]. - The report details that from June 1 to June 20, 2025, the cumulative performance of expressways, railways, and ports was -2.56%, -1.81%, and -1.01%, respectively, indicating a relative underperformance against the broader market [9][10]. Industry Data - In the expressway sector, passenger traffic in April 2025 reached 970 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, while freight volume was 3.746 billion tons, up 4.1% year-on-year [35]. - The railway sector saw a passenger volume of 406 million in May 2025, reflecting a 12.6% year-on-year increase, while freight volume was 440 million tons, a 0.6% increase [51]. - Port throughput for monitored ports reached 1.054 billion tons in the four weeks from May 19 to June 15, 2025, marking a 2.2% year-on-year growth [58]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for transportation dividend assets, particularly in the expressway sector, where it recommends focusing on companies like Sichuan Chengyu Expressway and Anhui Wantuo Expressway due to their high dividend yields and stable growth potential [76][78]. - In the port sector, the report recommends companies like China Merchants Port, highlighting their overseas asset layout and potential for increased dividend payouts [79][80]. - For the railway sector, the report emphasizes the long-term value and reform benefits, recommending key assets like Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway [78].

Meeting Overview - The annual general meeting of Anhui Wantuo Expressway Co., Ltd. is scheduled for June 24, 2025, at 14:30 [4][10] - The meeting will be chaired by the chairman of the board, with provisions for a vice-chairman or a director to preside if necessary [2][3] - Registration for the meeting will occur from 13:30 to 14:30 on the same day, requiring specific identification documents for attendees [2][3] Governance and Compliance - The board of directors held 10 meetings in 2024, reviewing 62 proposals and reports, including budget approvals and bond issuances [5][6] - The company has revised its articles of association and board working regulations to enhance governance and operational efficiency [6][7] - Independent directors play a crucial role in overseeing compliance and governance, with three independent directors actively participating in committees [8][9] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year, the company reported a revenue of RMB 709.183 million, a 6.94% increase from RMB 663.134 million in 2023 [10][11] - The total profit for the year was RMB 222.47 million, a slight decrease of 1.86% compared to the previous year [10][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 166.898 million, reflecting a 0.55% increase year-over-year [10][11] Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented various initiatives to enhance operational efficiency, including a new collaborative snow removal model and performance-based salary systems [11][12] - Significant improvements in toll collection and management have been achieved, including the transition to electronic invoicing [12][13] - The company has established a smart operation command center to optimize traffic management and service delivery [12][13] Investor Relations and Market Recognition - The company has maintained a strong commitment to investor relations, hosting multiple performance briefings and engaging with over 80 foreign investment institutions [9][10] - It has received accolades for its investment value and ESG reporting, including the "Golden Bull Most Valuable Investment Award" [9][10] - The company has a consistent dividend policy, having distributed approximately RMB 9.412 billion in cash dividends since its listing [10][11] Future Plans - The company aims to achieve a toll revenue target of approximately RMB 4.603 billion for 2025, reflecting a strategic focus on enhancing operational performance [14][15] - Plans include optimizing service quality, expanding smart management systems, and improving maintenance practices [14][15] - The company will continue to strengthen its compliance and governance frameworks to support sustainable growth [17][18]

Group 1 - The report highlights the steady growth in highway traffic volume, with a focus on the valuation recovery of H-shares and the systemic revaluation of A-shares, recommending specific stocks such as Zhejiang Huhangyong, Wantong Expressway, and Ninghu Expressway [3][4][32] - The railway passenger transport sector is experiencing structural changes in customer demographics, leading to a stable growth outlook, with a shift in valuation logic from PE to DCF and EV/EBITDA [3][4][56] - The railway freight sector is benefiting from the transformation of logistics and adjustments in railway freight pricing policies, with steady growth in freight volume and turnover, although the growth rate remains low [3][4][75] Group 2 - The logistics industry is being empowered by AI, which enhances traffic efficiency through the integration of traffic data models and optimization algorithms, allowing leading companies to expand their market share [3][4][105] - The report notes that the number of vehicles in China has reached 353 million by 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.31%, indicating a robust demand for transportation services [5][11] - The report discusses the ongoing digital transformation in the railway sector, aiming for comprehensive digitization and intelligent upgrades by 2027, which will enhance operational efficiency [107][108]

Group 1: Traffic Revenue and Volume Data - In May 2025, the company's toll revenue amounted to 345,008,010.66 yuan, with detailed revenue and traffic volume data provided for various highway segments [1] - The revenue breakdown for each segment is as follows: - Beijing-Hong Kong-Macau Expressway (Zhengzhou to Luohe): 153,937,221.40 yuan, 3,286,124 vehicles - Beijing-Hong Kong-Macau Expressway (Luohe to Zhumadian): 34,598,667.73 yuan, 1,624,276 vehicles - Zhengluan Expressway (Zhengzhou to Yaoshan): 58,633,153.37 yuan, 896,737 vehicles - Zhengzhou to Minquan Expressway: 40,322,888.73 yuan, 1,143,822 vehicles - Deshang Expressway (Yongcheng section): 8,665,894.61 yuan, 599,706 vehicles - Shangqiu to Dengfeng Expressway: 48,850,184.82 yuan, 670,586 vehicles [1] Group 2: Board of Directors Changes - The company announced the resignation of director Meng Jie due to work adjustments, effective immediately upon delivery of the resignation to the board [3] - Meng Jie held multiple positions including member of the Strategic Investment and ESG Committee and the Compensation and Assessment Committee [5] - The resignation will not affect the legal number of board members and the normal operation of the board, and the company will proceed with the necessary procedures for board member replacement [5]