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【大涨解读】白酒:茅台控量+政策催化密集,机构称行业底部配置价值凸显,看好修复行情
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-15 02:21
一、行情 12月15日,白酒板块迎来局部走强。中锐股份2连板,皇台酒业涨停,酒鬼酒、金徽酒、金种子酒、迎驾贡酒等大涨。 3)弱需求背景下,头部酒企供给端动作成为关键催化剂,茅台控量政策直接缓解渠道抛压,带动批价企稳回升,进而修复市场对行业价格体系的信 心。中央经济工作会议首次提出清理消费领域不合理限制,有望纠偏过度禁酒约束,稳固高端白酒需求基本面。行业库存已进入去化阶段,当前渠道 库存结构分化,消费者及下游渠道库存占比低,为后续动销改善预留空间。产业链方面,白酒行业向上游延伸至粮食种植、包装材料等领域,向下覆 盖经销商、终端烟酒店等渠道,头部企业通过赋能渠道、优化产品结构,有望在行业出清过程中抢占更多市场份额。(中信建投证券) *免责声明:文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议 | 股票名称 | 最新价 = | 涨跌幅 ◆ | 换手率; | 流通市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中锐股份 002374.SZ | | 2 连板 | | | | 全资子公司贵宴樽酒业是一家综合性的酒类无界零售品牌运营公司,致力于为高品位客户 | 4.04 | +10.08% | 8.85% | ...
金徽酒率先披露!白酒一季度业绩前瞻
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-04-17 11:32
Core Viewpoint - The performance of the liquor industry, particularly the baijiu sector, is under scrutiny as companies begin to disclose their Q1 2025 earnings, with a focus on the impact of consumer demand and market conditions on financial results [1][2]. Company Performance - Jinhui Liquor (603919) reported Q1 2025 revenue of 1.108 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 234 million yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company's product structure has improved, with products priced over 100 yuan accounting for 79.82% of total revenue. Sales of products priced above 300 yuan grew by 28.14%, while those priced below 100 yuan saw a decline of 31.72% [2][3]. Industry Trends - The baijiu industry is currently in a bottoming phase, with high-end liquor demand remaining stable while mid-range brands show varied performance [4][5]. - Many liquor companies have adjusted their targets and slowed down their sales pace, with a focus on reducing channel pressure and maintaining stable sales for leading brands [4][5]. - The overall sales performance during the Spring Festival was better than expected, with high-end brands showing resilience while mid-range brands faced challenges [5][6]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict a rational slowdown in the baijiu industry, with potential signs of recovery in Q2 2025 as the market clears [5][6]. - High-end liquor demand is expected to remain stable, with companies focusing on inventory control and price stabilization [5][6]. - The competition in the industry is likely to be led by premium brands such as Moutai and Fenjiu, which are adapting their marketing strategies to expand their consumer base [6].