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【金蝶国际(0268.HK)】全面升级产品体系,重磅发布AI新品“小K”——创见者大会点评(付天姿/杨朋沛)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-06 23:03
本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 2025年11月4日,金蝶2025全球创见者大会宣布"金蝶云"全面升级为"金蝶AI",并推出全新的AI产品"小K", 标志着企业管理正式迈入AI原生时代。 产品更新方面: 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 公司海外战略分为三个阶段:第一步是服务中国企业出海;第二步是主动深耕本地市场,联接当地标杆客户打 造海外标杆案例,目前正在推进中,例如与马来西亚振兴集团签署战略合作协议,同时在泰国、新加坡、印尼 与当地标杆企业合作;第三步是根据各地区业务情况设立当地研发和交付中心,目前初有成效,例如已在马来 西亚建立东南亚交付中心,未来将实现产品、业务、生态的本地化。公司管理层预计未来3-5年,海外收入占 比有望提升至5%-10%。 风险提示: 宏观经济不景气;新客 ...
光大证券:维持金蝶国际买入评级 目标价45.8港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 02:26
公司强调"金蝶数据云Data cloud"作为企业AI时代的数据底座,构建了坚强可信的数据基础 金蝶数据云主要服务于上层AI原生智能体及AI增强SaaS,支撑金蝶AI套件,为客户提供完整解决方 案,其目的是帮助企业具备数据服务能力(采集、整理、清理数据并为AI所用)和部分PTA能力(支撑智能 体交付结果)。 光大证券发布研报称,金蝶国际(00268)聚焦订阅优先、AI优先,作为国内ERP龙头,AI加持下金蝶产 品力有望进一步增强。维持25-27年收入预测至69/77/85亿元。维持"买入"评级。2025年11月4日,金蝶 2025全球创见者大会宣布"金蝶云"全面升级为"金蝶AI",并推出全新的AI产品"小K",标志着企业管理 正式迈入AI原生时代。 3Q25经营数据 光大证券主要观点如下: ARR方面,3Q金蝶订阅ARR同比增长约18%至38.6亿元;环比6月底净新增ARR1.3亿元,整体增量稳定, 25全年若达成20%的ARR增长目标需Q4净新增约2.56亿元;基于当前经营数据和宏观环境,该行预计25 全年ARR增速有望维持在18%。续费率方面,苍穹&星瀚达105%,星空95%、星辰93%、精斗云88%。 ...
光大证券:维持金蝶国际(00268)买入评级 目标价45.8港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 02:13
Core Viewpoint - Kingdee International focuses on subscription-first and AI-first strategies, enhancing its product capabilities with AI support, and maintains revenue forecasts for 2025 at 6.9 billion, 7.7 billion, and 8.5 billion CNY, with a "Buy" rating maintained [1] Group 1: Product Updates - The recent product upgrade includes a comprehensive enhancement of "platform + data cloud + AI-enhanced SaaS + AI native intelligent agents" [2] - "Xiao K" is introduced as a unified entry point for enterprise-level AI intelligent agents, integrating nearly 20 agents covering various fields such as supply chain, manufacturing, marketing, HR, finance, and ESG [2] - "Kingdee Cloud" is fully upgraded to "Kingdee AI," with a product strategy aligned to launch AI packages for enterprises of all sizes, and the flagship version will upgrade to "Kingdee AI Starry Sky Suite" on December 12 [2] Group 2: Data Infrastructure - Kingdee Data Cloud serves as a robust and reliable data foundation for the AI era, supporting AI native intelligent agents and AI-enhanced SaaS, providing complete solutions for clients [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Kingdee's subscription ARR grew approximately 18% year-on-year to 3.86 billion CNY, with a stable overall increase [4] - The renewal rates for various products are reported as follows: Cang Qiong & Xing Han at 105%, Xing Kong at 95%, Xing Chen at 93%, and Jing Dou Yun at 88% [4] Group 4: International Expansion - Kingdee accelerates its overseas strategy in three phases: first, serving Chinese enterprises going abroad; second, deepening local market engagement and building benchmark cases; third, establishing local R&D and delivery centers [5] - The management anticipates that overseas revenue could increase to 5%-10% of total revenue in the next 3-5 years [5]