该行预计汇控总收入增长将从2025年上半年的中单位数放缓至2025年第三季的1%。该行预计2025至 2027财年收入增长约为3%，并通过严格的成本控制推动基本税前利润年均复合增长率约为3%。预计回 购计划将持续进行，2025至2027财年预计分别为100亿、80亿及60亿美元，将减少流通股数量；预计在 此三年的基本每股盈利年均复合增长率将达到约8%。 智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，汇丰控股(00005)将于10月28日公布第三季业绩，该行预计基本税 前利润为85亿美元，同比下降3%，收入同比持平，成本略有增加，且其联营公司交通银行(03328)的贡 献减少。维持汇控"买入"评级，目标价上调3%至113港元。 净利息收入方面，由于自2025年8月以来香港银行同业拆息反弹，现预计第三季银行净利息收入将达到 106亿美元，高于之前的102亿美元预测。在第二季业绩中，管理层曾指引若HIBOR维持在约1%的水 平，银行净利息收入每月将受到约1亿美元的负面影响。然而，该行注意到一个月期HIBOR已回升至约 3.5%，但仍略微下调2026财年及以后的银行净利息收入预估，以反映结构性对冲再投资的收益率降 低。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reported that HSBC Holdings (00005) exceeded both the bank's and market's expectations for core earnings in Q2 by 9% and 10% respectively, driven by strong pre-provision profit (PPOP) and better-than-expected non-bank net interest income performance [1] Financial Performance - HSBC's revenue surpassed expectations, primarily due to robust non-bank net interest income [1] - The target price was slightly raised from HKD 109 to HKD 110, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Management Guidance - Management reiterated guidance for bank net interest income to reach approximately USD 42 billion by 2025, with cost growth around 3% and a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 14% to 16% from 2025 to 2027 [1] - The annual credit cost guidance was adjusted upwards to approximately 40 basis points [1] Interest Rate Impact - HSBC management anticipates that if the HIBOR remains at the current level of about 1%, it will negatively impact bank net interest income by approximately USD 1 million per month [1] Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Goldman Sachs slightly raised its bank net interest income forecasts for 2025 to 2027 to USD 41.9 billion, USD 43 billion, and USD 44.1 billion, exceeding market expectations by up to 4% [1] - Earnings per share forecasts for 2025 to 2029 were adjusted upwards by 6%, 5%, 4%, 3%, and 2% respectively based on the revised profit forecasts [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that HSBC Holdings (00005) announced a pre-tax profit of $15.81 billion for the first half of the year, a year-on-year decline of 26.7% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - HSBC's pre-tax profit excluding significant items for Q2 was $9.162 billion, exceeding the company's expectations by 10% [1] - Revenue increased by 5%, with net interest income (NII) up by 2% and fee-based and other income rising by 11% [1] - Operating expenses met expectations, and pre-provision profit grew by 10% [1] - Impairment losses were 12% higher than market expectations, particularly due to $400 million in expenses related to Hong Kong commercial real estate (CRE) [1] - Loans and deposits grew by 3% to 4% quarter-on-quarter, supported by a strong British pound [1] Group 2: Capital and Dividends - The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio stood at 14.6%, in line with expectations [1] - A stock buyback plan of $3 billion (1.1% of market value) was announced, compared to UBS's estimate of $2.5 billion and market consensus of $2.75 billion [1] - The dividend per share was set at $0.10, meeting expectations [1] Group 3: Future Guidance - UBS maintained its guidance for HSBC for FY2025, with net interest income expected at $42 billion, in line with market consensus [2] - Target cost growth is projected at 3%, approximately $33.3 billion, also matching market consensus [2] - Loan losses are anticipated at around 40 basis points, consistent with market consensus [2] - Average return on tangible equity (ROTE) is expected to be in the mid-teens for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, with market consensus at 15.5%, 15%, and 15.5% respectively [2] - The CET1 capital ratio is expected to remain between 14% and 14.5% in the medium term [2] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Valuation - Concerns were raised by investors regarding credit provisions for Hong Kong real estate and HSBC's ability to maintain its net interest income guidance for FY2025 [3] - Despite higher loan loss expectations, the outlook for non-interest income in Hong Kong was positive, showing a 22% increase or $182 million [3] - HSBC's current valuation is estimated at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.5 times for FY2026, compared to Standard Chartered's 8.8 times, with a dividend yield of 5% and a tangible asset ratio of 1.4 times [3]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that HSBC Holdings achieved a strong second-quarter performance, with pre-tax profit exceeding market expectations, driven by robust net interest and non-interest income [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - HSBC's basic pre-tax profit (excluding special items) reached $9.2 billion, 10% higher than market consensus, with revenue exceeding expectations by 5% and costs in line with forecasts [1] - The reported pre-tax profit was $6.3 billion, which was 9% lower than market consensus, primarily due to a $2 billion impairment charge from Bank of Communications [1] - The bank's core Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 14.6% as of June 30, a quarterly decline of 10 basis points but in line with market consensus [1] Group 2: Income and Costs - The revenue outperformance was attributed to a 2% increase in net interest income and a 13% rise in non-interest income [1] - HSBC maintained its dividend and buyback plans at $0.10 per share and $3 billion, respectively [1] - The adjusted cost growth rate is projected at 3%, translating to approximately $33.3 billion in costs for the year [2] Group 3: Guidance and Future Outlook - HSBC's guidance for 2025 remains largely unchanged, with net interest income expected to be around $42 billion and a loan loss ratio of approximately 40 basis points [2] - The bank's return on tangible equity (RoTE) for the first half of 2025 was 18.2%, suggesting it can comfortably meet the upper target range of 14-16% [2] - The performance is expected to lead to a slight upward adjustment in consensus earnings per share forecasts [2]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that HSBC Holdings achieved a pre-tax profit of $9.2 billion in Q2, exceeding market consensus by 10% [1] Financial Performance - HSBC's revenue was 5% higher than expected, with net interest income exceeding expectations by 2% and non-interest income by 13% [1] - The reported pre-tax profit of $6.3 billion was 9% lower than market consensus, primarily due to a $2 billion impairment charge from Hang Seng Bank [1] - Impairment losses reached $1.1 billion, which was 12% worse than market consensus, including $400 million related to Hong Kong commercial real estate [1] Capital and Dividends - As of June 30, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio was 14.6%, a decrease of 10 basis points quarter-on-quarter, but in line with market consensus [1] - The quarterly dividend and buyback plan remain unchanged at $0.10 per share and $3 billion, respectively [1] Guidance and Outlook - HSBC maintains its full-year guidance for 2025, including net interest income of approximately $42 billion and an adjusted cost growth rate of 3%, implying costs of about $33.3 billion [2] - The loan loss ratio guidance has been slightly adjusted upwards, with a forecast of around 40 basis points [2] - Despite concerns regarding the return on tangible equity (RoTE) guidance, HSBC's adjusted RoTE for the first half of 2025 reached 18.2%, suggesting the bank can comfortably meet its target range of 14-16% [2]