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中原证券:给予龙佰集团增持评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-21 12:48
Core Viewpoint - Longbai Group's performance in the first half of 2025 was under pressure, with a decline in revenue and net profit, but the company is enhancing its industrial layout to build long-term competitiveness [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Longbai Group achieved operating revenue of 13.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.34% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.58 yuan [2][3]. - The company's titanium dioxide business revenue was 8.684 billion yuan, a decline of 7.68% due to falling prices [3]. Product Performance - Titanium dioxide production reached 682,200 tons, an increase of 5.02%, while sales were 612,000 tons, up 2.08% [2]. - Sponge titanium production was 36,200 tons, up 9.30%, with sales of 38,700 tons, an increase of 25.51% [2]. - Revenue from iron-based products and zirconium products was 1.169 billion yuan and 515 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 10.61% and 18.95% [3]. Profitability Analysis - The overall gross margin was 23.62%, down 3.91 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 10.48%, a decrease of 1.94 percentage points [3]. - The gross margin for the titanium dioxide business was 27.11%, down 6.40 percentage points, while iron-based products saw a gross margin of 53.89%, up 11.79 percentage points [3]. Industry Context - The titanium dioxide industry is experiencing a downturn due to capacity expansion, demand slowdown, and anti-dumping measures, with prices at their lowest since 2020 [4]. - Longbai Group maintains good profitability amid industry challenges due to its upstream resource security and integrated industrial chain advantages [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its upstream resource security and pursuing two key projects: the joint development of the Hongge North Mine and the Xujiagou Iron Mine, which will increase titanium concentrate capacity to 2.48 million tons per year and iron concentrate capacity to 7.6 million tons per year [4]. - Longbai Group is also expanding its global footprint and adjusting its business strategy in response to anti-dumping investigations affecting the titanium dioxide industry [4]. Investment Outlook - The expected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 1.20 yuan and 1.47 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14.90 and 12.15 based on the closing price of 17.89 yuan on August 20 [5].
龙佰集团(002601):中报点评:上半年业绩承压,持续完善产业布局构筑长期竞争力
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-08-21 12:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [4][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 13.33 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 3.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year [4][5] - The titanium dioxide industry continues to face downward pressure on profitability due to capacity expansion, demand slowdown, and anti-dumping measures, while the new energy business shows improved profitability [4][6] - The company maintains strong performance resilience due to its integrated supply chain and upstream resource guarantees, despite the industry's downturn [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a titanium dioxide production of 682,200 tons in the first half of 2025, up 5.02% year-on-year, with sales of 612,000 tons, an increase of 2.08% year-on-year [4] - Revenue from titanium dioxide was 8.684 billion yuan, down 7.68% year-on-year, while sponge titanium production reached 36,200 tons, up 9.30% year-on-year, with sales of 38,700 tons, a 25.51% increase [4][5] - The overall gross margin for the company was 23.62%, a decrease of 3.91 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 10.48%, down 1.94 percentage points [5] Business Segments - Revenue from iron-based products and zirconium products was 1.169 billion yuan and 515 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 10.61% and 18.95% [5] - New energy materials generated revenue of 527 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.23% [5] Industry Outlook - The titanium dioxide industry is currently at a low point, with prices at their lowest since 2020, and the company is expected to enhance its resource security through upstream integration projects [6][7] - The company is actively expanding its global footprint and adjusting its operational strategies in response to anti-dumping investigations affecting the titanium dioxide sector [8] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 1.20 yuan and 1.47 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.90 and 12.15 [8]