Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -30 million yuan, down 722% year-on-year [2][4]. - The second quarter revenue was 1.5 billion yuan, a decline of 16% year-on-year, with a net profit of 10 million yuan, down 80% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company's revenue from window and door hardware products is under pressure due to a decline in construction completions, with a reported 15% decrease in construction area [4]. - The gross margin for window and door hardware remains stable at approximately 30.4%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.9 percentage points [4]. - The company has seen a 31% year-on-year increase in overseas market revenue, which now accounts for 17% of total revenue [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved total revenue of 6.638 billion yuan in 2024, with projections of 6.495 billion yuan in 2025 and 7.004 billion yuan in 2026 [14]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be approximately 1.7 billion yuan in 2025 and 3.3 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to valuation multiples of 47 and 24 times, respectively [4]. Market Dynamics - The revenue from window and door systems, which constitutes about 50% of total revenue, saw an 18% decline year-on-year, while related products experienced an 8% increase [4]. - The company’s gross margin for window and door hardware systems is maintained at around 40%, indicating strong pricing power in this segment [4]. Operational Insights - The cash collection ratio has slightly improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -200 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [4]. - The company is focusing on improving operational quality despite facing challenges from heavy asset expansion in new product categories [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 2.755 billion yuan, down 14.18% year-on-year, and a net profit of -30 million yuan, a decrease of 0.35 billion yuan [8][9] - Domestic real estate-related business is under pressure, while overseas growth is performing well, with overseas revenue increasing by 30.75% year-on-year [8][10] - The increase in raw material prices has pressured gross margins, leading to a decline in net profit due to reduced expense dilution [8][10] - The company is focusing on local operations overseas, which is expected to become a growth point [10] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast for 2023A is 7.802 billion yuan, with a projected decline to 6.638 billion yuan in 2024A and further to 6.259 billion yuan in 2025E, before recovering to 6.639 billion yuan in 2026E and 7.120 billion yuan in 2027E [7] - Net profit is expected to decrease to 76 million yuan in 2025E, followed by increases to 114 million yuan in 2026E and 190 million yuan in 2027E [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.21 yuan in 2025E, 0.32 yuan in 2026E, and 0.54 yuan in 2027E [7] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is forecasted to be 105.44x in 2025E, 70.04x in 2026E, and 42.22x in 2027E [7] Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, the revenue from various product categories showed significant declines: door and window hardware systems (-17.60%), home products (-27.69%), and other construction hardware (-16.00%), while door and window accessories increased by 7.79% [8][10] - Domestic revenue was 2.278 billion yuan, down 19.95%, while overseas revenue reached 477 million yuan, up 30.75% [8][10] Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 30.37%, a decrease of 0.90 percentage points, primarily due to rising metal raw material prices [8][10] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -204 million yuan, indicating a cash outflow compared to the previous year [8][10]