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破解银发经济发展瓶颈 激活万亿市场潜力
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-30 15:47
Core Insights - The Chinese government is focusing on the development of the silver economy, with a significant increase in the elderly population expected, reaching over 310 million by the end of 2024, and an annual increase of approximately 14 million during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][7] - The silver economy is projected to grow at an average annual rate of over 12%, with the market size expected to expand from around 7 trillion RMB to 30 trillion RMB by 2035, increasing its share of GDP from 6% to 10% [1][7] Market Dynamics - The demand for elderly care services is creating a substantial market, impacting economic development, social structure, family models, and public service systems [2] - The healthcare sector is central to the silver economy, with significant growth in sales of elderly nutrition and health products, which increased by 30.1%, and health monitoring devices, which grew by 7.5% year-on-year [3] Challenges in the Industry - There is a mismatch between supply and demand in the elderly care market, with consumers facing difficulties in product selection and purchasing due to a lack of information and professional recommendations [3][4] - The absence of well-known elderly product retail brands leads to a dilemma in channel construction, where high operational costs hinder profitability while limited product variety fails to meet diverse consumer needs [4] - The market's maturity does not align with the existing product supply structure, as most products cater to the needs of disabled elderly individuals, neglecting the larger segment of active seniors [4] Service Delivery Issues - The "9073" elderly care model emphasizes home-based care supported by community and institutional services, but many facilities face operational challenges due to insufficient demand [5] - Government initiatives have improved accessibility in home care, with significant progress in adapting homes for elderly individuals, yet many community and institutional services struggle to attract clients [5] Future Opportunities - The silver economy is expected to reach approximately 9 trillion RMB by 2025 and could exceed 12 trillion RMB by 2028, comparable to the peak of the real estate market [7][8] - Key areas for investment include health services, technology products, and consumer upgrades, focusing on the needs of active seniors [8] - Long-term strategies, human-centered approaches, and technological innovation are essential for capitalizing on the silver economy's growth potential [8][9] Policy and Regulatory Environment - Optimizing the regulatory framework for innovation in medical devices and services is crucial for encouraging new product designs and service models [9] - Government-led initiatives for market education and product promotion can enhance consumer awareness and facilitate demand conversion [9]
破解银发经济发展瓶颈,激活万亿市场潜力
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-30 13:05
Core Insights - The Chinese government is focusing on the development of the silver economy, with a significant emphasis on elderly care and related services as part of the 15th Five-Year Plan [1][5] - The aging population in China is projected to exceed 310 million by the end of 2024, with an annual increase of approximately 14 million elderly individuals during the 15th Five-Year period [1][5] - The silver economy is expected to grow at an average annual rate of over 12%, with the market size projected to reach 30 trillion yuan by 2035, accounting for 10% of GDP [1][5] Market Dynamics - The demand for elderly care services is creating a substantial market, impacting economic development, social structure, and public service systems [2][5] - The sales revenue of elderly nutrition and health products and health monitoring devices increased by 30.1% and 7.5% year-on-year, respectively, in the first half of the year [2] - There are significant mismatches between supply and demand in the elderly care market, particularly in product selection and purchasing channels [3][4] Challenges in the Industry - The elderly care product market faces a "catch-22" situation in channel development, with no large-scale, well-known elderly product brands established nationwide [3] - The existing rehabilitation and elderly care products primarily cater to disabled elderly individuals, while a significant portion of the elderly population remains active, leading to a mismatch in product offerings [3][4] - The lack of market education and consumer awareness regarding the utility and value of products, such as fall prevention gear, hampers market growth [3][4] Development Directions - The industry is expected to focus on "service scenarios" and "operational attributes," emphasizing home and community care as primary areas of development [5][6] - The silver economy is projected to reach approximately 9 trillion yuan by 2025 and is expected to exceed 12 trillion yuan by 2028, comparable to the peak scale of the real estate market [5][6] - Key sectors for investment include health services, technology products, and consumer upgrades tailored to the active elderly demographic [6] Policy and Regulatory Environment - The government is expected to play a crucial role in promoting industry awareness and product education, which could enhance consumer recognition and accelerate market growth [7] - There is a call for optimized regulatory policies to encourage innovation in medical devices and services, allowing companies to explore new product designs and service models [7] - The increasing focus of government agencies on the silver economy is anticipated to create a favorable policy environment, unlocking greater market potential [7]