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金风科技(002202):动态报告:风机盈利修复,海外成长可期
Minsheng Securities· 2025-09-15 08:10
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming year [5][45]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a recovery in wind turbine profitability, with significant growth potential in overseas markets. The domestic wind power project bidding volume increased by 8.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching 71.9GW, with onshore wind projects dominating [2][18]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with external orders totaling 41.4GW as of the end of the first half of 2025, including a notable increase in overseas orders, which grew by 42.27% year-on-year [2][29]. - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 285.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.26%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.88 billion yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year [9][31]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 285.37 billion yuan, a 41.26% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 14.88 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.26% growth. The second quarter alone saw revenues of 190.65 billion yuan, a 44.18% increase year-on-year and a 101.28% increase quarter-on-quarter [9][31]. - The sales revenue from wind turbines and components was 218.52 billion yuan, a 71.15% increase, accounting for 76.58% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 7.97% [14][31]. Business Segments - Wind turbine and component sales are the primary revenue drivers, with significant growth in this segment. Wind farm development revenue decreased by 27.93% year-on-year, while wind power service revenue increased by 21.99% [14][31]. - The company is diversifying its business, focusing on wind turbine manufacturing, wind power services, and wind farm investment and development, with a strong emphasis on technological innovation and international market expansion [23][18]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 778.1 billion yuan, 881.4 billion yuan, and 959.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 33.6 billion yuan, 42.7 billion yuan, and 49.7 billion yuan [3][45]. - The report highlights the expected recovery in wind turbine profitability and the growth of international business as key drivers for future performance [2][45].
金风科技(002202):25H1风机毛利率超预期 继续看好风机盈利拐点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 12:36
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 28.537 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.26% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.488 billion yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit slightly decreased by 0.4% to 1.368 billion yuan [1] - The gross margin was 15.35%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 5.83%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Wind turbine and component sales reached 21.9 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.2%, with a gross margin of 8.0% [2] - Wind farm development revenue was 3.17 billion yuan, down 27.9% year-on-year, but with a high gross margin of 57.5% [2] - Wind service revenue was 2.9 billion yuan, up 22.0% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.5% [2] - The company added 709 MW of new grid-connected capacity, bringing the total installed capacity to 8.6 GW [2] Cost and Cash Flow Analysis - Total operating expenses for H1 2025 were 2.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, resulting in an expense ratio of 9.8%, down 3.6 percentage points [3] - As of Q2 2025, inventory stood at 18.9 billion yuan, up 28% quarter-on-quarter [3] - Operating cash flow was negative at -2.9 billion yuan for H1 2025, indicating short-term cash flow pressure [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 3.35 billion, 4.09 billion, and 4.84 billion yuan respectively, reflecting increases of 80%, 22%, and 18% [3] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 13.3x, 10.9x, and 9.2x for the same years [3] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [3]