抗周期
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不仅熬过低谷 还要“创”出未来——伊利900亿元营收背后的“抗周期”启示
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-03 18:16
Core Viewpoint - The performance of Yili Group in the first three quarters of 2025 exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 90.564 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.71%, and a net profit of 10.103 billion yuan, up 18.73% [1] Business Performance - Yili's liquid milk segment remains the industry leader, generating revenue of 54.939 billion yuan, with products like organic milk becoming popular in the gifting market [1] - The company has successfully expanded its market share in infant formula, achieving the highest market share in China for the first time [3][4] Anti-Cyclical Strategies - Yili's approach to anti-cyclicality involves optimizing both profit quality and business structure rather than merely expanding scale [1][2] - The deep processing of milk is highlighted as a key strategy to convert surplus raw milk into high-value products, enhancing the value chain and addressing consumer demand for personalized products [2] Technological Innovation - Yili has implemented smart farming technologies, resulting in over a 10% increase in milk production per cow and a 12% reduction in labor costs [5][6] - The company has completed the digital transformation of all its factories, enabling real-time data collection and analysis to ensure product quality [6] Industry Collaboration - Yili has supported its partner farms by providing financial assistance totaling 185.215 billion yuan and technical support, significantly reducing operational costs [8] - The company has established a strategic partnership with Tongrentang to explore functional food markets, leading to a 45% year-on-year increase in revenue from functional dairy products [9] Future Outlook - Yili plans to focus on deep processing of dairy, functional foods, and health beverages, with an annual R&D investment growth of at least 20% over the next five years [9]
市场波动加大,港股通央企红利ETF南方(520660)上涨1.25%,机构:港股红利资产四季度有望迎资金增配
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 02:49
Core Insights - The market volatility has increased following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the easing of US-China relations, leading to a pullback in AI hardware stocks while dividend assets continue to rise since October [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Dividend assets are expected to outperform in the short term amid current market fluctuations, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (520660) rising by 1.25% today and seeing a net inflow of 586 million yuan over the past 20 days [1] - The valuation advantage of Hong Kong dividend assets compared to A-shares remains significant, indicating a high cost-performance ratio for allocating to Hong Kong dividend assets, with expectations for increased capital allocation in the fourth quarter [1] Group 2: ETF Performance - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (520660) tracks the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index, which has a higher allocation to telecommunications and stronger "new economy" attributes compared to other dividend indices in the AH market, demonstrating relatively stable performance and certain "anti-cyclical" characteristics [1] - The off-exchange linked funds for this ETF are the Link A (021971) and Link C (021972) [1]
风电巨头的“抗周期”奇幻漂流
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-31 00:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and resilience of Goldwind Technology (金风科技) in the wind energy sector, highlighting its revenue growth, profit recovery, and strategic advantages in a challenging market environment [5][6]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Goldwind reported revenue of 19.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%, and a non-GAAP net profit of 1.05 billion, up 160.5% [5]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 48.15 billion, with a non-GAAP net profit of 2.42 billion [5]. - The company's revenue in 2024 is projected to reach a new high of 56.7 billion, with a revenue index of 148 compared to 2019 [8]. Market Dynamics - The wind energy sector has shown relative strength compared to the solar energy sector, which is facing losses due to rapid supply growth and reduced policy support in major markets [5]. - Global electricity demand is expected to grow, with renewable energy being the primary solution to meet this demand [5]. Product and Service Development - Goldwind has upgraded its product offerings, increasing the capacity of its wind turbines from 2MW to 6MW, significantly reducing unit costs [17]. - The company has also expanded its service revenue, which is less affected by industry cycles, providing maintenance and operational support for wind farms [19][22]. Project Development and Revenue Streams - Goldwind has a strong advantage in securing quality project resources, allowing it to retain some projects for power generation revenue while selling others for investment returns [24]. - In 2023, Goldwind added 17.9GW of new installed capacity, with total power generation revenue of 6.43 billion and revenue from sold power station products of 4.5 billion [24]. Profit Structure and Resilience - The company's profit sources have diversified, with wind turbine sales contributing less to overall profits as service and project development revenues grow [29]. - Despite challenges in 2022, Goldwind maintained profitability through cost management and strategic focus on service and project development [38].
从巴菲特调仓看消费赛道:抗周期品牌成资本市场“稳定锚”
智通财经网· 2025-08-15 04:01
Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has reduced its holdings in technology and financial stocks like Apple and Bank of America while increasing investments in resilient consumer companies with strong cash flows, such as Domino's Pizza and Constellation Brands [1] Group 1: Investment Actions - Berkshire Hathaway's second-quarter 13F filing reveals a strategic shift towards consumer brands with stable demand and anti-cyclical properties [1] - The firm has increased its stakes in companies like Domino's Pizza, Constellation Brands, Nucor Steel, and Pool [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The current economic environment favors consumer brands that demonstrate resilience, making them attractive as safe-haven assets [1] - In the pizza chain sector, Domino's Pizza has established a differentiated competitive advantage through product innovation, a comprehensive service system, and supply chain barriers [1] Group 3: Consumer Resilience - Brand recognition and consumer loyalty support Domino's performance during the consumption recovery phase [1] - A mature delivery network and global presence enhance the brand's ability to withstand market fluctuations [1] Group 4: Capital Market Sentiment - The investment trends reflect a deep recognition in the capital market of consumer resilience [1] - Companies that combine anti-cyclical capabilities with global strategies are becoming reliable choices in uncertain environments [1]
2025年餐饮投资风向:团餐、茶饮、预制菜谁最受资本青睐?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 16:18
Core Insights - The investment landscape in the restaurant industry has shifted from a focus on rapid growth and high valuations to a more cautious approach emphasizing profitability and efficiency [1][3][51] Group 1: Shift in Investment Focus - The restaurant investment environment has cooled, with investors now prioritizing clear paths to profitability and cash flow over user growth metrics [3][4] - Key investment criteria have evolved to include cost efficiency, resilience to economic downturns, and scalability of business models [5][6] Group 2: Group Dining (Tuan Can) - Group dining has emerged as a favored investment area due to its stable demand and predictable cash flow from contracts with businesses, schools, and government entities [9][10] - The ability to serve large groups efficiently allows for significant cost savings and higher profit margins compared to traditional restaurants [11] - Government policies promoting food safety and nutrition in schools further support the growth of group dining businesses [12] Group 3: Tea Beverage Sector - The tea beverage sector has seen a decline in investment interest, with oversaturation in major cities leading to fierce competition and reduced profitability [21][23] - Brands struggle to maintain unique offerings as market entry barriers are low, resulting in rapid imitation and short-lived trends [24][25] - Capital is now focused on brands that can demonstrate strong value propositions in lower-tier markets or niche segments [28][47] Group 4: Prepared Foods - The consumer-facing (C-end) prepared food market is facing challenges due to trust issues regarding food safety and quality, leading to a cautious investment climate [32][33] - In contrast, the business-facing (B-end) prepared food supply chain is gaining traction as it offers clear value in terms of cost and labor efficiency for restaurants [38][39] - B-end prepared food suppliers benefit from stable demand and the potential for economies of scale, making them attractive to investors [40][41] Group 5: Future Investment Trends - Group dining is expected to attract significant capital due to its stability and potential for consolidation in the market [46] - The tea beverage sector is entering a phase of selective investment, focusing on brands that can thrive in specific niches or lower-tier markets [47] - The B-end prepared food sector is likely to continue receiving investment, while the C-end remains under scrutiny until trust and value propositions are adequately addressed [48]
对话卫哲:没有效率的增长,是在加速自杀
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-04 02:58
Core Insights - The discussion emphasizes the transition from a growth-oriented economy to a stock economy, highlighting the importance of efficiency in business operations [2][6][9] - The author expresses a sense of urgency in writing the book "Efficiency is King," aiming to provide practical tools for entrepreneurs in the current economic climate [3][10] - The conversation outlines three strategic approaches for businesses: pro-cyclical, counter-cyclical, and anti-cyclical, suggesting that opportunities exist in all three [11][13] Group 1: Efficiency in Business - The author argues that in the stock economy, efficiency must take precedence over speed and scale, contrasting with the previous growth economy where rapid expansion was prioritized [8][9] - Companies that fail to focus on efficiency are likely to face significant risks, as evidenced by the collapse of previously successful firms [9][10] - The concept of "first core efficiency indicators" is introduced, which refers to identifying the largest expenditure in a company and optimizing it for better performance [15][16] Group 2: Strategic Approaches - The author discusses the importance of setting strategic efficiency indicators, suggesting methods such as self-comparison and benchmarking against peers [17][19] - The conversation highlights the significance of aligning business strategies with market realities, emphasizing the need for adaptability in a changing economic landscape [26][30] - The author advocates for a structured approach to strategic meetings, focusing on clear objectives and outcomes to enhance organizational efficiency [25][26] Group 3: Organizational Efficiency - The discussion includes recommendations for maintaining a healthy organizational structure, such as controlling the ratio of management to staff and minimizing hierarchical layers [32][34] - The author stresses the importance of effective recruitment, training, and performance evaluation to sustain organizational vitality [36][37] - The conversation concludes with a focus on the necessity of aligning individual aspirations with organizational goals to foster a cohesive work environment [42][43]