高分子防水卷材
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北新建材(000786):拟重启远大洪雨并购,夯实防水翼
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-11-27 07:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Views - The acquisition of 80% stakes in two companies enhances the company's market share in the waterproofing materials sector, particularly in North China. The acquisition price has been adjusted downwards due to the decline in the waterproofing industry's market conditions compared to 2022 [3][4]. - The company anticipates an increase in production capacity for various waterproofing materials, including 12 million square meters of asphalt waterproofing membranes, 4 million square meters of polymer waterproofing membranes, and 159,000 tons of waterproof coatings [3]. - The financial performance for the first half of 2025 shows a revenue of approximately 2.49 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of about 6%, and a net profit of 140 million yuan, also reflecting a 6% increase [3]. Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - The total price for acquiring 80% stakes in Tangshan Yuanda Hongyu Waterproof Materials Co., Ltd. and Suzhou Yuanda Hongyu Building Materials Technology Co., Ltd. is 418 million yuan. The adjusted acquisition price reflects the current market conditions in the waterproofing industry [2][4]. - The expected revenue and net profit for the Tangshan entity in 2024 are 820 million yuan and 80 million yuan, respectively, with a net profit margin of approximately 9.8% [4]. - The expected revenue and net profit for the Suzhou entity in 2024 are 199 million yuan and 2 million yuan, respectively, with a net profit growth of 40.5% [4]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 25.99 billion yuan, 27.88 billion yuan, and 29.22 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1%, 7%, and 5% respectively. The projected net profits for the same period are 3.15 billion yuan, 3.66 billion yuan, and 4.01 billion yuan, with growth rates of 14%, 7%, and 8% respectively [5][10]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios based on the closing price on November 26 are projected to be 13, 11, and 10 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5].
2025年中国高分子防水卷材行业发展历程、产量、市场规模、重点企业及发展趋势研判:高分子防水卷材规模超200亿元,需求推动下市场前景可观[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-05 23:44
Industry Overview - Waterproof membranes are essential functional materials in the construction industry, comprising a significant part of the building materials industry. They mainly include SBS/APP modified bitumen waterproof membranes, self-adhesive membranes, and polymer waterproof membranes. Among these, polymer waterproof membranes are rapidly increasing their market share due to their durability, corrosion resistance, environmental friendliness, and ease of construction [1][18] - The market demand for polymer waterproof membranes has seen explosive growth due to accelerated urbanization and continuous investment in infrastructure. The market size for polymer waterproof membranes in China is projected to reach approximately 21.808 billion yuan in 2024 [1][18] Market Dynamics - The production of waterproof materials in China has maintained a steady growth rate of around 10% since 2015, with a significant increase in 2020 due to heightened demand. In 2023, the production of waterproof materials reached 5.81 billion square meters, a year-on-year increase of 19.16%. The production is expected to further increase to approximately 6.525 billion square meters in 2024 [14][15] - The polymer waterproof membrane market is expected to continue growing, supported by government policies favoring green building materials and increasing environmental regulations [1][18] Competitive Landscape - The market for polymer waterproof membranes in China is characterized by low concentration and a large number of companies. Major domestic players include Oriental Yuhong, Beixin Waterproof, and Kairun Building Materials, among others. There are also many small and medium-sized enterprises with varying product quality [21][22] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with larger companies expanding and smaller firms facing pressure, potentially leading to increased market concentration in the future [21] Industry Development Trends - The polymer waterproof membrane industry is expected to accelerate its focus on environmental sustainability, emphasizing the development and application of solvent-free and low-VOC materials. Traditional materials will gradually be replaced by recyclable high polymer materials [27] - Future advancements will focus on enhancing performance, including weather resistance, puncture resistance, and lifespan. Innovations such as self-healing materials and specialized membranes for unique applications will drive the industry towards high-end and professional development [28] - The integration of smart technologies in production and application processes is anticipated, with IoT and AI optimizing quality control and enabling real-time monitoring of material performance [29] - The industry will also prioritize ease of construction, developing products that reduce reliance on skilled labor and streamline installation processes [30]