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机械行业事件点评:5月叉车销量同比增长12%,起重机械、高空平台销量表现较弱
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-06-18 10:31
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Views - In May, forklift sales showed a year-on-year growth of 11.8%, with domestic sales increasing by 9.3% and exports rising by 16.6%. The overall trend indicates a gradual recovery in downstream demand [3] - The demand for various types of lifting machinery remains weak, with domestic sales of automotive cranes, crawler cranes, truck-mounted cranes, and tower cranes declining significantly due to ongoing real estate market challenges [4] - Sales of aerial work platforms also experienced a decline, with a year-on-year drop of 26.2% in May, indicating a continued downturn in this segment [5] - The manufacturing PMI in May rose to 49.5%, suggesting that policy effects are beginning to show, and there is potential for continued growth in domestic forklift demand [6][22] - Despite weak performance in lifting machinery and aerial platforms, the overall market outlook remains positive due to recovering demand in other machinery segments, such as excavators and road machinery [7] Summary by Sections Forklift Market - In May, total forklift sales in China increased by 11.8% year-on-year, with domestic sales up by 9.3% and exports up by 16.6%. For the first five months of 2025, total forklift sales grew by 9.3% year-on-year [3] Lifting Machinery - In May, domestic sales of automotive cranes, crawler cranes, truck-mounted cranes, and tower cranes saw declines of 3.4%, 3.4%, 27.5%, and 51.7% respectively, primarily due to the sluggish real estate market [4] Aerial Work Platforms - Sales of aerial work platforms fell by 26.2% year-on-year in May, with domestic sales down by 48.1% [5] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5% in May, indicating a recovery in production and new orders, which bodes well for future forklift demand [6][22] Overall Market Outlook - While the lifting machinery and aerial platform segments are facing challenges, the overall machinery market is expected to benefit from recovering demand in other areas, with a focus on companies like Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and LiuGong [7]