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奇瑞汽车(09973.HK):海外优势续航 加速电动智能转型
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-02 10:06
Investment Highlights - Company is rated as outperforming the industry with a target price of HKD 42.00, based on a comparable valuation method with a 2026 P/E of 10x [1] - Company is a leading independent automaker in China, with accelerated development in exports and new energy transformation [1] Market Position - Company ranks among the top independent automakers in China, with total sales expected to be among the industry leaders in 2024 [1] - Company maintains a multi-powertrain strategy, with a recent increase in fuel vehicle market share, solidifying its profit base [1] - The company has established five brand series to meet differentiated market demands, including Chery for the mass market and Jetour for the off-road segment [1] Export and Competitive Advantage - Company has the highest overseas sales among independent automakers, leveraging over 20 years of export experience [1] - The company has maintained the top position in export volume for independent passenger car brands in China for 22 consecutive years [1] - A rich channel network, global collaborative R&D system, and comprehensive global production capacity form a competitive moat for the company [1] New Energy Transition - Company has a robust self-research capability and is accelerating its electric and intelligent transformation [2] - A multi-tiered, comprehensive R&D system has been established, creating a wide-reaching and highly applicable automotive platform [2] - The company is expected to launch several new models in 2026, indicating strong growth potential in new energy vehicle sales [2] Financial Projections - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be CNY 3.32 and CNY 3.88 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a CAGR of 22% from 2024 to 2026 [2] - Current stock price reflects a 2026 P/E of 7x, with a target price of HKD 42 corresponding to a 2026 P/E of 10x, indicating a 35% upside potential [2]
中金:首予奇瑞汽车(09973)跑赢行业评级 目标价42.00港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 01:31
智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,首次覆盖奇瑞汽车(09973)给予跑赢行业评级,目标价42.00港 元,当前股价为26E 7xP/E,基于可比估值法,对应估值倍数26E 10x P/E,较当前有35%上行空间。公 司是中国领先的自主车企,出口和新能源转型加速发展。预计公司25-26年EPS分别为3.32/3.88元,24- 26年CAGR为22%。市场关注公司出口业务表现,该行提示公司新能源转型/传统油车/出口业务均有稳 健发展。 中金主要观点如下: 中国头部自主车企,多动力、多品牌布局 凭借超过20年的汽车出口经验,公司具备显著的先发优势,连续22年出口量(不含中国企业从海外收购 品牌的出口量)位列中国自主品牌乘用车企第一。丰富的渠道数量、全球协同的研发体系和完善的全球 产能布局均构成了公司出海的护城河。2025年以来公司加速进入欧洲、亚太等新市场,持续丰富产品 线,该行认为海外有望成为其长期销量和利润增长的重要动能。 具备技术自研基因,加速电动智能转型 公司已建立多层次、全方位的研发体系,搭建了广覆盖和高沿用的汽车平台,自研鲲鹏动力系统和猎鹰 智驾体系,打造电动智能转型的技术底座。公司逐步形成覆盖全价 ...
中金:首予奇瑞汽车跑赢行业评级 目标价42.00港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 01:25
中国头部自主车企,多动力、多品牌布局 中金发布研报称,首次覆盖奇瑞汽车(09973)给予跑赢行业评级,目标价42.00港元,当前股价为 26E7xP/E,基于可比估值法,对应估值倍数26E10x P/E,较当前有35%上行空间。公司是中国领先的自 主车企,出口和新能源转型加速发展。预计公司25-26年EPS分别为3.32/3.88元,24-26年CAGR为22%。 市场关注公司出口业务表现,该行提示公司新能源转型/传统油车/出口业务均有稳健发展。 中金主要观点如下: 具备技术自研基因,加速电动智能转型 公司已建立多层次、全方位的研发体系,搭建了广覆盖和高沿用的汽车平台,自研鲲鹏动力系统和猎鹰 智驾体系,打造电动智能转型的技术底座。公司逐步形成覆盖全价格段、多细分市场的新能源品牌矩 阵,新能源产品周期走强,该行预计多款全新车型有望于2026年发布,该行看好公司新能源销量的增长 潜力和后发优势。 潜在催化剂:公司新能源和出口销量持续改善。 风险提示:海外风险,国内需求波动,行业竞争加剧,新能源低于预期。 公司是头部自主车企,2024年总销量位居行业前列。公司坚持多动力类型发展,燃油车份额近年逆势增 长,巩固盈利基 ...