Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing growth in wholesale sales, particularly in its self-owned and new energy vehicle segments, while also accelerating its transformation towards electric and intelligent vehicles [1][2][5]. Sales Performance - In November, the company's wholesale sales reached 284,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% and a month-on-month increase of 2.1% [1] - Cumulative wholesale sales from January to November totaled 2.658 million units, up 9.3% year-on-year [1] - Self-owned brand sales in November were 244,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% and a month-on-month increase of 2.8% [2] - New energy vehicle sales in November were 126,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 23.3% and a month-on-month increase of 5.9% [2] Brand Performance - Deep Blue brand sales in November were 33,000 units, down 8.2% year-on-year and down 10.1% month-on-month [2] - Avita brand sales reached 14,057 units in November, up 21.4% year-on-year and 4.1% month-on-month [2] - Cumulative sales for Avita from January to November were 118,000 units, a significant year-on-year increase of 99.8% [1] Future Outlook - The company aims for a sales target of 3 million units by 2025, with new energy vehicle sales targeted at 1 million units [2] - Upcoming models such as the Deep Blue L06 and other new products are expected to support this growth while transitioning to electric vehicles [2][3] Strategic Initiatives - The company has approved an investment of 225 million yuan to establish a robotics company, marking its entry into the robotics sector [4] - The "1+N+X" strategy framework will guide the robotics business, focusing on humanoid robots and various applications across different scales [4] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 189.6 billion, 209.5 billion, and 233.5 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 6.29 billion, 8.33 billion, and 10.51 billion yuan [5][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.63, 0.84, and 1.06 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 14, and 11 times [5][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is focusing on electric and intelligent transformation, leveraging partnerships with Huawei for smart technology integration. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 189.6 billion, 209.5 billion, and 233.5 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 6.29 billion, 8.33 billion, and 10.51 billion yuan [8]. - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 3 million vehicles in 2025, with 1 million of those being electric vehicles. New models such as the Deep Blue L06 and others are expected to contribute to this growth [8]. - The establishment of a robotics company marks the company's entry into the embodied intelligence and robotics sector, with a strategic framework of "1+N+X" to cover various product forms and integrate the automotive supply chain [8]. Financial Projections - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 159.73 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5.6%. For 2025, revenue is expected to reach 189.55 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.7% increase [2][18]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decline to 6.29 billion yuan in 2025, a decrease of 14.1%, before recovering to 8.33 billion yuan in 2026 and 10.51 billion yuan in 2027 [2][18]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.63 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.06 yuan by 2027 [2][18]. Sales Performance - In November, the company reported wholesale sales of 284,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%. Cumulative sales from January to November reached 2.658 million vehicles, up 9.3% year-on-year [8]. - The company's self-owned brand sales in November were 244,000 vehicles, reflecting a 5.8% increase year-on-year, while new energy vehicle sales rose by 23.3% year-on-year [8].

Investment Highlights - Company is rated as outperforming the industry with a target price of HKD 42.00, based on a comparable valuation method with a 2026 P/E of 10x [1] - Company is a leading independent automaker in China, with accelerated development in exports and new energy transformation [1] Market Position - Company ranks among the top independent automakers in China, with total sales expected to be among the industry leaders in 2024 [1] - Company maintains a multi-powertrain strategy, with a recent increase in fuel vehicle market share, solidifying its profit base [1] - The company has established five brand series to meet differentiated market demands, including Chery for the mass market and Jetour for the off-road segment [1] Export and Competitive Advantage - Company has the highest overseas sales among independent automakers, leveraging over 20 years of export experience [1] - The company has maintained the top position in export volume for independent passenger car brands in China for 22 consecutive years [1] - A rich channel network, global collaborative R&D system, and comprehensive global production capacity form a competitive moat for the company [1] New Energy Transition - Company has a robust self-research capability and is accelerating its electric and intelligent transformation [2] - A multi-tiered, comprehensive R&D system has been established, creating a wide-reaching and highly applicable automotive platform [2] - The company is expected to launch several new models in 2026, indicating strong growth potential in new energy vehicle sales [2] Financial Projections - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be CNY 3.32 and CNY 3.88 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a CAGR of 22% from 2024 to 2026 [2] - Current stock price reflects a 2026 P/E of 7x, with a target price of HKD 42 corresponding to a 2026 P/E of 10x, indicating a 35% upside potential [2]

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，首次覆盖奇瑞汽车(09973)给予跑赢行业评级，目标价42.00港 元，当前股价为26E 7xP/E，基于可比估值法，对应估值倍数26E 10x P/E，较当前有35%上行空间。公 司是中国领先的自主车企，出口和新能源转型加速发展。预计公司25-26年EPS分别为3.32/3.88元，24- 26年CAGR为22%。市场关注公司出口业务表现，该行提示公司新能源转型/传统油车/出口业务均有稳 健发展。 中金主要观点如下： 中国头部自主车企，多动力、多品牌布局 凭借超过20年的汽车出口经验，公司具备显著的先发优势，连续22年出口量(不含中国企业从海外收购 品牌的出口量)位列中国自主品牌乘用车企第一。丰富的渠道数量、全球协同的研发体系和完善的全球 产能布局均构成了公司出海的护城河。2025年以来公司加速进入欧洲、亚太等新市场，持续丰富产品 线，该行认为海外有望成为其长期销量和利润增长的重要动能。 具备技术自研基因，加速电动智能转型 公司已建立多层次、全方位的研发体系，搭建了广覆盖和高沿用的汽车平台，自研鲲鹏动力系统和猎鹰 智驾体系，打造电动智能转型的技术底座。公司逐步形成覆盖全价 ...

中国头部自主车企，多动力、多品牌布局 中金发布研报称，首次覆盖奇瑞汽车(09973)给予跑赢行业评级，目标价42.00港元，当前股价为 26E7xP/E，基于可比估值法，对应估值倍数26E10x P/E，较当前有35%上行空间。公司是中国领先的自 主车企，出口和新能源转型加速发展。预计公司25-26年EPS分别为3.32/3.88元，24-26年CAGR为22%。 市场关注公司出口业务表现，该行提示公司新能源转型/传统油车/出口业务均有稳健发展。 中金主要观点如下： 具备技术自研基因，加速电动智能转型 公司已建立多层次、全方位的研发体系，搭建了广覆盖和高沿用的汽车平台，自研鲲鹏动力系统和猎鹰 智驾体系，打造电动智能转型的技术底座。公司逐步形成覆盖全价格段、多细分市场的新能源品牌矩 阵，新能源产品周期走强，该行预计多款全新车型有望于2026年发布，该行看好公司新能源销量的增长 潜力和后发优势。 潜在催化剂：公司新能源和出口销量持续改善。 风险提示：海外风险，国内需求波动，行业竞争加剧，新能源低于预期。 公司是头部自主车企，2024年总销量位居行业前列。公司坚持多动力类型发展，燃油车份额近年逆势增 长，巩固盈利基 ...

Group 1: Changan Automobile (000625) - In H1 2025, Changan Automobile achieved revenue of 72.691 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.25% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.291 billion yuan, down 19.09%. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 26.36% to 1.477 billion yuan [6][7] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a net profit of 939 million yuan, a decrease of 43.93% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 693 million yuan, down 34.40% year-on-year. Revenue for the quarter was 38.531 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease of 2.94% quarter-on-quarter but a 12.79% increase year-on-year [7] - The company plans to launch three new models in Q4 2025, with a clear strategy for global expansion, aiming for overseas sales of 1 million vehicles by the end of the year [8][9] Group 2: Sailun Tire (601058) - In H1 2025, Sailun Tire achieved revenue of 17.587 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.05%, but the net profit decreased by 14.90% to 1.831 billion yuan. In Q2 2025, revenue was 9.175 billion yuan, up 16.76% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 29.11% to 792 million yuan [10][11] - The company benefited from overseas market expansion, with tire production reaching 40.6 million units in H1 2025, a 14.66% increase year-on-year, and sales of 39.14 million units, up 13.32% [11] - Sailun Tire is focusing on enhancing its international influence through increased R&D investment and product innovation, with a notable presence in the global tire brand value rankings [11][12] Group 3: Xinjieneng (605111) - In H1 2025, Xinjieneng reported revenue of 930 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.44%, and a net profit of 235 million yuan, up 8.03%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 207 million yuan, down 3.22% [14][15] - The SGT MOS product line's revenue share increased to 45.21%, indicating strong market competitiveness and application in various strategic fields [16] - The company is focusing on emerging markets such as automotive electronics, AI servers, and robotics, with significant growth in these areas expected [17] Group 4: Lizhu Group (000513) - In H1 2025, Lizhu Group achieved revenue of 6.272 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.17%, while net profit increased by 9.40% to 1.281 billion yuan. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.258 billion yuan, up 8.91% [22][23] - The company is experiencing growth in its chemical preparation segment, with a focus on new product launches and improved operational efficiency [23][24] - Multiple products are entering the harvest phase, contributing to the overall positive performance [24] Group 5: Anhui Heli (600761) - In H1 2025, Anhui Heli reported revenue of 9.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.18%, with net profit reaching 796 million yuan, down 4.60%. Overseas revenue was 4.016 billion yuan, up 15.20% [27][28] - The company is enhancing its international presence with a new overseas manufacturing facility and a strong network of over 300 overseas agents [28] - Anhui Heli is focusing on electric and intelligent logistics solutions, with significant growth in electric vehicle sales and strategic partnerships in the logistics sector [29][30] Group 6: Domestic Industrial Profit Data - In July 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, showing a slight improvement from the previous month's decline of 1.8% [32][33] - The report indicates that the "anti-involution" policy is affecting profit structures across various sectors, with upstream raw material manufacturing seeing a recovery in profit margins [34] - Inventory levels are decreasing, with nominal inventory growth slowing to 2.4% year-on-year, indicating a reduction in production and a passive consumption of inventory [35] Group 7: Mechanical Equipment Industry - In July 2025, the overall sales of forklifts reached 118,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, with both domestic and overseas sales showing double-digit growth [36][37] - The growth in forklift demand is linked to improvements in manufacturing and logistics sectors, with positive macroeconomic indicators supporting future sales [38] - Companies like Anhui Heli and Hangcha Group are expanding their global presence and enhancing their product offerings in intelligent logistics [39][40]

Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 72.69 billion yuan, down 5.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.29 billion yuan, down 19.1% year-on-year [1] - The second quarter of 2025 showed a slight revenue decrease but a significant increase in sales of new energy vehicles, indicating a shift in product mix towards higher-value models [2] - The establishment of a new group by the company aims to enhance resource integration and operational efficiency, supporting the rapid development of new energy vehicles [3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 38.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year but an increase of 12.8% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 0.94 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 43.9% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 30.6% [3] - The adjusted net profit, excluding certain losses, was 0.69 billion yuan, down 34.4% year-on-year and 11.5% quarter-on-quarter [3] Sales and Cost Structure - The company’s self-owned vehicle sales reached 392,000 units in Q2 2025, up 3.5% year-on-year but down 10.8% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q2 2025 was 98,000 yuan, an increase of 2,300 yuan from the previous quarter [2] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 15.2%, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year and 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, despite cost pressures [2] Expense and Investment Insights - Sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios for Q2 2025 were 7.0%, 3.1%, 4.6%, and -2.3% respectively, with sales expenses increasing due to new model promotions [3] - Investment income from joint ventures and associates was 0.01 billion yuan, down from previous periods [3] Strategic Developments - The establishment of the new China Changan Automobile Group aims to deepen resource integration and enhance governance efficiency, which is expected to support the growth of new energy vehicles [3] - The company is expected to launch several new energy models in the second half of 2025, which may further improve sales performance [2] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 189.6 billion yuan, 209.5 billion yuan, and 233.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 8.06 billion yuan, 10.16 billion yuan, and 12.72 billion yuan [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.81 yuan, 1.02 yuan, and 1.28 yuan for the same years, indicating a positive growth trajectory [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 72.69 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.29 billion yuan, down 19.1% year-on-year [1] - The establishment of a new group on July 29, 2025, aims to deepen resource integration and enhance operational efficiency, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the launch of new electric models in the second half of 2025, which should improve sales performance [2] Revenue and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 38.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.8% [1] - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles reached 98,000 yuan in Q2 2025, an increase of 23,000 yuan quarter-on-quarter [2] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 15.2%, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year and 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Cost and Expenses - Sales expenses increased due to promotional costs for new models and overseas brand launches, with the sales expense ratio rising to 7.0% in Q2 2025 [3] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 0.94 billion yuan, down 43.9% year-on-year and 30.6% quarter-on-quarter, influenced by rising costs and expenses [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 189.6 billion yuan, 209.5 billion yuan, and 233.5 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 8.06 billion yuan, 10.16 billion yuan, and 12.72 billion yuan [5] - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 0.81 yuan, 1.02 yuan, and 1.28 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6][13]. Core Viewpoints - The collective share purchase by 19 executives, amounting to at least RMB 5.7 million, reflects strong confidence in the company's long-term investment value and future growth prospects [1]. - The establishment of the new China Changan Automobile Group aims to enhance resource integration and improve governance efficiency, supporting the rapid development of new energy vehicles [2]. - The company is accelerating its transition to new energy with significant sales growth in its brands, Deep Blue and Avita, which saw year-on-year increases of 70.5% and 135.8%, respectively [3]. - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at RMB 189.6 billion, RMB 209.5 billion, and RMB 233.5 billion, with net profits expected to be RMB 8.9 billion, RMB 10.8 billion, and RMB 12.7 billion respectively [4][5]. Summary by Sections Executive Share Purchase - The report highlights a significant event where executives collectively purchased shares, signaling confidence in the company's future [1]. New Group Formation - The formation of the new group consolidates 117 subsidiaries, with the state-owned asset supervision and administration commission remaining the actual controller, enhancing operational efficiency and international competitiveness [2]. New Energy Vehicle Strategy - The company plans to launch new models and aims for a total sales target of 3 million vehicles by 2025, with 1 million being new energy vehicles [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a positive growth trajectory, with expected increases in both revenue and net profit over the next few years [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant growth in wholesale sales, particularly in its self-owned brands and new energy vehicles, while also undergoing structural changes to enhance operational efficiency and international competitiveness [2][5][6]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In July, the company's wholesale sales reached 210,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 23.4% but a month-on-month decrease of 10.4% [2]. - Cumulatively, from January to July, total wholesale sales amounted to 1.566 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [2]. - Self-owned brand sales in July were 178,000 units, up 27.7% year-on-year but down 9.0% month-on-month [3]. - From January to July, cumulative sales for self-owned brands reached 1.328 million units, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [3]. Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Growth - The company reported a significant increase in new energy vehicle sales, with July sales at 80,000 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 74.1% [3]. - Cumulatively, from January to July, new energy vehicle sales totaled 532,000 units, up 52.3% year-on-year [3]. - The Deep Blue brand sold 27,000 units in July, a year-on-year increase of 62.5% [3]. - The Avita brand achieved sales of 10,062 units in July, reflecting a remarkable year-on-year growth of 177.6% [3]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - The establishment of the new China Changan Automobile Group aims to deepen resource integration and enhance operational efficiency, with a focus on becoming a world-class automotive group with core independent technologies [5]. - The group plans to launch new models, including the Deep Blue L06 and others, to accelerate the transition to electric vehicles while maintaining a strong fuel vehicle base [3][4]. - By 2025, the group aims for total sales of 3 million vehicles, with 1 million being new energy vehicles [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections - The company maintains a positive outlook on its electric and intelligent transformation, projecting revenues of 189.6 billion, 209.5 billion, and 233.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]. - Expected net profits attributable to the parent company are forecasted at 8.87 billion, 10.76 billion, and 12.72 billion yuan for the same years [6].