01 事件概述 公司发布5月产销快报：集团5月批发销量为22.4万辆，同比+8.5%，环比+17.6%；1-5月累计批发112.0万辆，同比+1.0%；自主品牌5 月批发销量为18.5万辆，同比+8.0%，环比+21.6%；1-5月累计批发95.5万辆，同比+2.5%；长安福特5月批发销量为1.6万辆，同 比-8.0%，环比+29.4%；1-5月累计批7.7万辆，同比-16.4%；长安马自达5月批发销量为0.78万辆，同比+30.0%，环比+19.0%；1-5月 累计批发3.2万辆，同比+1.6%。 我们看好公司电动智能转型，叠加华为智能化赋能，维持盈利预测，预计2025-2027年收入分别为1,896/2,095/2,335亿元，归母净利润 分别为88.7/107.6/127.2亿元，EPS分别为0.89/1.09/1.28元，对应2025年6月3日12.59元/股的收盘价，PE分别为14/12/10倍，维持"推 荐"评级。 02 分析判断 ► 自主品牌销量稳步提升 新能源大幅增长 5月公司自主品牌批发销量18.5万辆，同比+8.0%，环比+21.6%。新能源方面，5月公司新能源批发销量为9.5万辆, 同比 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月09日 公 司 简 评 买入（维持） 报告原因：重大事项 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 联系人 陈芯楠 cxn@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/05/09 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 12.34 | | 总股本(万股) | 991,409 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 826,073/164,1 | | | 61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 59.69% | | 市净率(倍) | 1.52 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 1.75 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 16.35/11.32 | [Table_QuotePic] -29% -22% -14% -7% 1% 9% 16% 24% 24-05 24-08 24-11 25-02 长安汽车 沪深300 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《长安汽车（000625）：新能源效益 改善，海外本土化进程加速——公司 简评报告 ...

公 司 简 评 买入（维持） 报告原因：业绩点评 海外本土化进程加速 ——公司简评报告 [table_main] 投资要点 [Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月07日 ➢ 事件：公司发布2024年年报，实现营收1597.22亿元，同比+5.58%，归母净利润73.21亿 元，同比-35.37%，扣非净利润25.87亿元，同比-31.59%。公司发布2025年一季报，实现 营收341.61亿元，同比分别-7.73%，归母净利润13.53亿元，同比分别+16.81%，扣非归 母净利润7.83亿元，同比分别+601.31%。 汽 车 陈芯楠 cxn@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/05/07 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 12.41 | | 总股本(万股) | 991,409 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 826,073/164,1 61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 59.69% | | 市净率(倍) | 1.53 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 1.75 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 16.35/11.3 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月07日 公 司 简 评 [Table_invest] 买入（维持） 报告原因：业绩点评 [长安汽车（ Table_NewTitle] 000625）：新能源效益改善， [table_main] 投资要点 汽 车 陈芯楠 cxn@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/05/07 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 12.41 | | 总股本(万股) | 991,409 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 826,073/164,1 61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 59.69% | | 市净率(倍) | 1.53 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 1.75 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 16.35/11.32 | [Table_QuotePic] -25% -18% -11% -5% 2% 9% 16% 23% 24-05 24-08 24-11 25-02 长安汽车 沪深300 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《长安汽车（000625）：3月新能源销 量同环比激增，亮剑欧洲发布 ...

长安汽车（000625.SZ）系列点评二十六 阿维塔+深蓝发力 新能源产品周期强劲 2025 年 05 月 06 日 ➢ 事件概述：公司发布 4 月产销快报：集团 4 月批发销量为 19.1 万辆，同比 -9.3%，环比-28.9%；1-4 月累计批发 89.6 万辆，同比-0.7%；自主乘用车 4 月 批发销量为 10.9 万辆，同比-11.1%，环比-33.9%；1-4 月累计批发 56.2 万辆， 同比+0.3%；长安福特 4 月批发销量为 1.3 万辆，同比-31.6%，环比-30.3%； 1-4 月累计批发 6.1 万辆，同比-18.5%；长安马自达 4 月批发销量为 0.65 万辆， 同比+7.6%，环比-9.0%；1-4 月累计批发 2.4 万辆，同比-5.0%。 ➢ 自主乘用车同比销量稳步提升 新能源大幅增长。4 月公司自主乘用车批发 销量 10.9 万辆，同比-11.1%，环比-33.9%。新能源方面，4 月自主新能源批发 销量为 6.2 万辆, 同比+19.8%，环比-28.9%；1-4 月累计批发 25.6 万辆，同比 +41.9%。其中 4 月深蓝销量 2.0 万辆，同比+58.0%， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 34.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.35 billion yuan, up 16.8% year-on-year but down 63.8% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 780 million yuan, a significant increase of 601.0% year-on-year, but down 13.7% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The company's sales of self-owned passenger vehicles reached 453,000 units in Q1 2025, an increase of 3.5% year-on-year but a decrease of 10.8% quarter-on-quarter. The sales of self-owned new energy passenger vehicles were 194,000 units, up 50.7% year-on-year but down 30.4% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 13.9%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year and 2.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to increased terminal discounts and lower cost reductions recognized in the quarter [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 34.16 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 7.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 30.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.35 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 63.8% [1][2]. - The company’s gross profit margin decreased to 13.9% in Q1 2025, impacted by increased competition and pricing pressures [1][2]. Sales and Market Position - The company’s self-owned passenger vehicle sales reached 453,000 units in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.8%. The sales of self-owned new energy vehicles were 194,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 50.7% [1][2][3]. - The company plans to launch new models under the Deep Blue and Avita brands, aiming for a global sales target of 500,000 units in 2025 [3]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts revenues of 189.6 billion yuan, 209.5 billion yuan, and 233.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 8.87 billion yuan, 10.76 billion yuan, and 12.72 billion yuan for the same years [4][5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.89 yuan, 1.09 yuan, and 1.28 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 11, and 10 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 34.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.35 billion yuan, up 16.8% year-on-year but down 63.8% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 780 million yuan, a significant increase of 601.0% year-on-year, but down 13.7% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The company's sales of self-branded vehicles reached 453,000 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.8%. The sales of self-branded new energy vehicles were 194,000 units, up 50.7% year-on-year but down 30.4% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 13.9%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year and 2.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to increased terminal discounts and lower cost reductions [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - The report forecasts revenues of 189.55 billion yuan, 209.46 billion yuan, and 233.54 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.87 billion yuan, 10.76 billion yuan, and 12.72 billion yuan [4][5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.89 yuan, 1.09 yuan, and 1.28 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 11, and 10 [4][5] - The company plans to accelerate its new energy transition with new models and aims for global sales of 500,000 units in 2025, including 400,000 units domestically and 100,000 units overseas [3][4]

0 1 事 件 概 述 公司发布3月产销快报：集团3月批发销量为26.8万辆，同比+3.5%，环比+66.0%；1-3月累计批发70.5万辆，同比+1.9%；自主乘用车3月批发销量为16.6万辆， 同比+5.5%，环比+75.8%；1-3月累计批发45.3万辆，同比+3.5%；长安福特3月批发销量为1.8万辆，同比-14.9%，环比+52.3%；1-3月累计批发4.8万辆，同 比-14.1%；长安马自达3月批发销量为0.72万辆，同比+16.7%，环比+88.4%；1-3月累计批发1.8万辆，同比-9.0%。 0 2 分 析 判 断 ► 自主乘用车同比销量稳步提升 新能源大幅增长 3月公司自主乘用车批发销量16.6万辆，同比+5.5%，环比+75.8%。新能源方面，3月自主新能源批发销量为12.5万辆, 同比+135.2%，环比+214.4%；1-3月累计批 发23.2万辆，同比+80.0%。其中3月深蓝销量2.4万辆，同比+86.8%，环比+30.1%；阿维塔10,475辆，同比+108.8%，环比+102.1%，阿维塔07新车型贡献增量。 展望2025年，集团销量目标为300万辆，新能源销量目标为100 ...