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【鸿腾精密(6088.HK)】25Q3业绩同比增长,AI业务收入贡献有望持续提升——25Q3业绩点评(付天姿/王贇)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-13 23:04
系统终端产品收入同比增长3%且超出指引,主要系消费需求反弹。受需求反弹推动,公司系统产品出货量提 升。公司预计25Q4系统终端产品收入保持稳定(同比-5%~+5%),指引25全年系统终端产品营收同比下降 (同比-5%~-15%)。 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 点评: 25Q3收入、净利润同比上升。1)收入、净利润:25Q3公司实现收入13.24亿美元,同比+13%。净利润0.74亿 美元,同比+9%;净利率5.62%,同比-0.2pct,净利润上升主要系:a)AI服务器相关产品的贡献度提升;b) 生产流程/效率持续优化;c)高毛利产品稳定出货。2)云端数据中心与电动汽车业务收入高速增长,智能手 机业务收入下降:25Q3智能手机/云端数据中心/电脑及消费性电子/电动汽车业务/系统终端产品收入分别为 ...
光大证券:维持鸿腾精密“买入”评级 AI业务收入贡献有望持续提升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 01:35
Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities maintains the net profit forecast for Hongteng Precision (06088) at $171 million for 2025, with upward revisions for 2026 and 2027 net profit forecasts by 23% and 29% to $297 million and $400 million respectively, driven by substantial progress in the high-speed interconnection sector and recognition from clients [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of $1.324 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit of $74 million, up 9% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 5.62%, down 0.2 percentage points [1] - The increase in net profit is attributed to the higher contribution from AI server-related products, continuous optimization of production processes, and stable shipments of high-margin products [1] Group 2: Business Segment Performance - Revenue from the cloud data center and electric vehicle (EV) businesses grew significantly, while smartphone revenue declined; Q3 2025 revenues for smartphones, cloud data centers, computers and consumer electronics, EVs, and system terminal products were $210 million, $215 million, $221 million, $240 million, and $382 million respectively, with year-on-year changes of -20%, +34%, +0%, +116%, and +3% [2] - The company raised its revenue growth guidance for system terminal products for Q4 2025, while maintaining the full-year revenue growth guidance unchanged [2] Group 3: Growth Areas - The data center business saw a 34% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, driven by rising demand for AI server-related products; the company launched the industry's first 102.4Tbps CPO connector in September 2025 and showcased a full suite of AI solutions at the Open Compute Project global summit in October 2025 [3] - The company expects double-digit growth (year-on-year > +15%) for data center business revenue in Q4 2025 and for the full year [3] Group 4: Automotive Business - The automotive business revenue surged 116% year-on-year in Q3 2025, driven by the advancement of the One Mobility strategy and increased demand for data connectivity and high-power solutions in the automotive sector; the company launched the One Mobility brand and partnered with Al Bassami Transport Group to promote EV charger deployment [4] - The company anticipates double-digit growth (year-on-year > +15%) for automotive business revenue in Q4 2025 and for the full year [4] Group 5: System Terminal Products and Consumer Electronics - Revenue from system terminal products grew 3% year-on-year, exceeding guidance, due to a rebound in consumer demand; the company expects stable revenue for Q4 2025 (year-on-year -5% to +5%) [5] - Smartphone revenue declined 20% year-on-year in Q3 2025, primarily due to changes in product specifications, with guidance indicating a double-digit decline (over 15%) for Q4 2025 and the full year [5] - Revenue from computers and consumer electronics accounted for 16% of total revenue in Q3 2025, with guidance for Q4 2025 and the full year indicating stability (year-on-year -5% to +5%) [5]