上 市 公 司 机械设备 2025 年 11 月 02 日 思看科技 (688583) ——25Q3 稳健增长，研发前置关注工业、消费、机器人 多场景升级 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 收盘价（元） | 87.99 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 128.17/74.72 | | 市净率 | 6.7 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.80 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 1,556 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,954.79/13,378.21 | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 13.07 | | 资产负债率% | 9.57 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 88/18 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | 投资要点： | | --- | 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1-3 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing a rebound driven by multiple catalysts, including the Shanghai World Artificial Intelligence Conference and Tesla's Q2 earnings call and shareholder meeting, alongside strong market liquidity and impressive performance in AI-related applications and computing power [1][2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Tesla's Robot Project**: The leadership change in Tesla's robot project aims to integrate Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities into the robot to enhance product strength. Supply chain feedback indicates delays in order confirmations for the second half of the year, with gradual product rollouts expected between August and October [1][8]. - **Domestic Market Progress**: The domestic robot market has exceeded expectations, primarily in logistics and sorting applications, although replacing human labor remains challenging. Companies like Yushu and Zhiyuan have secured orders from China Mobile, indicating new industry developments [1][9]. - **Future Catalysts**: Upcoming events such as the Shanghai World AI Conference and Tesla's Q2 earnings call are anticipated to showcase advancements in robotics, with significant potential for future growth in the sector [3][5]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Investment Opportunities**: - **Tesla Supply Chain**: Focus on companies that have secured Tesla orders, such as Sanhua Top and Zhejiang Rongtai, as well as newly connected firms like Baitian Intelligent Reducer [6]. - **Domestic Supply Chain**: Companies like Zhiyuan are highlighted due to recent contract wins and potential for further government procurement [6]. - **Long-term Directions**: Investment in technologies related to dexterous hands, arms, perception, and lightweight materials is encouraged, with companies like Leisai Intelligent and Zhaowei Electromechanical being noted for their long-term potential [7]. - **Tesla's Strategic Planning**: Key events for Tesla in the second half of the year include the Q2 earnings call on July 24, the shareholder meeting on November 6, and the release of new machine chips by year-end. These events are crucial for market confidence and may lead to significant opportunities for supply chain companies [11]. - **Telecom Companies' Role**: Domestic telecom firms, such as China Mobile, are actively collaborating with Tesla, successfully executing commercial orders and potentially influencing other state-owned enterprises to follow suit, thereby enhancing technology integration and providing more opportunities for domestic supply chain companies [12]. - **Performance of Specific Companies**: - **Top Companies**: Companies like Top and Fuda are highlighted for their strong performance and growth potential, with Top's vehicle value increasing and Fuda's robust main business performance post-acquisition [15]. - **Aobi Zhongguang**: This company is noted for its strong performance in the electronics sector, with projected revenues of approximately 1 billion yuan from 3D scanners and autonomous mobile robots, indicating significant growth potential [16][17]. Conclusion - The humanoid robot sector is poised for growth driven by technological advancements, strategic partnerships, and favorable market conditions. Investors are encouraged to focus on both immediate opportunities within the Tesla supply chain and long-term technological developments in the robotics field.