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蓝思科技(06613):首次覆盖:垂直一体化持续精进,折叠屏、机器人/AR/AI服务器、新能源汽车驱动新一轮扩张征程
Haitong Securities International· 2025-11-04 15:14
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "OUTPERFORM" rating, targeting a price of HK$36.50, indicating a potential upside of 46.7% from the current price of HK$24.90 [2][3]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading platform provider in the smart terminal manufacturing industry, benefiting from the innovation cycle of major clients in smartphones and computers over the next three years. The strategic innovation in ultra-thin automotive laminated glass is expected to drive growth, while previous margin pressures from overseas factories are anticipated to ease [3][4]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for the company, estimating revenues of RMB 87.41 billion, RMB 110.55 billion, and RMB 133.14 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of RMB 4.79 billion, RMB 6.80 billion, and RMB 8.36 billion during the same period [2][3]. Company Overview - The company started with glass processing and has evolved into a global leader in the smart terminal manufacturing industry, providing comprehensive precision manufacturing solutions. It has expanded its business into various fields, including smartphones, computers, smart vehicles, and humanoid robots [4][10]. - The company has achieved vertical integration across the entire supply chain, from raw material production to assembly, and has diversified into new areas such as smart automotive and robotics [4][10]. Industry Situation - The consumer electronics sector is experiencing a revival driven by new technology innovations and a replacement cycle, particularly in smartphones. Global smartphone shipments are projected to reach 1.24 billion units in 2024, marking a 6.4% year-on-year increase [18][19]. - The automotive market is also growing rapidly, with smart vehicle sales expected to rise from 73.2 million units in 2025 to 92.1 million units by 2029, driven by increasing demand for smart features [25][26]. - The humanoid robotics market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the market size expected to increase from USD 2.3 billion in 2025 to USD 12.9 billion by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 54.4% [28][29]. Financial Data - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of RMB 53.66 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.08%, and a net profit of RMB 2.84 billion, up 19.91% year-on-year. The smartphone and computer segment remains the primary revenue source, accounting for over 80% of total revenue [31][34]. - The automotive and cockpit business also showed steady growth, with revenues of RMB 3.17 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 16.45% year-on-year increase [34].
蓝思科技(06613):公司事件点评报告:消费电子平台型公司,布局汽车+人形机器人赛道打造新增长极
Huaxin Securities· 2025-07-27 14:42
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [12]. Core Insights - The company is positioned in the consumer electronics sector, focusing on automotive and humanoid robot markets to create new growth drivers [5]. - The upcoming launch of Apple's first foldable iPhone is expected to incorporate the company's UTG glass cover products, which are anticipated to gain traction in the market [5]. - The company has established a strong technological foundation in 3D glass, which is expected to be utilized in the iPhone 17 series [8]. - The success of Xiaomi's YU7 electric vehicle indicates a growing market for intelligent automotive glass, which the company is well-prepared to supply [9][10]. - The humanoid robot market is projected to grow significantly, and the company is strategically positioned to capitalize on this trend by developing key components for humanoid robots [11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company recently went public on July 9, 2025, raising a total of HKD 4.768 billion through its IPO [4]. Financial Data - Current stock price is HKD 19.70, with a total market capitalization of HKD 1,033.3 billion and a total share count of 5,245 million [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 907.89 billion, HKD 1,443.36 billion, and HKD 1,863.67 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.99, HKD 1.58, and HKD 2.07 [12][15]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing iteration of consumer electronics products, particularly in the smartphone and PC segments [12]. Market Trends - The global foldable smartphone market is expected to reach 100 million units by 2027, with a CAGR of 50.6% from 2022 to 2027 [5]. - The 3D glass back cover market for smartphones is projected to grow from USD 542 million in 2024 to USD 673 million by 2031, with a CAGR of 3.2% [8]. - The humanoid robot market is anticipated to reach USD 12.9 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 54.4% from 2025 to 2029 [11].