研究报告 Research Report 4 Nov 2025 蓝思科技 Lens Technology (6613 HK) 首次覆盖：垂直一体化持续精进，折叠屏/机器人/AR/AI 服务器/新能源汽车驱动新一轮扩张征程 Vertical Integration Deepens, Unlocking Growth Across Foldable Devices, Robotics, AR, AI Servers, and NEV: Initiation [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 首次覆盖优于大市 Initiate with OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$24.90 目标价 HK$36.50 HTI ESG 4.5-4.6-4.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$162.99bn / US$20.97bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$43.07mn 发行股票数目 301.60mn 自由流通股 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 53.663 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.843 billion yuan, up 19.9% year-over-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 20.702 billion yuan, marking a year-over-year increase of 19.2% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 30.2%, reaching the highest level for the same period in history [1] - The company is benefiting from new product launches and increased orders in the consumer electronics sector, particularly with foldable screens, which are expected to open up future growth opportunities [1][2] - The company is making steady progress in the smart automotive sector, with ultra-thin laminated glass expected to enter mass production soon, meeting the demand for hundreds of thousands of vehicles [2] - The company is diversifying its growth through emerging fields such as robotics, AR glasses, and AI servers, with significant advancements in each area [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was 19.1%, showing a year-over-year decline of 2.35 percentage points, primarily due to the increased proportion of lower-margin assembly business [1] - The company plans to maintain its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 5.16 billion, 6.99 billion, and 8.64 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 42.4%, 35.5%, and 23.6% [3][4] Business Segments - The consumer electronics business is seeing strong demand following new product releases from major North American clients, leading to an increase in production staff to nearly 170,000 [1] - The smart automotive business is set to contribute significantly to revenue, with the first production line for ultra-thin laminated glass expected to meet the needs of tens of thousands of vehicles [2] - The company has made significant strides in robotics, with plans to deliver 3,000 humanoid robots and over 10,000 quadruped robots in 2025 [2] Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 30.4, 22.5, and 18.2 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Lens Technology, has announced that its ultra-thin laminated automotive glass has received certifications for US, EU, and China standards, with production expected to ramp up significantly in the coming months [1] Production Capacity - The first automotive glass production line has passed customer certification and is expected to achieve mass production by the end of this year or early next year, capable of meeting the demand for several hundred thousand vehicles [1] - Three additional production lines are anticipated to complete their infrastructure by the end of this year and will quickly enter mass production after customer certification in the first quarter of next year [1] - Once all four production lines are operational, the annual production capacity will be sufficient to support over one million vehicles [1] Market Demand and Collaboration - The company is currently collaborating with over 20 automotive manufacturers, indicating strong market demand [1] - Given the robust demand in the market, it is expected that this segment will become a significant growth driver for the company's performance in the coming years [1]

人民财讯10月30日电，蓝思科技（300433）10月28日在分析师会议表示，公司开发的超薄夹胶汽车玻璃 已获得美规、欧规和中规认证。首条汽车玻璃产线已通过客户认证，预计在今年年底到明年年初实现量 产，满足数十万辆汽车的客户需求。另外三条产线预计在今年年底完成基础建设，并在明年一季度通过 客户认证后快速投入量产。这四条线全部投产后，年产能可匹配上百万辆车。目前公司正与20多家汽车 厂商合作，鉴于市场需求旺盛，预计未来几年将成为公司重要的业绩增长点。 ...

Group 1: Robotics Business Overview - The company has established itself as a leading manufacturer in the humanoid robot sector, with expected shipments of several thousand humanoid robots and over ten thousand quadruped robots this year, generating estimated revenues in the hundreds of millions RMB [1][2] - The company has a long-term partnership with major North American clients, being a primary supplier for smart cockpit modules and actively developing various robot components for mass production [1][2] - The strategic focus is on both complete assembly and key functional modules, aiming to become the largest embodied intelligent robot manufacturing platform globally [3] Group 2: Automotive Glass Production - The first automotive glass production line has passed customer certification and is expected to achieve mass production by the end of this year, capable of meeting the demand for several hundred thousand vehicles [2] - Three additional production lines are set to complete construction by the end of this year, with plans for rapid certification and production in the first quarter of next year, collectively targeting an annual capacity of over one million vehicles [2] Group 3: Financial Performance and Profit Margins - The slight decline in gross margin year-on-year is attributed to a higher proportion of lower-margin complete assembly business, although the margins for structural components and functional modules remain stable [2][3] - The company anticipates an improvement in overall gross margins as new products utilizing advanced materials and processes are introduced, driven by a new innovation cycle among clients [2][3] Group 4: New Product Development and Market Trends - The company is actively involved in the development of a new foldable device for a major client, having completed product finalization and equipment preparation, with plans to supply critical components [4] - Following the successful launch of a new device by a major client, there has been a surge in orders, prompting the company to expand its workforce to nearly 170,000 employees to meet production demands [4] Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - The company is optimistic about its fourth-quarter performance due to concentrated orders from major clients, expecting to achieve high-quality growth for the year [4] - In the AI server business, the company has begun product development and is expanding into various assembly areas, with initial shipments already underway and plans for large-scale production next year [4][5]

Summary of the Conference Call for Lens Technology (蓝思科技) Industry and Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Lens Technology, a company specializing in glass and electronic components for smartphones, computers, and automotive applications. Key Financial Highlights - Q3 revenue reached 20.702 billion CNY, a historical high for the period, with a year-on-year growth of 19.25% [2][3] - Scale profit was 1.7 billion CNY, up 12.62% year-on-year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.701 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.67% [2] - Gross margin stood at 19.09%, slightly down due to the impact of the assembly business [2][3] Business Segments Performance - Revenue from smartphones and computers accounted for over 80% of total revenue, continuing to grow rapidly [2][4] - Steady growth in the new energy vehicle and smart cockpit sectors, with core product lines like central control modules gaining traction [2][4] - AI glasses achieved mass production and delivery [2] Major Client Orders and Production Capacity - A major North American smartphone client increased orders by approximately 30 million units starting September [2][5] - The company is expanding its workforce to meet production demands, with total employees nearing 170,000 [2][6] Future Product Developments - In 2026, Lens Technology is expected to exclusively supply UTG screens and related components for new models from major clients, with significant value increases for back covers [2][7] - Plans to ship at least 3,000 humanoid robots and 20,000 quadruped robot dogs in 2025, projecting revenue between 300 million to 500 million CNY [2][8] Automotive Glass Production - The first production line for ultra-thin laminated automotive glass is expected to produce 350,000 vehicle side windows and windshields, with mass production starting by year-end [2][9] - Plans to add three more production lines, aiming for a total capacity of 1.6 million vehicles annually [2][9] Profitability and Margin Insights - Overall gross margin has slightly decreased due to the growth of lower-margin assembly business [2][10] - The company aims to improve margins through the introduction of new products and by enhancing the assembly business with structural components [2][10] Robotics Business Strategy - Lens Technology aims to become a leading global platform for intelligent robot manufacturing, focusing on both assembly and key functional modules [2][11] - The company is confident in achieving profitability as the industry matures, with a target of reaching a scale of over 100,000 units for breakeven [2][13] AI Server Business Developments - The company has begun shipping chassis components to major domestic clients and plans to expand into liquid cooling modules and SSD assembly in 2026 [2][15] AR Glasses and Future Prospects - Plans to start mass production of light guide lenses for AR glasses in 2026, leveraging advanced coating technology [2][19] - Anticipated value for each AR glasses unit could reach up to 1,000 CNY when including light guide chips [2][20] Overall Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook for Q4 and the full year, despite a slight delay in peak season orders compared to previous years [2][14]