3nm 1.6T OSFP 2xFR4光模块
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中际旭创(300308):业绩符合预期,看好高端产品放量
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-03 06:37
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 met market expectations, with revenue of 25.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.4%, and a net profit of 7.13 billion yuan, up 90.1% year-on-year [8] - The demand for 800G and 1.6T products is high, and the company is experiencing an upward trend in profit margins, with a gross margin of 42.8% in Q3 2025, an increase of 9.2 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is actively expanding production and increasing R&D investment, with R&D expenses reaching 950 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 27.4% increase year-on-year [8] - The demand for AI computing power is expected to drive a surge in optical communication demand, benefiting the company as a leading global optical module manufacturer [8] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 9.90 billion yuan, 14.41 billion yuan, and 18.39 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 53, 36, and 29 times [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 35.31 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 47.97% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 9.90 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 91.48% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 8.91 yuan per share in 2025 [1] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve to 42.64% in 2026 and 43.51% in 2027 [9] - The company's asset-liability ratio is projected to decrease to 24.95% by 2026 [9]
中际旭创(300308):利润率亮眼 SCALE-UP有望助力公司长期成长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 02:47
Group 1 - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 8.12 billion and net profit at 2.41 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 36.3% and 78.8% respectively [1] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 41.5%, up 8.1 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a continuous improvement in profitability driven by the expansion of 800G shipments and the ramp-up of silicon photonic modules [1] - The company is expected to maintain high growth in profit margins due to cost dilution from increased shipment volumes and higher-margin products, alongside ongoing optimization of sales, management, and R&D expenses [1] Group 2 - The company is actively expanding production capacity and increasing R&D investment, with R&D spending reaching 590 million in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [2] - The successful development of advanced optical modules, including 3nm 1.6T OSFP and 800G LR2 OSFP, positions the company favorably to meet mainstream customer demands and maintain its leading position in the industry [2] - The company is expected to benefit from structural advantages in material supply while continuing to expand its high-end product lines in response to strong market demand [2] Group 3 - The logic of growth in the computing power industry is shifting, with increasing demand for larger scale-up supernodes, which is expected to drive demand for optical interconnects due to their advantages in transmission distance [3] - The company is projected to see continued profit margin improvements with the ramp-up of silicon photonic and 1.6T products, leading to upward revisions in net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] - The company's projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 40, 28, and 22 times respectively, indicating a strong investment outlook [3]
中际旭创(300308):2025半年度业绩点评:利润率亮眼,scale-up有望助力公司长期成长
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-29 02:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 14.79 billion yuan, up 37.0% year-on-year, and net profit at 4.00 billion yuan, up 69.4% year-on-year [7] - The expansion of 800G shipment scale and the ramp-up of silicon photonic modules are contributing to the company's rising profit margins, with a gross margin of 41.5% in Q2 2025, an increase of 8.1 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company is actively increasing production capacity and investing in R&D for advanced products, with R&D expenditure reaching 590 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [7] - The shift in the computing industry towards larger scale-up nodes is expected to drive demand for optical interconnects, positioning the company favorably as a leading global optical module manufacturer [7] - The profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been revised upwards to 9.90 billion yuan, 14.42 billion yuan, and 18.40 billion yuan respectively, reflecting the anticipated increase in profit margins [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 10.72 billion yuan in 2023 to 58.22 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.74% [1][8] - Net profit is expected to increase from 2.17 billion yuan in 2023 to 18.40 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 27.59% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.96 yuan in 2023 to 16.56 yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 183.54 in 2023 to 21.68 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [1][8]