Core Insights - There is a record proportion of stocks in 401(k) accounts across almost all age groups of American workers, driven by a prolonged market uptrend [1][6] - The average stock allocation in 401(k) accounts for those in their 30s reached 88% last year, up from 82% a decade ago, while for those in their 60s, it increased to 60% from 57% [1][3] - Target date funds are also seeing increased stock allocations, with the average stock allocation for new entrants reaching 92% by the end of 2024, compared to 85% in 2014 [6] Group 1 - The trend of increasing stock investments in 401(k) accounts is evident, with many investors opting for higher stock exposure due to attractive market returns [1][6] - Investors are currently favoring stocks over bonds or cash, as evidenced by the S&P 500 index's nearly 10% increase this year [1][6] - Some investors, like Eric Evans, have gone "ALL IN" on stocks, with 100% of their investments in equities, reflecting a growing risk tolerance among market participants [7][10] Group 2 - Despite concerns about high valuations based on price-to-earnings ratios, many investors remain committed to their stock holdings [8][9] - Historical trends show that Americans have increasingly relied on the stock market for retirement savings since the introduction of 401(k) plans in 1978 [9] - The belief in market recovery, supported by past interventions from the Federal Reserve or Congress, contributes to investor confidence in stock investments [9][10] Group 3 - Target date funds are shifting towards higher stock allocations, with the average stock allocation for those within five years of retirement reaching 55% in June, up from 50% in 2020 [11] - The rise of target date funds has encouraged younger investors to enter the market, often without actively choosing their stock exposure [11][12] - Asset management firms are increasingly adopting higher stock allocation strategies in target date funds to mitigate the risk of running out of funds in retirement [12][13]

摩根大通的报告显示，今年迄今，对冲基金净套现1万亿美元，与此同时，散户每月净购买股票500亿美 元，而且"几乎没有中断"。这一动态颠覆了华尔街关于投资者在市场动荡期间的行为的传统观念。 华尔街长期以来一直称散户是"傻钱"（dumb money），因为散户倾向于根据恐惧和贪婪做出决定。相比 之下，对冲基金和机构投资者被称为"聪明钱"（smart money），因为他们历来能够依靠大量数据和分 析，忽视情绪驱动的波动。今年以来的数据显示，关于这些群体行为的流行观念越来越与现实脱节。 事实上，近年来大型基金在经济衰退时更有可能逃离市场，以避免潜在损失。散户也改变了他们的投资方 式。被动管理的指数基金以及401(k)计划多年来从每次下跌都能获得回报，这意味着，当市场变得疯狂 时，很多散户不再争相退出，而是持有或者继续加仓。 对冲基金长期资本（Long-Term capital）前合伙人Victor Haghani表示："散户投资者充斥着这些庞大的资 本池，他们的行为非常明智"。Victor Haghani现在经营着管理Elm Market Navigator ETF的咨询公司Elm Wealth。 Wind 数据显示 ...