Report Overview - Date: August 28, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] - Report Type: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The short - term carbonate lithium futures are expected to stop falling and recover, with attention on the 77,000 support level. The current high supply pressure persists, but the inventory inflection point is looming as the downstream peak season approaches and social inventories have been decreasing for two weeks [9]. Summary by Section 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestion - Market performance: Carbonate lithium first rose and then fell. The main contract of carbonate lithium futures once rose above 81,000 due to market speculation about the suspension of Yifeng mines, but then declined as market risk preference dropped in the afternoon. Total trading volume increased while total open interest decreased, indicating a strong sentiment of capital leaving the market [9]. - Spot and futures: The spot price of electric - carbon decreased by 100 to 81,600. The spot premium over the 09 contract was 2,540, slightly higher than the previous day. As the 09 contract approaches the delivery month, the futures and spot prices are expected to converge [9]. - Raw material prices and production profits: The prices of Australian ore and lithium mica ore remained flat. The production profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene narrowed to 1,988, and the production loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 2,946. Despite this, salt - plant production enthusiasm remains high, and high supply pressure persists [9]. - Downstream product prices: The price of 5 - series power ternary materials remained flat, while the price of lithium iron phosphate decreased by 30. The upstream and downstream of the industrial chain showed resistance to price drops [9]. 2. Industry News - Energy innovation achievements: During the "High - quality Completion of the 14th Five - Year Plan" press conference, the National Energy Administration stated that during the 14th Five - Year Plan, new energy patents accounted for over 40% globally, and new energy technologies set new world records. New energy models and formats are booming, and new tracks are emerging, becoming an important source of new - quality productivity development [12]. - Company development: Del股份 is deeply involved in oxide solid - state battery technology, has built a sample trial - production line in Shanghai, and is accelerating the construction of a pilot line in Huzhou. Its products have obtained international certification, and it is promoting cooperation with automobile manufacturers and the implementation of diversified application scenarios [12]

碳酸锂期货日报 行业 日期 2025 年 8 月 27 日 研究员：张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员：余菲菲 研究员：彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 图1：碳酸锂现货价及价差 图2：碳酸锂期货持仓量成交量 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 碳酸锂期货探底回升，总持仓总成交继续下降，市场交投情绪下降。盘面持续 back 结构，交割月临近，09 合约对现货继续报贴水，日内现货电碳跌 800 至 81700， 贴水幅度缩窄至 2440，下游采购及点价行为较昨日略有增多。但部分厂商因此前 有大量采购行为，本周采购量级较上周相比有所收窄。下游整体采购心态转向谨 慎，普遍观望等待价格进一步下调。澳矿继续持平920，锂 ...

Report Information - Date: August 26, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - The short - term decline of lithium carbonate futures is expected to stop as downstream demand is gradually entering the peak season, consumption is supported, and the inflection point of social inventory of lithium carbonate is looming [9] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Lithium carbonate fluctuated slightly downwards, with total positions and total trading volume both decreasing, and market trading sentiment declined. The spot price of electric carbon dropped by 1400 to 82500, and the spot continued to have a premium of nearly 3000 over the futures. Downstream procurement and price - fixing behavior became more stable compared to last week [9] - Due to the active market transactions last week, downstream inventory increased. Today's trading volume declined, and downstream procurement became more cautious, waiting for further price cuts [9] - Australian ore prices remained flat at 920, lithium mica prices dropped by 60 to 1995. The profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene narrowed to 2516, and the loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 5641. In the short term, ore prices were resistant to decline, compressing salt plant profits [9] - The prices of 5 - series power ternary materials dropped by 300, and lithium iron phosphate dropped by 340, with downstream prices following the decline [9] 2. Industry News - Group14 Technologies completed a $463 million Series D financing on August 20, led by SK Inc., with participation from existing investors. The funds will be used to expand the production capacity of its silicon anode material SCC55 in the US and South Korea to meet the surging global energy storage demand [12] - The National Energy Administration released the national power industry statistics for January - July. As of the end of July, the cumulative installed power generation capacity nationwide was 3.67 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 18.2%. Among them, the installed capacity of solar power was 1.11 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 50.8%; the installed capacity of wind power was 0.57 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 22.1%. From January to July, the average utilization hours of national power generation equipment were 1806 hours, 188 hours lower than the same period last year [12]