Workflow
碳酸锂现货
icon
Search documents
碳酸锂期货日报-20250924
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-24 02:04
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures rebounded after hitting a bottom. Although the supply pressure remains as the weekly production reached a record high last week, the demand growth is higher than the supply, leading to inventory reduction. It is expected that it is difficult for lithium carbonate to open a downward space in the short - term [10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The lithium carbonate futures hit a bottom and then rebounded. The main contract dropped to a minimum of 72,360 during the session. All industrial products fell during the session, and lithium carbonate futures followed suit, but it turned positive first driven by downstream point - price purchases at low points. The spot electric carbon price remained flat at 73,850, and the spot still had a slight premium over the futures. The price of Australian ore remained flat at 832.5, and the price of lithium mica remained flat at 1,900. The production loss of plants using externally - purchased lithium spodumene narrowed to 2,759, and the production loss of plants using externally - purchased lithium mica remained flat at 8,521. Although salt plants are currently making losses, it does not affect their production enthusiasm [10]. 3.2. Industry News - On September 22, Chile's economic development agency Corfo submitted a resolution to the Comptroller General's Office (CGR) to approve the modification of the contract for the Atacama Salt Lake project with SQM Salar SpA and the OMA mineral lease contract, extending the contract validity to 2030. It also submitted a new mineral lease contract for the Atacama Salt Lake with Codelco and its subsidiary Minera Tarar SpA, with a contract validity from 2031 to 2060. SQM and Codelco are expected to finalize a partnership for the development of the Atacama Salt Field in northern Chile this year, marking the local's first large - scale entry into lithium production [13]. - Jiuzhou Hi - Tech (300631.SZ) announced that it signed a procurement contract worth 81.5 million yuan (including 13% VAT), with a tax - free amount of 72.1239 million yuan, with SDIC Xinjiang Lithium Industry Co., Ltd. for the "Membrane Treatment System Procurement" project of the expansion and renovation project for comprehensive utilization of old brine lithium extraction from the Lop Nur Salt Lake. The signing of this contract is expected to have a positive impact on the company's future performance [13].
碳酸锂期货日报-20250917
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 03:27
日期 2025 年 9 月 17 日 碳酸锂期货日报 行业 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员:余菲菲 研究员:彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源:Wind,建信期货研究发展部 数据来源:Wind,建信期货研究发展部 碳酸锂期货冲高回落,盘面继续交易求是重要文章《纵深推进全国统一大市场建 设》释放的反内卷信号,但在未有具体政策落地前做多动力有限,总持仓下降总 成交略有增加,资金离场意愿增加。现货涨价,电碳涨 400 至 72850,盘面对现 货升水扩大,随着双节临近,下游有逢低备库需求,支撑碳酸锂现货价。澳矿涨 价 10 至 820 美元/吨,锂云母涨价 40 至 1815 元/吨,外购锂辉石盐厂生 ...
碳酸锂期货日报-20250827
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-27 02:36
碳酸锂期货日报 行业 日期 2025 年 8 月 27 日 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员:余菲菲 研究员:彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 图1:碳酸锂现货价及价差 图2:碳酸锂期货持仓量成交量 数据来源:Wind,建信期货研究发展部 碳酸锂期货探底回升,总持仓总成交继续下降,市场交投情绪下降。盘面持续 back 结构,交割月临近,09 合约对现货继续报贴水,日内现货电碳跌 800 至 81700, 贴水幅度缩窄至 2440,下游采购及点价行为较昨日略有增多。但部分厂商因此前 有大量采购行为,本周采购量级较上周相比有所收窄。下游整体采购心态转向谨 慎,普遍观望等待价格进一步下调。澳矿继续持平920,锂 ...
碳酸锂期货日报-20250826
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 03:06
Report Information - Date: August 26, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - The short - term decline of lithium carbonate futures is expected to stop as downstream demand is gradually entering the peak season, consumption is supported, and the inflection point of social inventory of lithium carbonate is looming [9] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Lithium carbonate fluctuated slightly downwards, with total positions and total trading volume both decreasing, and market trading sentiment declined. The spot price of electric carbon dropped by 1400 to 82500, and the spot continued to have a premium of nearly 3000 over the futures. Downstream procurement and price - fixing behavior became more stable compared to last week [9] - Due to the active market transactions last week, downstream inventory increased. Today's trading volume declined, and downstream procurement became more cautious, waiting for further price cuts [9] - Australian ore prices remained flat at 920, lithium mica prices dropped by 60 to 1995. The profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene narrowed to 2516, and the loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 5641. In the short term, ore prices were resistant to decline, compressing salt plant profits [9] - The prices of 5 - series power ternary materials dropped by 300, and lithium iron phosphate dropped by 340, with downstream prices following the decline [9] 2. Industry News - Group14 Technologies completed a $463 million Series D financing on August 20, led by SK Inc., with participation from existing investors. The funds will be used to expand the production capacity of its silicon anode material SCC55 in the US and South Korea to meet the surging global energy storage demand [12] - The National Energy Administration released the national power industry statistics for January - July. As of the end of July, the cumulative installed power generation capacity nationwide was 3.67 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 18.2%. Among them, the installed capacity of solar power was 1.11 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 50.8%; the installed capacity of wind power was 0.57 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 22.1%. From January to July, the average utilization hours of national power generation equipment were 1806 hours, 188 hours lower than the same period last year [12]
碳酸锂期货日报-20250819
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 01:52
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 19, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3][4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Performance**: Carbonate lithium futures rose significantly, with the main contract breaking through 90,000 yuan during the session. The spot price of electric carbon increased by 1,900 yuan to 84,600 yuan, Australian ore rose by 45 to 1,035, lithium mica ore rose by 85 to 2,185, 5-series power-type ternary materials rose by 500, and lithium iron phosphate rose by 515. The production profit of salt plants purchasing lithium spodumene narrowed to 1,069, and the production loss of salt plants purchasing lithium mica expanded to 4,968. The current futures price has a premium of over 4,000 yuan over the spot price [12]. - **Main Drivers**: The rise was mainly due to the news that the mining license of Qinghai Xitai Jinaier Salt Lake of CITIC Guoan expired, and short - term disturbances in the resource side were the main cause of lithium price fluctuations [12]. - **Outlook**: The high supply is expected to remain unchanged in the short term, but the market's short - term trading sentiment is still concentrated on the production cuts and suspensions in the lithium resource sector. It is expected that the price of carbonate lithium is likely to rise and difficult to fall [12]. Group 3: Industry News - **Ganfeng Lithium**: On August 18, Ganfeng Lithium stated on the interactive platform that the future reversal of lithium prices depends on the intensity of supply - side clearance and the pace of demand growth. The company is optimistic about long - term lithium demand, will adjust production capacity flexibly and optimize hedging strategies, and the current volume of carbonate lithium futures hedging is low [13]. - **India's Policy Proposal**: India proposed to reduce the goods and services tax for entry - level two - wheelers, small cars, and hybrid passenger cars, and the proposal is expected to be implemented before October [13]
多家锂电池行业A股表态“反内卷”,券商:看好核心资产配置价值
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-14 06:20
Group 1 - The recent news of the suspension of lithium mining by CATL has led to a significant increase in lithium carbonate futures prices, which in turn has caused a surge in the stock prices of domestic lithium mining companies, with Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares rising over 22% at one point this week [1] - Eight major dry-process lithium battery separator companies, including Xingyuan Material and Zhongxing New Material, have reached several agreements to combat industry overcapacity, including price discipline, scientific capacity release, and halting expansion [1] - According to Citic Securities' chief analyst Wu Weichen, the battery sector's performance is expected to exceed expectations due to improved supply and demand dynamics, with additional profit elasticity from lower raw material costs and increased operating rates anticipated by Q2 2025 [1] Group 2 - Wu Weichen expresses a strong outlook on the allocation value of China's core battery assets, highlighting that these assets have significant advantages over Japanese and Korean companies, and the valuation of Chinese battery assets is expected to rise further as more battery companies list H-shares [3]
碳酸锂期货日报-20250813
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-13 02:18
Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a daily report on lithium carbonate futures dated August 13, 2025, written by the Non - ferrous Metals Research Team of CCB Futures Research and Development Department [2][4][6] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Lithium carbonate futures rose and then fell. The market traded supply - side disturbances. There was an unconfirmed rumor of Albemarle's Chilean production line shutdown, which drove the futures price up to 88,000, but the gain narrowed at the end of the session [12] - Spot prices increased, with electric carbon rising 3,500 to 78,000. Market sentiment improved, downstream inquiries increased, and procurement willingness strengthened, leading to better trading volume [12] - The production loss of mica salt plants using purchased materials narrowed to 5,942, while that of lithium spodumene salt plants using purchased materials widened to 1,176. Salt plants' production enthusiasm is high, and the impact of the Jiaxiaowo mine shutdown on the market is weakening. There is a risk of a short - term peak and decline [12] Group 3: Industry News - Mercedes - Benz opened a lithium - ion battery recycling plant in Germany. It uses Primobius GmbH technology, has an annual processing capacity of 2,500 tons, and can produce materials for over 50,000 Mercedes - Benz EV battery modules [13] - There was market news that Albemarle's lithium carbonate production line in Chile was partially shut down due to safety issues, causing the futures price to rise by over 3,000 yuan. Albemarle's total lithium carbonate capacity in Chile is 80,000 tons per year, but the news was unconfirmed [13][14] - In July, new - energy vehicle sales reached 1.262 million, a year - on - year increase of 27.4% [14]
港股早参丨港股热度持续攀升,南向资金年内净流入超9000亿!机构称关注恒生科技补涨机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-12 01:45
Market Overview - On August 11, Hong Kong's three major indices showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.19% to 24,906.81 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.01% to 5,460.02 points, and the National Enterprises Index decreased by 0.08% to 8,888.08 points [1] - The market saw active performance in the metals and pharmaceuticals sectors, while the new consumption sector experienced widespread declines [1] - Notable individual stock movements included Bilibili rising nearly 2.5%, Alibaba increasing by nearly 2%, and declines in Huahong, Meituan, and Xiaomi [1] Southbound Capital - On August 11, southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 0.38 million HKD into Hong Kong stocks, with a cumulative net inflow of 900.84 billion HKD year-to-date, significantly surpassing the total net inflow for the entire previous year [1][2] Overnight US Market - The US stock market saw slight declines, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.45%, the S&P 500 down by 0.25%, and the Nasdaq decreasing by 0.3% [1] - Major tech stocks such as Apple and Amazon also experienced declines, with Apple down by 0.83% and Amazon by 0.62% [1] Lithium Market Dynamics - On August 11, the suspension of lithium mining operations by CATL triggered a market surge, with all futures contracts for lithium carbonate hitting the upper limit, leading to significant increases in domestic lithium carbonate spot prices and lithium mining stocks [2] - Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares saw an intraday increase of over 22% [2] Automotive Industry Performance - In July, China's automotive production and sales reached 2.591 million and 2.593 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 13.3% and 14.7% [2] - New energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.243 million and 1.262 million units, with year-on-year growth of 26.3% and 27.4% [2] - Exports of new energy vehicles totaled 225,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 120% [2] Investment Trends - The Chinese stock market has seen increased trading activity, with significant inflows into thematic ETFs and a notable recovery in the issuance of actively managed equity funds since July [2] - Southbound capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks have exceeded 900 billion HKD this year, setting a historical record [2] Short Selling Data - On August 11, a total of 636 Hong Kong stocks were short-sold, with a total short-selling amount of 22.138 billion HKD [3] - The top three stocks by short-selling amount were Meituan, Xiaomi Group, and Tencent Holdings, with short-selling amounts of 1.136 billion HKD, 1.04 billion HKD, and 1.007 billion HKD, respectively [3] Institutional Insights - According to recent market strategies from China Merchants Securities, the Hong Kong stock market may enter a consolidation phase in the short term, with a focus on potential rebound opportunities in tech stocks [4] - The long-term outlook for the Hong Kong stock market remains bullish due to factors such as the economic cycle being at a low point, supportive monetary policies, ample liquidity, and low valuations [4] - The upcoming earnings disclosures from leading tech companies in mid-August may serve as a catalyst for a new wave of tech market activity [4]
突发!“宁王”停产搅动期市,碳酸锂期货应声涨停|大宗风云
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-08-11 23:54
冶炼厂库存下降 8月11日,商品期货多数收涨,多晶硅涨超6%,工业硅涨超4%。受供应扰动消息影响,碳酸锂期货强 势涨停,主力LC2511合约涨幅达8%,报收于81000元/吨。业内人士表示,早盘碳酸锂期货直接封涨停 板,现在市场最关注的是,接下来还有几个涨停板? "近期围绕锂矿企业停产的消息持续发酵,8月9日宁德时代枧下窝矿确定停产,这一消息意味着碳酸锂 月度供需逻辑发生重大转向,由过剩转向平衡,后期有进一步向紧缺转化的可能。当前除宁德时代外, 宜春市点名的其余涉锂矿山经营暂时正常。"方正中期新能源首席研究员魏朝明接受《华夏时报》记者 采访时表示。 现货价格大幅上涨 "作为长期投资碳酸锂期货的投资者,对于此次停产事件并不意外,自7月初宜春自然资源局发送《宜春 市自然资源局关于编制储量核实报告的通知》后,宁德枧下窝8月9日采矿证到期,市场关注的焦点一直 集中在该矿山是否会停产。"期货市场交易员李欣接受记者采访时表示。 8月11日上午,宁德时代在互动平台正式回应,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后,确已暂停了 开采作业。宁德时代表示,公司正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复生 产,该事项 ...
碳酸锂期货日报-20250806
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 02:03
Report Overview - Date: August 6, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] - Team: Non-ferrous Metals Research Team [4] Key Points 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report. 2. Core View - The lithium carbonate futures market showed a pattern of rising and then falling. The market's hype about the mining end in Yichun has cooled over time. The focus of the spot market has shifted slightly downward, with the price of electric carbon dropping by 150 to 71,200. The downstream production of cathodes and cells is growing optimistically, and procurement demand has increased, but actual transactions are mainly for essential needs due to the strengthening basis. The market is cautious and waiting for the upstream lithium resource production suspension situation to be clarified, so short-term cautious observation is recommended [12]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The lithium carbonate futures market rose and then fell. The market hype about the mining end in Yichun has cooled. The spot market focus has shifted slightly downward, with the electric carbon price dropping by 150 to 71,200. The downstream production of cathodes and cells is growing optimistically, and procurement demand has increased, but actual transactions are mainly for essential needs due to the strengthening basis. The market is cautious and waiting for the upstream lithium resource production suspension situation to be clarified, so short-term cautious observation is recommended [12]. 3.2 Industry News - Chang'an Qiyuan announced its new car sales in July 2025, with 28,568 vehicles delivered in July and cumulative sales exceeding 190,000 from January to July, a year-on-year increase of 30%. The cumulative sales of Qiyuan Q07 exceeded 40,000, and Qiyuan A06 will be officially launched in the second half of the year [13]. - Beijing New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd. produced 10,745 vehicles in July 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.79%, and sold 10,280 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 6.38%. From January to July, the cumulative production was 78,754 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 162.05%, and the cumulative sales were 77,432 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 98.58% [13]. - On August 1, 2025, Tieling Economic Development Zone signed a contract with Guosheng Energy Co., Ltd., with a total investment of 3 billion yuan and an area of 230 mu. The industrial park will be built in two phases to create a complete industrial chain, including the production and recycling of positive and negative electrode materials for high-performance solid-state batteries, cell manufacturing, and Pack lines. The project will also enter cutting-edge fields such as heterojunction tandem perovskite and new energy high-end equipment R & D and manufacturing [13].