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爱美客(300896):25Q1高基数下收入同比下降 建议关注国内复苏进度及海外并购进展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 00:42
Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a revenue decline in Q1 2025 due to a high base from the previous year, but showed slight sequential growth compared to Q4 2024, indicating a gradual recovery in consumer spending [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 660 million yuan, a decrease of 17.9% year-on-year, but a slight increase of 1.5% quarter-on-quarter from 650 million yuan in Q4 2024 [1] - The gross margin remained relatively stable at 93.9%, with operating expense ratios increasing due to a decline in revenue and new R&D investments [1] - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 440 million yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year, but the net profit margin improved to 66.9%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points, primarily due to significant gains from fair value changes in investments and increased other income [1] Acquisition and Growth Potential - The company announced plans to acquire 85% of South Korean REGEN for 190 million USD, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue and profit starting in 2026 [2] - REGEN reported revenue of 72.23 million yuan and net profit of 29.5 million yuan for the first nine months of 2024, with plans to expand production capacity [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts revenues of 3.3 billion yuan and 3.6 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.2% and 9.1% [3] - Projected net profits for the same years are 2.02 billion yuan and 2.18 billion yuan, with growth rates of 3.1% and 7.7% [3] - The target price is set at 299.47 yuan per share, reflecting a price-to-earnings ratio of 45x for 2025 and 42x for 2026, emphasizing the company's strong brand and channel advantages [3]
爱美客:25Q1高基数下收入同比下降,建议关注国内复苏进度及海外并购进展-20250505
海通国际· 2025-05-05 15:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1][2][16]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 17.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025 due to a high base effect, with revenue reported at RMB 660 million. However, there was a slight quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.5% compared to Q4 2024 [3][11]. - The gross margin remained stable at 93.9%, while operating expenses increased due to higher sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios [12]. - Non-recurring gains offset the revenue decline, leading to a net profit of RMB 440 million, down 15.9% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 66.9% [13]. - The company is planning to acquire 85% of South Korean company REGEN, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue and profits starting in 2026 [14][16]. - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are projected at RMB 3.30 billion and RMB 3.60 billion, and RMB 2.02 billion and RMB 2.18 billion respectively, indicating year-on-year growth of 9.2% and 9.1% for revenue, and 3.1% and 7.7% for net profit [15][16]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve revenue of RMB 3.30 billion and net profit of RMB 2.02 billion, with respective growth rates of 9.2% and 3.1% [15]. - The projected diluted EPS for 2025 is RMB 6.67, with a P/E ratio of 26 [5][9]. - The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 94.6% for 2025, with a projected return on equity (ROE) of 20.6% [5][9].
爱美客(300896):25Q1高基数下收入同比下降,建议关注国内复苏进度及海外并购进展
Haitong Securities International· 2025-05-05 07:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][5][16]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 17.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025 due to a high base effect, with revenue reported at RMB 660 million. However, there was a slight quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.5% compared to Q4 2024 [3][11]. - The gross margin remained stable at 93.9%, while operating expenses increased due to higher sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios, leading to an overall operating expense ratio increase of 3.9 percentage points [12]. - Non-recurring gains offset the revenue decline, resulting in a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 440 million, down 15.9% year-on-year, but with a net profit margin improvement to 66.9% [13]. - The company is planning to acquire 85% of South Korean company REGEN for USD 190 million, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue and profits in 2026 [14][16]. - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 3.30 billion and RMB 3.60 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.2% and 9.1% [15][16]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3,026 million for 2024, with projections of RMB 3,304 million for 2025 and RMB 3,603 million for 2026, indicating a consistent growth trajectory [9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 2.02 billion in 2025 and RMB 2.18 billion in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.1% and 7.7% [15][16]. - The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 94.6% for 2025, with a projected decline to 93.6% by 2026 [9].