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What Does 13% YTD Drop Mean for PayPal Stock? Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 16:46
Core Insights - PayPal (PYPL) shares have declined 13.7% year to date, primarily due to increased competition in the fintech sector from companies like Visa, Mastercard, Apple Pay, and Adyen [1][2] - Despite PayPal's struggles, Visa and Mastercard have seen share increases of 10.3% and 4.5% respectively, indicating PayPal's relative underperformance [2][7] - PayPal is transitioning from a payments provider to a comprehensive commerce partner, focusing on personalized experiences and a unified platform for consumers and merchants [3][18] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, PayPal's transaction margin dollars increased by 7% year over year to $3.72 billion, driven by strong performance in omnichannel commerce and Venmo, with Venmo revenues rising by 20% [4][10] - The Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) segment saw over 20% volume growth in Q1, with monthly active accounts up 18% year over year, indicating strong consumer engagement [5][7] - PayPal's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 13.74X, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.48X, suggesting the stock is undervalued compared to peers like Visa and Mastercard [11][13] Strategic Initiatives - PayPal is expanding its omnichannel strategy internationally, with plans to roll out NFC functionality in Germany and the UK [4][10] - The company is enhancing its partnerships with firms like Coinbase, Fiserv, and Shopify to bolster its growth outlook and expand the adoption of its PayPal USD stablecoin [9][18] - Investments in product modernization and geographic expansion are expected to impact margin improvement in the near term, but are essential for long-term growth [10][18] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal's 2025 earnings is $5.08 per share, reflecting a 9.25% growth over 2024, with Q2 2025 earnings estimated at $1.30 per share, indicating a 9.2% increase year over year [14][15] - Recent estimate revisions show a positive trend for the second quarter and full years 2025 and 2026, although the outlook for Q3 is less favorable [14][19]
Affirm Raises Fiscal 2025 Guidance: A Signal for Sustainable Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 16:56
Key Takeaways AFRM raised fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to $3.163-$3.193B after a strong Q3 performance. Higher GMV, more repeat customers and card revenues supported AFRM's quarterly gains. AFRM expects fiscal 2025 GMV of $35.7-$36B, up from its previous forecast of $34.74-$35.34B.A leading player in the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) space, Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) slightly raised its full-year guidance for fiscal 2025. After a robust result in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, AFRM also raised its fourth-q ...
Affirm's Active Merchants Rise: A Strategic Advantage in BNPL Space?
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 16:51
Key Takeaways AFRM grew active merchants 23% YoY in fiscal 3Q 2025, reaching around 358,000 partners. GMV surged 36% YoY to $8.6B in fiscal 3Q 2025, with FY25 GMV forecasted at $35.7-$36B. Merchant network revenues rose 34.3% YoY, backed by key partnerships and product enhancements.Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is primarily focusing on growth and merchant expansion. It is strengthening its position in the competitive market of Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) through merchant adoptions on its platform. The company ...
Is Costco's BNPL Push a Catalyst for Big-Ticket E-Commerce?
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 15:21
Group 1: Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation has launched a Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) initiative in partnership with Affirm, targeting high-ticket categories through its e-commerce platform [1][7] - The BNPL option aims to reduce psychological barriers to purchase, particularly for younger and budget-conscious consumers, potentially unlocking new purchasing behaviors in large-item categories [2][3] - Costco's e-commerce comparable sales increased by 14.8% in the third quarter, with the BNPL initiative expected to further enhance this growth momentum [3][7] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Walmart and Amazon have already integrated BNPL options into their platforms, with Walmart focusing on seasonal items and electronics, while Amazon offers Amazon Pay Later for easier access to higher-priced items [4][5] Group 3: Financial Performance and Estimates - Costco's stock has performed well, with a year-to-date increase of 14.8%, surpassing the industry's growth of 8.7% [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year growth of 8.1% in sales and 11.9% in earnings per share for the current financial year [9] - Costco's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 54.21, higher than the industry average of 34.39, indicating a premium valuation [8]
Why Sezzle Stands Out: A Compelling Investment Opportunity In The Buy Now Pay Later Space
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-02 18:34
Group 1 - The article focuses on Sezzle, a pure-play Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) company, highlighting its rapid growth in the financial technology sector [1] - The author has experience analyzing diversified transaction and payment processing companies, indicating a strong background in the financial technology industry [1] - The author expresses a personal interest in investing, particularly in technology stocks, which may influence the analysis of Sezzle [1] Group 2 - There is no specific financial data or performance metrics provided in the documents to summarize [2]
PayPal Stock Trades 25% Below its 52-Week High: Buy, Sell or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-05-26 17:11
PayPal (PYPL) shares closed at $69.85 on Friday, 25.4% below the 52-week high of $93.66 it hit on Dec. 9, 2024. PayPal shares have dropped 18.1% year to date (YTD), which can be attributed to intensifying competition in the fintech industry from the likes of Visa (V) , Mastercard (MA) , Apple Pay, Adyen and others. A challenging macroeconomic environment and uncertainty over higher tariffs on trade partners, China, Canada and Mexico, has been an overhang on the stock.PayPal stock has also underperformed its ...
PayPal vs. Block: Which Fintech Stock is a Stronger Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 17:26
PayPal (PYPL) and Block (XYZ) are well-known providers of digital payments in the rapidly evolving fintech sector. Both offer peer-to-peer payments, Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) solutions and a cryptocurrency buy-sell platform. An expanding portfolio and rich partner base make both PayPal and Block well-positioned to address the growing needs of the global fintech market. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are bringing rapid changes in the fintech market with growing demand for digital wallets, tokeni ...
PayPal(PYPL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 12:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PayPal delivered a strong first quarter with non-GAAP earnings per share increasing by 23% year over year to $1.33 [6][32] - Transaction margin dollars grew by 7% or 8% excluding last year's Leap Day, outperforming previous guidance [31][32] - Free cash flow reached $1 billion in Q1, bringing trailing twelve-month free cash flow to $6 billion [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total active accounts increased by approximately 1.5 million from the previous quarter, totaling 436 million, with monthly active accounts up 2% year over year to 224 million [32] - Branded Experiences total payment volume (TPV) grew by 8% excluding last year's Leap Day, driven by omnichannel initiatives [8][34] - Venmo experienced a 20% revenue growth, with TPV increasing over 50% and monthly active accounts growing by 30% [10][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total payment volume grew by 3% at spot and 4% on a currency-neutral basis to $417 billion [33] - Online branded checkout volumes increased nearly 6% excluding last year's Leap Day, reflecting strong consumer engagement [12][34] - Debit card TPV grew approximately 64% in Q1, with Venmo debit card monthly active accounts increasing nearly 40% [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PayPal is transforming from a payments company to a comprehensive commerce platform, focusing on personalized experiences and a dynamic smart wallet [4][5] - The company aims to enhance profitability through strategic initiatives, including omnichannel commerce and value-added services [6][39] - PayPal is leveraging AI and personalization to innovate and build the future of commerce, with significant growth potential in these areas [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties but is optimistic about the company's strong start to the year and solid second-quarter expectations [11][41] - Consumer spending and the labor market have shown resilience, but potential impacts from tariffs and trading frictions are being monitored closely [41][42] - The company is maintaining its full-year guidance while expecting low to mid-single-digit revenue growth in Q2 [42][44] Other Important Information - PayPal completed $1.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter, totaling $6 billion over the past four quarters [40] - The company ended the quarter with $15.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and $12.6 billion in debt [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: How do you characterize consumer and SMB health overall? - Management noted that they are not reordering priorities despite macro uncertainties, and consumer health appears stable with no significant impacts observed yet [50][51] Question: Can you provide insights on the traction of the branded experience TPV strategy? - Management confirmed that the branded checkout strategy is driving habituation, with TPV growth over 8% and significant improvements in consumer engagement [58][60] Question: What impact do you expect from the elimination of the de minimis tariff exemption for China? - Management indicated that Chinese merchants selling into the U.S. represent less than 2% of branded checkout TPV, suggesting minimal impact [63][65] Question: Can you elaborate on the competitive landscape in Germany and the U.K.? - In Germany, PayPal is the market leader with strong consumer and merchant presence, while in the U.K., the company is rolling out a new app experience and biometrics for improved user experience [109][112]