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出了国,“人民币”就不这么叫了?这个称呼你可能没听过
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 20:43
可能有人会问:"CNY 这三个字母咋来的?难道是'China New Yuan'?"还真不是。这是国际标准化组织 (ISO)给各国货币定的"身份证代码",也就是 ISO 4217 代码,CNY 代表的是"Chinese Yuan"(中国 元),Yuan 就是"元"的拼音,前面加个"Chinese"区分其他以"元"为单位的货币(比如日元是 Yen)。 出了国,"人民币"就不这么叫了?这个称呼你可能没听过 每次收拾行李准备出国,我都得提前去银行换点外币,前几年第一次去泰国时还闹过笑话——在换钱的 小店,老板拿着我的人民币问"要换多少 CNY 呀?",我当场懵了:"CNY 是啥?我带的是人民币 啊!"后来才知道,原来出了国,"人民币"就不叫"人民币"了,这些国际上的称呼,没接触过还真容易 反应不过来。 其实不光是咱普通老百姓,身边好几个常出国的朋友,第一次听到这些称呼也得愣一下。今天就跟大家 讲清楚:人民币在国外到底叫啥,哪些称呼容易搞混,下次出国再听到,咱也能稳稳接住话茬。 1. 国际官方"身份证":CNY,人民币的"标准大名" 咱先明确一点:"人民币"是咱们国内的习惯叫法,就像家里人喊你的小名,亲切但不通用。到 ...
Tariffs, Rare Earths, and the Search for an Off-Ramp
Investing· 2025-10-14 06:38
Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis covering various financial instruments including the US Dollar, Chinese Yuan, Copper Futures, Brent Oil Futures, and Crude Oil WTI Futures [1] Group 2 - The analysis highlights the performance trends of the US Dollar against the Chinese Yuan, indicating fluctuations that may impact trade dynamics [1] - It discusses the current state of Copper Futures, noting price movements that reflect supply and demand factors in the market [1] - The report examines Brent Oil Futures and Crude Oil WTI Futures, analyzing their price trends and implications for the energy sector [1]
美元主导与美元贬值-行进在不同轨道-Global Markets Analyst_ Dollar Dominance and Dollar Depreciation — Moving on Different Tracks (Trivedi_Jenkins)
2025-09-26 02:29
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Dollar's dominance and depreciation** within the context of the international financial system, analyzing its current status and future outlook. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Dollar's Future**: The Dollar is unlikely to be replaced soon, but it is expected to depreciate due to the US economy's less exceptional performance, making it harder to attract unhedged capital flows [3][4][5] 2. **De-dollarization Evidence**: There is limited evidence of de-dollarization despite a decline in the Dollar's share of central bank reserves by approximately 8 percentage points since 2015. The Dollar remains dominant in global debt issuance, cross-border transactions, and spot FX trading volumes [10][12][16] 3. **Structural Factors**: The US's share of global debt, GDP, and trade are more significant for the Dollar's internationalization than short-term financial swings. The gradual erosion of Dollar dominance is anticipated, but displacement appears distant [3][32][41] 4. **TINA Factor**: Attempts to diversify away from Dollar dominance are hindered by the unmatched scale, liquidity, and network effects of the Dollar. Alternatives like the Euro and Renminbi face significant challenges [4][58][61] 5. **Forward-Looking Dollar View**: The Dollar is expected to depreciate further due to less exceptional economic performance and a high valuation that needs correction. The Euro and Yuan are projected to strengthen due to favorable economic conditions in Europe and China [65][69][70] Additional Important Considerations 1. **Impact of US Policies**: The US's evolving trade and security policies may impact its share of global trade, which could have significant implications for Dollar internationalization. A 5 percentage point reduction in the US's share of global trade could lead to a ~2.5 percentage point decrease in the Dollar's global usage [42][45] 2. **Historical Context**: Historical patterns indicate that shifts in currency dominance can be slow and complex, often influenced by geopolitical factors and institutional considerations. The UK’s experience with Sterling illustrates this inertia [45][53] 3. **Stablecoins and Dollar Dominance**: The rise of Dollar-pegged stablecoins reinforces the Dollar's global standing, as the majority of circulating stablecoins are Dollar-based [54][60] 4. **Gradual Changes**: The report emphasizes that any erosion of Dollar dominance is likely to be a multi-decade process, while further Dollar depreciation is expected in the near term [71][74] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the Dollar's current status and future outlook in the global financial system.