比亚迪（002594.SZ） 汽车/乘用车 2025 年 03 月 26 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/3/25 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 369.59 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 403.40/201.17 | | 总市值(亿元) | 11,232.08 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 4,296.17 | | 总股本(亿股) | 30.39 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 11.62 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 75.68 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 比亚迪 沪深300 相关研究报告 《闪电配售破浪前行，全球化及智能 化进程再提速—公司信息更新报告》 -2025.3.5 xujianfeng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790123070014 Q4 旺季销量同环比高增，营收/归母净利润再创新高 公司发布 2024 年年报，实现营收 7771.0 亿元，同比+29.0%；归母净利 402.5 亿 元，同比+34.0%，主要系全年销量同比+41.3%、 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that BYD's recent H-share placement of 1.3 billion shares at a price of 335.2 HKD per share is the largest equity refinancing project in the global automotive industry in the past decade, attracting significant long-term capital support, indicating strong investor confidence in the company's growth prospects [4] - The report maintains and raises the earnings forecasts for BYD for 2024 and 2025-2026, projecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 40.02 billion, 53.18 billion (+8.1%), and 64.67 billion (+8.1) for the years 2024-2026, respectively [4] - The current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 24.0, 18.1, and 14.9 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, reflecting a positive long-term outlook for the company [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2022 was 424.06 billion, with projections of 602.32 billion for 2023, 740.11 billion for 2024, 900.71 billion for 2025, and 1,016.88 billion for 2026, showing a year-on-year growth of 96.2%, 42.0%, 22.9%, 21.7%, and 12.9% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 16.62 billion in 2022, expected to rise to 30.04 billion in 2023, 40.02 billion in 2024, 53.18 billion in 2025, and 64.67 billion in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 445.9%, 80.7%, 33.2%, 32.9%, and 21.6% respectively [6] - Gross margin is projected to improve from 17.0% in 2022 to 21.8% in 2026, while net margin is expected to increase from 3.9% to 6.4% over the same period [6] Market Expansion and Product Development - BYD has entered over 100 countries and regions across six continents, with overseas sales increasing by 83% and 188% year-on-year in January and February 2025, respectively [5] - The company is focusing on high-level intelligent driving technology, with the "Tian Shen Zhi Yan C" program enabling advanced features like highway navigation and valet parking, set to enhance product competitiveness [5] - The introduction of new models at competitive price points, including high-level intelligent driving features, is expected to solidify BYD's market position [5] Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the acceleration of BYD's internationalization and intelligent business development, with significant capacity expansion in Hungary and Brazil, and agreements signed for factories in Indonesia and Turkey [5] - The company plans to fully switch to DM5.0 technology and launch a new generation of blade batteries, with energy density expected to increase by over 35%, enhancing vehicle range and safety [5]