证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 08 月 26 日 道恩股份（002838.SZ） DVA 成功在即，机器人仿真皮肤弹性体技术突破 周期/化工 强烈推荐（维持） 公司发布 2025 年半年报，2025 年上半年实现营业收入 28.81 亿元，同比增长 24.08%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 8404.47 万元，同比增长 25.80%； 实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润 7936.58 万元，同比增 长 41.69%。 目标估值：NA 当前股价：28.2 元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 478 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股（百万股） | 421 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 13.5 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 11.9 | | 每股净资产（MRQ） | 7.4 | | ROE（TTM） | 4.5 | | 资产负债率 | 45.0% | | 主要股东 | 道恩集团有限公司 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 41.4% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 25 120 245 相对表现 18 110 213 资料来源：公司数据、招商证 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with projections ranging from 78.17 to 90.19 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 17% to 35% [1]. - The growth in the company's main business is driven by record sales in elastomers and modified plastics, supported by favorable government policies promoting consumption in the new energy vehicle and home appliance sectors [5]. - The TPV (Thermoplastic Vulcanizate) business is anticipated to accelerate due to price increases and expanding applications in various sectors, including new energy vehicles [5]. - The company is strategically investing in R&D for advanced technologies like DVA (Dynamic Vapor Absorption), which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and growth potential [5]. Financial Data Summary - The company reported total revenue of 4.544 billion yuan in 2023, with projected revenues of 6.133 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 16% [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 140 million yuan in 2023 to 205 million yuan in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 46% [9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 4.6% in 2023 to 6.4% in 2025, showcasing enhanced profitability [10].

Company Overview - Founded in 2002, Daon Co., Ltd. specializes in high-performance thermoplastic elastomers, modified plastics, color masterbatches, and polyester materials, with a focus on R&D, production, sales, and service [2] - The company has an annual production capacity of 500,000 tons for modified plastics, 90,000 tons for thermoplastic elastomers, 30,000 tons for color masterbatches, and 60,000 tons for copolyester materials [2] - Daon has established a comprehensive R&D system with four major platforms and nine production R&D bases, emphasizing innovation and collaboration with academia [2] Performance Growth Factors - The company's first-quarter performance growth was driven by a decrease in raw material prices, leading to lower production costs [3] - Strong growth in the automotive, home appliance, and electronics sectors, supported by government policies promoting product upgrades, contributed to record sales volumes [3] Acquisition Strategy - The acquisition of Daon Titanium Industry is aimed at enhancing synergy between the two companies, leveraging Daon Titanium's products in the inorganic chemical sector to complement Daon's polymer materials business [4] - The integration of high polymer new materials and titanium industries is expected to improve management efficiency and extend the industrial chain [4] Acquisition Progress - On April 28, the board approved the asset purchase and fundraising plan for the acquisition of Daon Titanium, with a shareholder meeting scheduled for May 16 to review the matter [5] Product Applications - Daon’s modified materials are utilized in robotics, including nylon and alloy materials for robotic arms, and elastic materials for bionic robots [6] - The company is actively developing high polymer composite materials for the robotics sector [6] Expansion Plans - Daon plans to expand its TPU and polyol projects, anticipating a growing market demand, with the domestic TPU market accounting for over 70% of global capacity [7] - The company aims to establish a phased production capacity of 100,000 tons of TPU and 60,000 tons of polyol to enhance its product chain and meet future market needs [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in modified plastics, with a significant increase in revenue and profit in 2024, driven by strategic partnerships and new capacity from its southwestern headquarters [4][5] - The thermoplastic elastomer segment is building a competitive moat, benefiting from accelerated domestic substitution and expansion into new applications, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [4][5] - New product development across various technology platforms is expected to open long-term growth opportunities, with successful testing and commercialization of new materials like DVA and HNBR [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.65%, and a net profit of 141 million yuan, up 0.67% [4][8] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.532 billion yuan, representing a 29.17% year-on-year growth [4] - The first quarter of 2025 reported a net profit of 44.284 million yuan, a 25.44% increase compared to the previous year [4] Product Segment Performance - Revenue from modified plastics in 2024 reached 3.806 billion yuan, growing by 19.18%, with sales volume increasing by 20.60% [4] - The thermoplastic elastomer segment generated 768 million yuan in revenue, up 21.34%, with sales volume rising by 27.00% [4] Future Earnings Forecast - Expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected at 0.43, 0.57, and 0.73 yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [6][8] - Revenue growth rates are forecasted at 11.69% for 2025, 13.12% for 2026, and 12.67% for 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a profit recovery in 2024, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit projected for the coming years [2][5] - The DVA (Dynamic Vapor Absorption) technology is nearing industrialization, with promising applications in tire manufacturing, which could enhance the company's market position [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.65%, and a net profit of 141 million yuan, up 0.67% year-on-year [2][9] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.532 billion yuan, representing a 29.77% year-on-year growth and a 5.87% quarter-on-quarter increase [2] Product Sales and Margins - The sales volume of key products such as modified plastics, thermoplastic elastomers, and color masterbatches increased in 2024, with respective sales volumes of 38.80, 4.72, and 2.60 million tons [3] - The gross margin for Q4 improved to 13.42%, an increase of 2.28 percentage points from Q3 [3] Research and Development - The company has made significant advancements in DVA technology, which is expected to start mass testing in early 2025, positioning it as a leader in this innovative field [4] - The company has increased its R&D expenditure by 39.75% in 2024, reflecting a commitment to innovation and product development [3] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 57.03 billion yuan, 64.51 billion yuan, and 76.20 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 2.06 billion yuan, 3.06 billion yuan, and 4.41 billion yuan [5][9] - The expected EPS for the same years is 0.45 yuan, 0.67 yuan, and 0.97 yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [5][9]