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Sea Limited Rises 46% Year to Date: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 17:00
Core Insights - Sea Limited (SE) shares have increased by 45.5% year to date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet Software industry's growth of 10.6% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's rise of 1.1% [2] - The company's growth is driven by strong performance in its three main segments: Shopee (e-commerce), Monee (digital financial services), and Garena (digital entertainment) [2][8] Sea Limited's Performance - Year-to-date, Sea Limited has outperformed competitors such as NetEase, Alibaba, and JD.com, with NetEase and Alibaba shares appreciating by 45% and 33.1% respectively, while JD.com shares have decreased by 5.6% [3] - The stock is currently trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [6] - Shopee achieved a record gross merchandise volume (GMV) of $28.6 billion, a 21.5% increase year over year, while revenue rose by 28.3% to $3.5 billion [11][12] - Monee's revenue surged by 57.1% year over year to $787.1 million, benefiting from its expansion into Brazil and diversification into banking, investment, and insurance [14] - Garena's revenues increased by 8.2% year over year to $495.6 million, with bookings rising by 51.4% to $775.4 million, driven by the success of the game Free Fire [15] Financial Metrics and Estimates - Adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited reached $264.4 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $21.7 million in the previous year, attributed to higher take rates and cost optimization [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SE's second-quarter 2025 earnings is $1.03 per share, reflecting a 123.91% increase from the previous year [18] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $4.23 per share, indicating a 151.79% jump from 2024's reported figure [18] Valuation and Market Position - Sea Limited shares are considered overvalued, with a forward Price/Book (P/B) ratio of 10.02X compared to the industry's 6.26X [19] - The P/B ratio is also higher than that of competitors NetEase, Alibaba, and JD.com, which are trading at 4.03X, 1.81X, and 1.22X respectively [21] Competitive Landscape - Despite strong performance, Sea Limited faces stiff competition in Asia and Brazil, particularly with the introduction of TikTok Shop in Brazil, which poses a significant challenge in the e-commerce sector [22] - Shopee Live is experiencing slow uptake in Brazil due to early-stage market conditions and limited awareness of live shopping [23]
Sea Limited's Gaming Growth Accelerates: Can Garena Push It Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-06-10 17:31
Core Insights - Sea Limited's digital entertainment division, Garena, has shown strong performance in Q1 2025, primarily due to the success of its flagship game, Free Fire, which is expected to maintain momentum throughout the year [1] Financial Performance - Garena's revenues increased by 8.2% year over year to $495.6 million, while bookings surged by 51.4% to $775.4 million, driven by strong user engagement with 661.8 million active users and improved monetization per user [2] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for Garena reached 59%, indicating operational efficiency [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sea Limited's 2025 earnings is projected at $4.23 per share, reflecting a 151.79% growth compared to fiscal 2024 [11] User Engagement and Growth - Free Fire's engagement levels are exceptionally high, with daily active users approaching pandemic highs, showcasing its dominance in the mobile gaming sector [3] - Garena anticipates maintaining double-digit year-over-year growth in both user base and bookings, supported by the launch of Delta Force Mobile and the pre-registration for Free City [4][10] Competitive Landscape - Sea Limited faces competition from Take-Two Interactive and Roblox, with each company employing different monetization strategies and market approaches [5][6] - Roblox reported a 26% increase in daily users to nearly 100 million and a 31% rise in bookings to $1.21 billion, focusing on user-generated content and scalability [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Sea Limited's shares have increased by 55.1% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's return of 13.3% [8] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 33.18, which is higher than the sector's average of 26.22 [11]
Sea(纪要):没法给游戏流水全年指引,电商利润率目标GMV的2%~3%
海豚投研· 2025-05-17 09:38
Financial Performance Overview - Sea's total revenue for Q1 FY25 was $4,841 million, showing a slight decrease of 1.1% compared to the previous quarter, but a year-over-year increase of 31% [1] - Digital entertainment revenue decreased by 7% quarter-over-quarter, but showed a year-over-year increase of 17% [1] - E-commerce revenue decreased by 3% quarter-over-quarter, with a year-over-year growth of 33% [1] - Digital financial services (DFS) revenue increased by 6.6% quarter-over-quarter, with a year-over-year growth of 48% [1] - Gross profits for Q1 FY25 were $2,236 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 37% [1] - Operating profits reached $456 million, a significant increase of 76% compared to the previous quarter [1] Digital Financial Services - The digital financial services brand was rebranded from SeaMoney to "Money," becoming a leading unsecured consumer credit service in Southeast Asia and expanding into Brazil [2] - Over 4 million new borrowers were added in Q1, with active users exceeding 28 million, a year-over-year increase of over 50% [2] E-commerce Performance - Advertising revenue in the e-commerce segment grew by over 50% year-over-year, with average monthly active buyers increasing by over 15% [3] - The company launched instant delivery services in key cities in Indonesia and introduced a paid membership program that attracted over 1 million subscribers by the end of March [3] - Sea aims for a 20% growth in GMV for the year, driven by the potential in the Brazilian market [3] Digital Entertainment Strategy - The collaboration between "Free Fire" and "Naruto" launched in January 2025, marking the largest anime IP collaboration to date, which successfully attracted new users and re-engaged lapsed players [4][5] - The game "Free Fire" achieved daily active users close to peak levels seen during the pandemic [5] - The company is expanding its game portfolio, with the release of "Delta Force Mobile" in April 2025, which has already garnered over 10 million downloads [5]
Sea(SE) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-13 12:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total GAAP revenue increased by 30% year on year to $4.8 billion in Q1 2025, driven primarily by GMV growth in e-commerce and digital financial services [31] - Total adjusted EBITDA was $947 million, compared to $401 million in the same period last year [31] - Net income was $411 million in Q1 2025, compared to a net loss of $23 million in Q1 2024 [33] Business Line Performance Changes E-commerce (Shopee) - Gross orders grew by 20% year on year to $3.1 billion, while GMV increased by 22% year on year to $28.6 billion in Q1 2025 [31] - Ad revenue grew by more than 50% year on year in Q1 2025 [9] - Adjusted EBITDA for e-commerce was $264 million in Q1 2025, compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $22 million in Q1 2024 [31] Digital Financial Services (Money) - Revenue grew by 58% year on year to $787 million, with adjusted EBITDA up by 62% year on year to $241 million [31] - Loan book grew by over 75% year on year to reach $5.8 billion, driven by the expansion of the user base [16] - Active users for consumer and SME loan products exceeded 28 million, representing more than 50% growth year on year [17] Digital Entertainment (Garena) - Total bookings grew by 51% year on year, with adjusted EBITDA growing by 57% [24] - Free Fire's average daily active users in Q1 were close to peak levels during the pandemic [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shopee maintained market leadership with improved profitability across Asia and Brazil [8] - In Brazil, the loan book surpassed $1 billion, driven by higher penetration of S Pay Later on Shopee [18] - The overall portfolio quality for Money remained healthy, with a 90-day NPL ratio of 1.1% [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company rebranded its digital financial services business from SEA Money to Money, aiming to create a seamless connection with Shopee [6] - The focus remains on enhancing price competitiveness, improving service quality, and strengthening the content ecosystem [9] - The company is committed to capturing long-term opportunities in underserved markets, particularly in Brazil [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year guidance, citing strong growth and improving profitability across all businesses [5] - The macroeconomic environment has not materially impacted Shopee's growth, as the company operates primarily as a local marketplace [40] - Management emphasized the importance of risk management and maintaining asset quality in the financial services segment [22] Other Important Information - The company celebrated its 16th anniversary and highlighted the importance of technology in enabling financial inclusion [5][6] - The Shopee VIP membership program has seen encouraging adoption, with members purchasing more frequently and spending significantly more than regular buyers [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drives the improvement in Shopee's profitability and outlook for GMV growth? - Management attributed the growth to seasonality, improved take rates, and cost optimization, while maintaining confidence in the 20% GMV growth outlook despite macro uncertainties [36][39] Question: Can you elaborate on the strong performance of Money? - Growth was driven by higher penetration of S Pay Later on Shopee and strong performance in non-Shopee products, with a focus on prudent risk management [44] Question: What is the outlook for gaming bookings and potential volatility? - Management acknowledged strong Q1 performance but cautioned about potential quarterly volatility due to seasonality and specific collaborations [52] Question: How does the competitive landscape in Brazil affect margin expansion? - The competitive landscape remains stable, with margin improvements driven by better cost structure and operations, while monitoring the impact of new entrants like TikTok Shop [70] Question: What are the differences in asset quality management between Brazil and ASEAN markets? - Brazil presents a higher interest rate environment, requiring different risk assessment approaches, but the company has integrated more data to manage risks effectively [75]
Sea(SE) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-13 11:14
Financial Performance - The company's GAAP revenue reached $48411 million in Q1 2025[19] - Gross profit was $22 billion in Q1 2025[13] - Operating income amounted to $4564 million in Q1 2025[19] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $9465 million in Q1 2025[16] E-commerce (Shopee) - E-commerce GAAP revenue was $35 billion in Q1 2025[19] - E-commerce adjusted EBITDA was $2644 million in Q1 2025[19] - Content-driven orders accounted for approximately 20% of physical goods order volume in Q1 2025[26] Digital Financial Services - Loans principal outstanding grew over 75% year-over-year in Q1 2025[45] - Digital Financial Services GAAP revenue was $7871 million in Q1 2025[19] - Digital Financial Services adjusted EBITDA was $2414 million in Q1 2025[19] - NPL90+ ratio was relatively stable at 11% in Q1 2025[45] Digital Entertainment (Garena) - Digital Entertainment bookings reached $775 million in Q1 2025, a 51% year-over-year increase[9, 59] - Digital Entertainment adjusted EBITDA was $4582 million in Q1 2025[19]