Once hailed as the “Tesla of China,” Chinese electric vehicle (EV) startup Nio (NIO) has been out of favor with markets. NIO peaked in early 2021 when its market cap surpassed $100 billion but closed in the red for the past four consecutive years. It did break its losing streak last year, and while the stock fell sharply from its 2025 highs, it still managed to gain around 17%. Let's dig into Nio’s 2026 forecast and examine whether the stock can gain further this year. www.barchart.com Nio Reached the Mi ...

Key Takeaways NIO produced its one-millionth vehicle, a third-generation ES8, at its Hefei Xinqiao Phase II plant.The company targets 40-50% annual sales growth and plans 10,000 charging and battery-swap locations by 2030.NIO has spent 65B yuan on R&D and 18B yuan on infrastructure, delivering 326,028 vehicles in 2025.NIO Inc. (NIO) marked a major production milestone as its one-millionth mass-produced vehicle rolled off the assembly line at the NIO Advanced Manufacturing Xinqiao Phase II facility in Hefei, ...

On Dec. 30, 2025, Nio continued to climb as investors reacted to a bold $4.3 billion sales outlook and a China subsidy extension.NYSE : NIONioToday's Change( 3.00 %) $ 0.16Current Price$ 5.50Key Data PointsMarket Cap$11BDay's Range$ 5.50 - $ 5.7952wk Range$ 3.02 - $ 8.02Volume78MAvg Vol53MGross Margin11.25 %Nio (NIO +3.00%), a smart electric-vehicle maker, closed Tuesday’s session at $5.50, up 3.00%. The stock has gained 10.00% in the past five days. Trading volume reached 77.5 million shares, coming in abo ...

Core Insights - Deutsche Bank reports that NIO-SW (09866) achieved a record high October sales of 40,397 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 93% and a month-on-month increase of 16% [1] - The company's management expects the automotive gross margin for the third quarter to rise from 10.3% to between 13% and 14%, primarily benefiting from operational leverage due to rapid sales growth [1] - The bank maintains a "Buy" rating for NIO, with a target price of HKD 82 [1] Sales Performance - The flagship model ES8 SUV has delivered over 10,000 units within 41 days of its launch [1] - Weekly delivery figures for October are approximately 6,400, 7,300, 10,600, and 10,300 vehicles for the first to fourth weeks, respectively [1] - The monthly delivery figure of around 40,000 vehicles aligns with the actual delivery of 40,397 vehicles [1]

Core Insights - NIO-SW (09866) reported a 93% year-on-year increase and a 16% month-on-month increase in October sales, reaching a record high of 40,397 vehicles [1] - The management expects the automotive gross margin for Q3 to rise from 10.3% to between 13% and 14%, driven by operational leverage from rapid sales growth [1] - Deutsche Bank has assigned a "Buy" rating to NIO with a target price of 82 HKD [1] Sales Performance - The flagship model ES8 SUV achieved over 10,000 deliveries within 41 days of its launch [1] - Weekly delivery figures for October were approximately 6,400, 7,300, 10,600, and 10,300 vehicles for the first to fourth weeks, respectively [1] - The monthly delivery figure of around 40,000 vehicles aligns with the actual delivery count of 40,397 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nio has experienced a significant turnaround in 2025, moving from a four-year streak of losses to a year-to-date gain of over 70%, with a remarkable 130% increase over the last six months, driven by strong operational performance [1][2]. Group 1: Performance and Deliveries - In August and September, Nio delivered over 30,000 vehicles each month, achieving record-high shipments, primarily due to strong sales of its L90 SUV [3]. - The company launched its luxury third-generation ES8 SUV, contributing to the increase in deliveries [3]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - Nio's gross margin improved to 10% in Q2 2025, up from 9.7% in Q2 2024, with a gross profit of $264.9 million, representing a 12.4% increase from the previous year and more than double the profit from Q1 2025 [4]. - The adjusted loss per share for Q2 2025 was $0.32, slightly higher than consensus estimates, although net losses have narrowed [4]. Group 3: Future Guidance - Nio forecasts deliveries to reach 150,000 in Q4 2025, compared to 72,056 in Q2 and 87,071 in Q3 [5]. - The company expects vehicle gross margins to rise to between 16% and 17% in Q4, up from 10.3% in Q2, and aims to achieve breakeven on adjusted profits in the same quarter [5].

Core Insights - Nio has launched its third-generation ES8 SUV, showcasing its progress in the smart electric vehicle market with a focus on innovation and luxury [1][2][3] Company Overview - Nio is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and specializes in designing, developing, manufacturing, and selling electric SUVs and sedans globally. The company has a market capitalization of approximately $14.7 billion and offers various services including charging, battery swapping, and auto financing [4] Stock Performance - NIO stock has seen a dynamic journey, with a 10% increase over the past 52 weeks, a 64% rise year-to-date, and a remarkable 107% rally in the last three months [5] - Currently, NIO stock trades at 1.73 times forward sales, which is higher than the industry average but remains at a discount compared to its five-year average multiple, indicating a balance between growth potential and historical benchmarks [6] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Nio reported total revenues of $2.65 billion, reflecting a 9% year-over-year growth, although it fell short of analyst expectations of $2.77 billion. Vehicle deliveries reached 72,056, marking a 26% increase from the previous year [7][8]

Group 1 - Nio raised $1.16 billion before expenses from its latest equity offering, which is intended for developing smart EV technologies, designing new platforms and vehicle models, and expanding global charging and battery-swapping networks [3][6] - The company achieved a record delivery of over 31,300 vehicles in August, marking only the second time deliveries exceeded 30,000 [4][6] - Nio reported a 26% increase in second quarter deliveries and a 9% increase in revenue, with adjusted losses per share narrowing [5][6] Group 2 - The launch of newer mass-market brands, Firefly and Onvo, is driving Nio's rising deliveries, with the updated Onvo L60 crossover SUV set to begin deliveries in October [7] - Nio has sold out of its ES8 SUV production capacity through 2025, leading to delivery waits of up to 26 weeks, driven by strong demand and aggressive pricing [8]

Core Insights - NIO held a special event in Hangzhou, China, themed "Grow with the Light," where it shared product announcements and highlighted key innovations [3] Product Launch - The all-new third-generation ES8 SUV was officially launched during the event [3]

Group 1 - UBS upgraded Nio's stock rating from Neutral to Buy and increased the price forecast from $6.2 to $8.5 [1] - Nio has commenced nationwide shipments of its third-generation ES8 SUV to retail locations in China ahead of its official launch [1][2] - The ES8 features a standard 100-kWh battery pack with a presale price starting at 416,800 Chinese yuan ($58,530), which is a 25% reduction from the previous model's base price [3] Group 2 - Nio's strategy of shipping vehicles before the official launch aims to accelerate deliveries and enhance early sales momentum, similar to tactics used with the Onvo L90 SUV [4] - NIO stock has increased by over 28% in the past year, with shares trading higher by 7.09% to $6.950 recently [4]