Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue decreased by 10% sequentially to $3 billion, with net income attributable to Alcoa at $164 million compared to $548 million in the prior quarter, resulting in earnings per share of $0.62 [10][11] - Adjusted EBITDA was $313 million, down $542 million sequentially, primarily due to lower alumina and aluminum prices and increased U.S. Section 232 tariff costs [11][12] - Year-to-date return on equity was positive at 22.5%, with cash flow from operations providing $488 million [15][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Alumina segment, third-party revenue decreased by 28% due to lower average realized prices, partially offset by increased shipments [10] - The Aluminum segment saw a 3% increase in third-party revenue due to increased shipments and favorable currency impacts, despite a decrease in average realized prices [10][11] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Alumina segment decreased by $525 million, while the Aluminum segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by $37 million, impacted by U.S. Section 232 tariff costs [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alumina prices rebounded somewhat after a sharp decline, with over 80% of Chinese refineries operating at a deficit due to high bauxite prices [27] - U.S. Midwest premium increased to $0.68 per pound but remains below the estimated $0.75 needed to fully offset tariff costs [30][55] - Demand conditions remain steady in Europe and North America, with mixed sector performance; electrical and packaging sectors are performing well, while automotive is affected by tariff-related uncertainty [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its 2025 priorities, enhancing operational competitiveness, and navigating market dynamics to deliver long-term value [36] - Alcoa is advocating for trade policies that support both the company and the broader U.S. aluminum industry, while also redirecting Canadian production to non-U.S. customers to mitigate tariff impacts [9][77] - The long-term demand forecast for aluminum remains robust, driven by megatrends in transportation, construction, packaging, and electrical sectors [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while tariffs create near-term volatility, the broader outlook for aluminum demand remains strong, supported by global megatrends [23][26] - The company expects aluminum shipments to be adjusted to 2.5 to 2.6 million metric tons for the year, down from an initial estimate of 2.6 to 2.8 million metric tons due to disruptions at the San Ciprian smelter [16] - Management expressed confidence in navigating the challenges posed by tariffs and market dynamics, with plans to continue engaging with policymakers [8][77] Other Important Information - The company successfully concluded a five-year tax dispute in Australia with a favorable ruling, affirming no additional tax owed [7] - Alcoa's cash position at the end of the quarter was $1.5 billion, with plans to use proceeds from the sale of its stake in the Mauden joint ventures to pay related taxes and transaction fees [14][15] - The company is progressing with approvals for new mine regions in Western Australia, although timelines have been extended due to the complexity of the process [34][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of potential 50% tariffs on Brazil - Management indicated that the impact depends on whether alumina is excluded from the tariffs, with options to source from Western Australia if necessary [40][41] Question: Contingency plans for Western Australia - Management stated that no cost impact is anticipated for 2025 or 2026, with contingency plans in place to manage delays [42][46] Question: Tariff costs and Midwest premium offset - Management clarified that the second quarter tariff costs were approximately $115 million, with a Midwest premium uptick of about $60 million, resulting in margin compression [50][51] Question: San Ciprian cash burn expectations for 2026 - Management noted that while the smelter is expected to be profitable post-ramp-up, the refinery will likely incur losses [60][62] Question: Restarting spare capacity at Warrick - Management explained that restarting the fourth line at Warrick requires significant investment and time, making it contingent on tariff stability [68][70] Question: Discussions with the government regarding tariffs - Management emphasized ongoing advocacy efforts to educate the government on the aluminum market's tightness and the importance of U.S.-Canada supply chains [116][120] Question: Capital management and debt reduction - Management indicated progress in reducing net debt, with plans to evaluate capital allocation priorities once the target range is reached [120][121]

Alcoa (AA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 16, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsLouis Langlois - SVP - Treasury & Capital MarketsWilliam Oplinger - President, CEO & DirectorMolly Beerman - EVP & CFOHenry Hearle - Equity Research AssociateBill Peterson - Equity ResearchJohn Tumazos - Owner & CEOGlyn Lawcock - Head of Resources ResearchConference Call ParticipantsKatja Jancic - Metals & Mining AnalystAlex Hacking - Equity Research Analyst - Metals & MiningDaniel Major - Metals & Mining AnalystChris LaFemina - ...

Investor Presentation June 2025 OUR VALUES Act with Integrity Operate with Excellence Care for People Lead with Courage This presentation contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include those containing such words as "aims," "ambition," "anticipates," "believes," "could," "develop," "endeavors," "estimates," "expects," "forecasts," ...

Core Viewpoint - Alcoa Corporation (AA) and Constellium SE (CSTM) are key players in the aluminum sector, with high aluminum prices driven by global economic uncertainties and trade tensions, making them relevant for investors in the Zacks Metal Products - Distribution industry [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - Aluminum has gained attractiveness as an investment due to the rising demand for lighter and energy-efficient electric vehicles, recycled aluminum, and rechargeable batteries, alongside a recovery in global air travel boosting demand for aluminum alloys [2] - The demand for aluminum is increasing as industries focus on sustainability and efficiency [2] Group 2: Alcoa Corporation (AA) - Alcoa's Aluminum segment is expected to produce 2.3-2.5 million tonnes in 2025, with shipments anticipated between 2.6-2.8 million tonnes, despite recent challenges [6] - The Alumina segment is benefiting from the popularity of its low-carbon EcoLum primary aluminum, with production expected to be 9.5-9.7 million tonnes and shipments likely at 13.1-13.3 million tonnes in 2025 [7] - Alcoa's strategic actions, including the acquisition of Alumina Limited, aim to enhance its position as a leading bauxite and alumina producer, providing long-term value creation [8] - Alcoa's third-party shipments of alumina declined by 8% in Q1 2025, and total shipments from the Aluminum segment decreased by 5% sequentially [5] Group 3: Constellium SE (CSTM) - Constellium's Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products segment saw a 2% year-over-year increase in shipments to 269,000 metric tons in Q1 2025, with revenues rising 17% to $1.2 billion [9] - Total revenues for Constellium increased by 5% to $2 billion compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by strong demand and higher metal prices [10] - Constellium is investing in its production capacity and recycling capacity in France to leverage its market position [11][12] - The company has a share repurchase program of up to $300 million, with approximately $206 million remaining as of Q1 2025 [13] Group 4: Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alcoa's 2025 sales implies a year-over-year growth of 4.3%, while EPS estimates indicate a significant increase of 164.4%, although estimates have been trending downward [15] - In contrast, Constellium's 2025 sales and EPS estimates imply year-over-year growth of 7.2% and 184.2%, respectively, with EPS estimates increasing over the past 60 days [16] - Alcoa's shares have lost 32.7% in the past six months, while Constellium's stock has gained 6.6% [18] - Alcoa is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 9.12X, below its three-year median of 14.47X, while Constellium's forward earnings multiple is at 9.54X, close to its median of 9.51X [19] Group 5: Conclusion - Alcoa's strength in electrical and packaging markets is hindered by production constraints and lower shipments, leading to cautious earnings estimates [21] - Constellium's robust performance in the Packaging & Automotive segment, along with growth investments and favorable earnings estimates, positions it as a more attractive investment option compared to Alcoa [22]

Investor Presentation May 2025 OUR VALUES Act with Integrity This presentation contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include those containing such words as "aims," "ambition," "anticipates," "believes," "could," "develop," "endeavors," "estimates," "expects," "forecasts," "goal," "intends," "may," "outlook," "potential," "plans," ...