FPGA及其他芯片

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复旦微电:经营趋势向好,持续看好高可靠放量-20250511
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-05-11 13:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][7] Core Views - The company has shown a positive operational trend, with expectations for high reliability and volume growth in the future [1][3] - The company reported a revenue of 3.59 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.53%, while the net profit decreased by 20.42% to 573 million yuan [3] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 888 million yuan, a slight year-on-year decline of 0.54%, with a net profit of 136 million yuan, down 15.55% year-on-year [3] - The company is focusing on high-reliability products, with significant growth in the smart meter chip segment, which achieved a revenue increase of 44.90% year-on-year [3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3.54 billion yuan - 2024: 3.59 billion yuan - 2025: 4.15 billion yuan (16% growth) - 2026: 5.01 billion yuan (21% growth) - 2027: 6.02 billion yuan (20% growth) [2][3] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 719 million yuan - 2024: 573 million yuan - 2025: 806 million yuan (41% growth) - 2026: 1.11 billion yuan (37% growth) - 2027: 1.34 billion yuan (21% growth) [2][3] - The company's gross margin for 2024 is projected at 55.95%, down 5.26 percentage points year-on-year [3] Business Segment Performance - The revenue breakdown by business segment for 2024 includes: - Security and identification chips: 791 million yuan (down 8.31% year-on-year) - Non-volatile memory: 1.14 billion yuan (up 5.94% year-on-year) - Smart meter chips: 397 million yuan (up 44.90% year-on-year) - FPGA and other chips: 1.13 billion yuan (down 0.51% year-on-year) [3] - The company is the first domestic supplier to obtain WPC certification for security chips, indicating a strong position in the market [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for FPGA in data centers and cloud computing, positioning itself for rapid growth in the coming years [3] - The investment recommendation suggests a downward revision of net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 806 million yuan, 1.11 billion yuan, and 1.34 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 46, 33, and 28 [3]
复旦微电(688385):经营趋势向好,持续看好高可靠放量
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-05-11 12:39
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][7] Core Views - The company has shown a positive operational trend, with expectations for high reliability and volume growth in the future [1][3] - The company reported a revenue of 3.59 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.53%, while the net profit decreased by 20.42% to 573 million yuan [3] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 888 million yuan, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.54%, with a net profit of 136 million yuan, down 15.55% year-on-year [3] - The company is focusing on high-reliability products, with significant growth in the smart meter chip segment, which saw a 44.90% year-on-year increase in revenue [3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4.15 billion yuan in 2025, 5.01 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.02 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 16%, 21%, and 20% respectively [2][3] - Net profit forecasts are adjusted to 806 million yuan for 2025, 1.11 billion yuan for 2026, and 1.34 billion yuan for 2027, reflecting growth rates of 41%, 37%, and 21% respectively [3] - The company's gross margin for 2024 is projected at 55.95%, with an increase in R&D expenses to 10.31 billion yuan, representing 28.7% of revenue [3] Business Segment Performance - The revenue breakdown for 2024 includes: - Security and identification chips: 791 million yuan (down 8.31% year-on-year) - Non-volatile memory: 1.14 billion yuan (up 5.94% year-on-year) - Smart meter chips: 397 million yuan (up 44.90% year-on-year) - FPGA and other chips: 1.13 billion yuan (down 0.51% year-on-year) [3] - The company is the first domestic supplier to obtain WPC certification for security chips, indicating a strong position in the market [3] Investment Recommendations - The investment recommendation suggests maintaining a "Buy" rating based on anticipated growth in downstream demand and adjusted profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3][7]