Core Viewpoint - The relationship between OpenAI and Microsoft is deteriorating over the definition of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and related contract terms, leading to significant disputes that could impact OpenAI's upcoming IPO [1][4]. Group 1: Contract Disputes - OpenAI and Microsoft signed a $10 billion cooperation agreement in 2023, which has triggered major disagreements over the AGI clause [1]. - Microsoft is demanding the removal of a key clause that allows OpenAI to terminate technology access upon achieving AGI, but negotiations remain stalled as of May 2025 [1][2]. - The original 2019 agreement allows OpenAI to cut off Microsoft's access to technology if AGI is reached, a concept that some Microsoft executives view as unrealistic [1][2]. Group 2: AGI Development and Perspectives - OpenAI's CEO Altman claims that AGI is "within reach" and has defined it as a system capable of solving complex human-level problems across multiple domains [2]. - In contrast, Microsoft CEO Nadella argues that a 10% annual growth in the global economy is a more realistic benchmark, suggesting that AGI will not be achieved before the contract expires in 2030 [2]. Group 3: Financial Implications and Negotiation Dynamics - OpenAI is projected to burn through $46 billion in R&D over the next four years, making IPO financing a critical necessity [4]. - If the restructuring fails, the unique equity structure of OpenAI could jeopardize its IPO prospects [4]. - Microsoft has rejected several concessions from OpenAI, including giving up a 20% revenue share and allowing customers to access OpenAI models through competing cloud providers [3]. Group 4: Alliance Fractures - The partnership has seen a shift in power dynamics since the unexpected success of ChatGPT in late 2022, leading to visible fractures in their collaboration [7]. - OpenAI has turned to Google Cloud for computing resources due to insufficient support from Microsoft and has also partnered with Oracle [7]. - Microsoft is accelerating the development of its own AI models and recruiting teams to create alternative solutions [7].