Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, maintains its holdings at 935.65 tons as of June 5, 2025, amidst fluctuating gold prices influenced by market sentiment and economic data [2][7]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of June 5, 2025, SPDR Gold Trust's total holdings remain unchanged at 935.65 tons of gold [2][7]. - The gold price experienced volatility, peaking above $3400 per ounce before closing at $3352.65, down $19.39 or 0.58% [7]. Group 2: Market Influences - Poor economic data from the U.S., including higher-than-expected initial jobless claims, has increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, contributing to gold price fluctuations [7]. - Metals Focus predicts that global central banks will purchase 1000 tons of gold in 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of significant gold buying [7]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend for gold, with resistance levels at $3400, $3438, and $3450, while short-term support is at $3300 [9]. - The gold market shows a strong momentum, with the relative strength index (RSI) around 57, indicating a prevailing bullish sentiment [8]. Group 4: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver has shown stronger recent performance, reaching its highest level since February 2012, with a current gold-silver ratio of 94, down from 105 in April [8]. - Analysts warn of potential volatility in the silver market, predicting possible sharp movements in either direction [8].

Market Trends & Investment Opportunities - The podcast discusses Bitcoin and gold as alternative assets, comparing their performance and investor sentiment in 2025 [1][2][3][4][5][6] - Gold (GLD) is up 24% year-to-date, trading around $34, while Bitcoin (IBIT) is up 1335% [14] - Over the past year, Bitcoin (IBIT) has surged 61%, gold is up 3946%, and the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VO) has increased by 115% [17][18] - Over a five-year period, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VO) is up 94%, and gold is up 867% [20] - Since September 2010, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VO) is up 420%, while gold is up 137% [24][25] - The gold mining ETF (GDX) is down 1076% over the almost 15-year period since 2010, but up 382% over the past year and 412% year-to-date [27][28] Asset Allocation & Investor Sentiment - Financial advisors often suggest allocating 5% or less of a portfolio to gold or Bitcoin as a hedge [6] - The Gold Trust ETF (GLD) has approximately $100 billion in assets, while the Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has $565 billion [22][23] - The podcast host does not own Bitcoin or the Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), but has owned gold (GLD) in the past and currently owns gold miners [32][33] Investment Vehicles & Considerations - The podcast highlights several ETFs: Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), Gold Trust (GLD), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VO), and gold miners ETF (GDX) [4][11][13][26][35][36] - The gold miners ETF (GDX) tends to perform well when gold prices are high, potentially offering share buybacks and dividends [29] - The podcast suggests a diversified portfolio with a small exposure to volatile assets like Bitcoin [34]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have experienced a significant decline, with spot gold dropping below $3150 per ounce, marking a new low since April 10. Domestic gold jewelry prices have also followed suit, reflecting the downward trend in international gold prices [1][3]. Price Movements - As of May 15, spot gold was priced at $3146.78, down 1.22% from the previous day. COMEX gold futures fell by 2.07% to $3180.7 per ounce, while London gold dropped 2.24% to $3176.58 per ounce [2][6]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices saw reductions, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Luk Fook Jewelry pricing their gold at 975 RMB and 976 RMB per gram, respectively, down from over 1000 RMB per gram earlier in May [1][5]. Market Sentiment - Investors have reported significant losses due to the recent price drop, with many expressing frustration over their inability to sell at a profit. Some investors who had previously made gains are now facing substantial losses and are seeking advice on how to navigate the current market [2][3]. Analytical Insights - Analysts attribute the gold price correction to multiple factors, including increased market divergence and the historical peak of gold prices adjusted for M2 money supply. The technical indicators for gold price volatility are also showing a downward trend [3][6]. - The narrative surrounding the "collapse of dollar credit," which previously supported gold prices, has been disrupted. A strengthening dollar often signals the end of a gold bull market, and the upcoming potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may further diminish gold's appeal [6].

Economic Outlook - The risk of a U.S. recession has increased, with estimates for a recession in 2025 or within the next year ranging from 40% to 60% according to various Wall Street firms and economists [3][4][21] - Goldman Sachs raised its one-year recession-risk probability to 45% from 35%, while JPMorgan set the odds at 60% [3][4] Stock Performance During Recessions - Defensive stocks, which typically pay dividends, are expected to perform better during economic downturns [5] - Categories of stocks that tend to hold up well include consumer staples, utilities, healthcare, and discount retailers [7][8] Historical Context - The Great Recession lasted from December 2007 to May 2009, with the S&P 500 index dropping 35.6% during this period [10] - Stocks that performed well during the Great Recession include Netflix, iShares Gold Trust ETF, J&J Snack Foods, Walmart, and McDonald's, with Netflix showing a return of 70.7% [12][15] Specific Stock Insights - Gold mining stocks and ETFs, such as Newmont and iShares Gold Trust, are seen as potential safe havens during recessions [17] - "Small indulgence stocks," like Netflix and Hershey, may see continued consumer spending even in downturns [18] - Utility stocks, such as American Water Works and NextEra Energy, have shown strong long-term performance, challenging the notion that they are merely "widow and orphan stocks" [19] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to review their stock portfolios to enhance recession resistance while remaining invested in the market [21][22] - Long-term investors should avoid drastic changes to their portfolios, as timing the market can be challenging [23]