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英伟达仍然是当之无愧的人工智能之王
美股研究社· 2025-05-20 12:14
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock has rebounded significantly after a dip in April, driven by its involvement in large-scale AI investments in the Middle East, indicating strong growth potential despite concerns about future growth rates [1][4][5]. Group 1: Nvidia's Market Position and Growth - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the advanced capabilities of the new Blackwell architecture chips, which are set to replace the older Hopper architecture, highlighting the company's commitment to innovation in AI technology [1]. - The establishment of a research lab in China and the design of compatible AI chips for the Greater China market signal Nvidia's intent to maintain growth in this region, despite geopolitical challenges [2]. - Nvidia's anticipated EBITDA multiple is 26 times, which is significantly lower than its 10-year average of 33.7 times, suggesting that the market may not fully recognize its growth potential in the Middle East [8]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Analyst Perspectives - Wall Street remains cautious about whether Nvidia's ambitions in the Middle East will translate into strong growth opportunities, with expectations of a slowdown in growth rates by the fiscal year 2027 [4][5]. - Analysts predict that Nvidia's growth rate for the quarter ending in April will exceed 65%, a notable decrease from the previous year's 260% growth, indicating potential challenges ahead [5]. - Despite the optimism surrounding Nvidia's AI capabilities, there are concerns about the ability of large-scale companies to replicate successful AI infrastructure deployments in the Middle East, which could pose execution risks [6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Risks - The increasing competition from large-scale companies seeking to reduce reliance on Nvidia for custom chips may pose risks to Nvidia's market dominance [9]. - Nvidia's data center revenue constitutes nearly 90% of its total revenue over the past 12 months, making it particularly vulnerable to any unexpected downturns in AI growth compared to competitors with less exposure to AI [9].