Recent Key Events - The recent US-China trade negotiations in Kuala Lumpur focused on key economic issues, including maritime logistics, tariffs, and agricultural trade, leading to a basic consensus on resolving mutual concerns [1][9] - The Chinese government released the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, aerospace, and quantum technology [2][10] - Nvidia announced collaborations to develop new supercomputers and autonomous vehicle fleets, projecting GPU sales to reach $500 billion by the end of 2026 [4][12] Market Situation - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a pullback in October, with the Hang Seng Index declining from 26,856 points at the end of September to 26,346 points by October 28, a drop of 1.9% [13] - The Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 5.8% during the same period, while both indices have seen significant gains year-to-date, with increases of 31.3% and 36.4% respectively [13] - Net inflows from southbound trading in Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 701 billion in October, indicating stable investment interest [14] Current Investment Recommendations - Focus on growth-oriented energy and non-ferrous metal companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, China Qinfa, and China Hongqiao [23] - Pay attention to internet companies benefiting from AI model iterations, including Alibaba and Kuaishou [23] - Consider undervalued and high-growth electronic component firms like QiuTai Technology and AAC Technologies [23] - Monitor new energy vehicle companies and those recently listed in Hong Kong, such as Leap Motor, Xiaopeng Motors, and Pony.ai [23] Company-Specific Insights Luoyang Molybdenum (3993.HK) - The company reported a revenue of CNY 145.5 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit increase of 72.6% year-on-year [24][30] - Production of copper and cobalt exceeded expectations, with copper output reaching 543,400 tons, a 14.14% increase [25][30] China Qinfa (0866.HK) - The company achieved a revenue of CNY 1.089 billion in the first half of 2025, with a focus on optimizing its operations in Indonesia [32][33] - The divestment of underperforming assets is expected to enhance financial metrics and allow for greater focus on profitable ventures [33] China Hongqiao (1378.HK) - The company reported a revenue of CNY 81.04 billion in the first half of 2025, a 10.1% increase, driven by higher aluminum prices and lower electricity costs [39][40] - The increase in production capacity is expected to further enhance profitability [41] Alibaba (9988.HK) - Alibaba's revenue for the first quarter of FY2026 was CNY 247.65 billion, with a 2% year-on-year growth, driven by its e-commerce and cloud services [45][48] - The company is focusing on enhancing its instant retail capabilities and AI-driven cloud services [46][48] Kuaishou (1024.HK) - Kuaishou reported a revenue of CNY 35 billion in Q2 2025, reflecting a 13.1% year-on-year growth, with significant contributions from e-commerce [50] - The company is optimizing its marketing strategies and enhancing its AI capabilities to drive future growth [51][52] QiuTai Technology (1478.HK) - The company achieved a revenue of CNY 8.83 billion in the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in profit margins [53] - QiuTai is expanding its product offerings in the IoT sector and enhancing its competitive edge through vertical integration [54]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Q Technology (01478.HK) and raises the target price to HKD 20, corresponding to a 20x P/E for 2026 estimates [3]. Core Views - Q Technology's revenue for H1 2025 reached RMB 8.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 15.1%. The gross margin improved significantly to 7.4% from 5.2% in the same period last year. Net profit for H1 2025 was approximately RMB 308 million, representing a 168% year-on-year growth [1]. - The company is expanding its optical module offerings in the IoT sector, covering applications in drones, handheld devices, XR, and robotics. A new customer contributing over 10% of revenue was added, indicating potential for continued rapid growth [2]. - Q Technology is enhancing its integrated competitive strength by advancing its optical modules and establishing comprehensive cooperation with core customers, positioning itself as a key manufacturer for diverse integrated products [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Q Technology are estimated at RMB 20 billion for 2025, RMB 22 billion for 2026, and RMB 24.3 billion for 2027, with net profit forecasts of RMB 774 million, RMB 1.074 billion, and RMB 1.346 billion respectively [4][3]. - The company has revised its guidance for non-mobile camera modules and fingerprint modules, maintaining a target of at least 55% for high-end camera modules and expecting over 100% growth in periscope module shipments [2]. - The financial metrics indicate a significant recovery with a projected net profit margin of 3.9% in 2025, increasing to 5.5% by 2027 [4][11].