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Lilly Down More Than 15% in a Year: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 15:11
Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly and Company's stock has declined 15.7% over the past year due to a first-quarter earnings miss, guidance cut, and positive developments at rival Novo Nordisk, alongside broader economic challenges [1][10]. Group 1: Company Performance - Lilly's cardiometabolic division is its strongest segment, driven by the success of GLP-1 therapies Mounjaro and Zepbound, which together account for approximately 48% of total revenues [3][4]. - Despite slower-than-expected sales in the second half of 2024, Mounjaro and Zepbound saw a resurgence in the first quarter of 2025 due to new international market launches and improved supply [5][6]. - Lilly anticipates continued growth for Mounjaro and Zepbound through expanded international uptake and deeper market penetration in the U.S. [6][7]. Group 2: Product Pipeline and Future Growth - Lilly has secured approvals for several new therapies, including Omvoh, Jaypirca, Ebglyss, and Kisunla, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth in 2025 [10][11]. - The company is also advancing its pipeline in obesity, diabetes, and cancer, with several key mid and late-stage data readouts expected this year [12]. - Lilly is diversifying beyond GLP-1 drugs by expanding into cardiovascular, oncology, and neuroscience areas, including recent M&A deals to enhance its pipeline [13]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The obesity market is projected to reach $100 billion by 2030, with Lilly and Novo Nordisk currently dominating the space [14]. - Mounjaro and Zepbound face competition from Novo Nordisk's semaglutide products and emerging candidates from companies like Amgen and Viking Therapeutics [15][17]. - Other pharmaceutical companies are also entering the obesity market, which could challenge Lilly's and Novo Nordisk's market positions [18]. Group 4: Financial Outlook - Lilly expects 2025 revenues to be between $58 billion and $61 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of approximately 32% [30]. - The company's stock has increased by over 400% in the past five years, primarily due to successful drug launches and a strong pipeline [29]. - Despite a high valuation with a price/earnings ratio of 29.54 compared to the industry average of 15.04, Lilly's stock is trading below its five-year mean [23].
Zepbound Powers Eli Lilly's Upbeat Q2 Outlook
Benzinga· 2025-07-09 18:55
Eli Lilly and Co. LLY is set to release its second-quarter earnings on August 7. According to Benzinga Pro data, analysts are anticipating adjusted earnings of $5.56 per share and sales of $14.4 billion.Expectations are slightly higher for the quarter, primarily driven by the strong performance of its obesity drug, Zepbound. The pharmaceutical giant, a dominant player in the incretin/GLP-1 drug market for obesity and diabetes, continues to draw investor attention with its robust pipeline and long-term growt ...
FDA approves updated label for Lilly's Kisunla (donanemab-azbt) with new dosing in early symptomatic Alzheimer's disease
Prnewswire· 2025-07-09 10:45
The newly recommended dosing schedule significantly lowered ARIA-E rates compared to the original dosing schedule, adding to the established safety profile of the treatmentINDIANAPOLIS, July 9, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) announced today that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved a label update with a new recommended titration dosing schedule for Kisunla (donanemab-azbt), Lilly's once-monthly amyloid-targeting therapy for adults with early symptomatic Alzheimer' ...
3 Reasons to Buy Eli Lilly Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-25 10:05
Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly has shown exceptional financial performance and market growth, leading to a high forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of over 35, which is significantly above the healthcare industry average of 15.8, raising questions about the timing of investment [1][2]. Group 1: Market Leadership in Weight Loss - Eli Lilly has established itself as a leader in the diabetes drug market and has made significant strides in the anti-obesity sector, with products like Mounjaro and Zepbound generating over $1 billion in quarterly revenue [4]. - The company is advancing its pipeline with investigational drugs such as orforglipron, an oral GLP-1 medicine, and retatrutide, a triple agonist, both showing promising clinical results [5]. - Eli Lilly has outperformed its competitor Novo Nordisk in the weight management market, capitalizing on clinical successes while the latter faced setbacks [6]. Group 2: Diversification of Product Line and Pipeline - Eli Lilly's portfolio includes successful drugs like Verzenio for cancer and Taltz for immunosuppression, along with potential future blockbusters such as Kisunla for Alzheimer's and Ebglyss for eczema [8]. - The company is actively expanding its pipeline through acquisitions, including SiteOne Therapeutics for $1 billion, which focuses on a non-opioid pain treatment, and Verve Therapeutics for $1.3 billion, which develops gene-editing therapies for cardiovascular diseases [9][10]. Group 3: Financial Outlook and Valuation Justification - Despite a high valuation that may deter some investors, Eli Lilly's revenue grew by 45% year over year to $12.7 billion, with net income increasing by 29% to $3 billion, showcasing strong financial health [12]. - The company's ongoing developments in weight management and diabetes are expected to yield significant clinical and regulatory successes, supporting above-average growth in the coming years, thus justifying its premium valuation [13].
礼来(LLY.US)将就英国拒绝推荐其新型阿尔茨海默病药物决定提起上诉
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 12:39
据报道,这家总部位于印第安纳州的制药巨头表示,鉴于公司、临床专家及患者权益组织提交的数据, NICE的推荐决定有失公允,公司将就此提出上诉。 据了解,2024年,英国药品与保健品管理局(MHRA)已批准Leqembi和Kisunla用于治疗轻度阿尔茨海默 病成人患者。但在获批后不久,NICE即发布草案指南,拒绝将这两种疗法纳入NHS报销范围。 英国国家健康与护理卓越研究院(NICE)周四发布的最终指导草案中明确表示,礼来的Kisunla以及渤健 (BIIB.US)与卫材(ESALF.US)的竞争产品Leqembi均不应在英国国民医疗服务体系(NHS)内使用。NICE负 责为英国NHS制定药品政策。 NICE指出,经过对先前否定性草案建议的重新评估,其独立专家委员会认定这两种靶向淀粉样蛋白抗 体的临床效益"仍不足以证明其给NHS带来的额外成本是合理的"。 该机构在声明中强调:"今日发布的最终指导草案中,委员会维持原有结论——这两种药物均不推荐用 于治疗由阿尔茨海默病引起的轻度认知障碍或轻度痴呆。" (原标题:礼来(LLY.US)将就英国拒绝推荐其新型阿尔茨海默病药物决定提起上诉) 智通财经APP获悉,礼来(LL ...
Lilly Moves Past 50-Day Average: Should You Buy the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 15:46
Key Takeaways LLY stock crossed its 50-day SMA, signaling potential bullish momentum after recent underperformance. Mounjaro and Zepbound drove about 48% of Q1 revenues, aided by global launches and supply gains. LLY expects 2025 revenues of $58B-$61B, with growth fueled by Mounjaro, Zepbound and other new drug approvals.Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) has reached a significant support level, making it an attractive option for investors from a technical standpoint. Earlier this week, the stock broke through i ...
Prediction: These 2 Stocks Will Beat the Market in the Next Decade
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-27 07:46
Investors typically want to beat the market over the long run. Though it's not an easy task, it certainly is possible with the right companies. Let's consider two corporations that could help you do better than average in the next decade: Eli Lilly (LLY -0.12%) and DexCom (DXCM -0.28%). 1. Eli Lilly Eli Lilly has been one of the best-performing pharmaceutical giants in the past 10 years. Though that doesn't guarantee future success, it's worth highlighting what has led to the company's strong showing. Lilly ...
Sanofi to Join Alzheimer's Space With Vigil Neuroscience Buyout
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 15:15
Core Viewpoint - Sanofi has agreed to acquire Vigil Neuroscience for approximately $470 million, enhancing its neurology pipeline with the addition of VG-3927, an investigational treatment for Alzheimer's disease [1][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves Sanofi purchasing all outstanding shares of Vigil at $8 per share in cash, with Vigil shareholders also eligible for a contingent value right of $2 per share upon the first sale of VG-3927 [3]. - The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, subject to customary closing conditions, and will not affect Sanofi's financial guidance for 2025 [4]. Group 2: Product Information - VG-3927 is a TREM2 agonist aimed at enhancing the neuroprotective function of microglia in Alzheimer's patients, differing from existing FDA-approved drugs that target amyloid beta plaque accumulation [2][8]. - Sanofi is not acquiring Vigil's other candidate, iluzanebart (VGL101), which is in mid-stage development for a rare neurodegenerative disease [5]. Group 3: Market Context - Year-to-date, Sanofi's shares have increased by 9.7%, contrasting with a 3.9% decline in the industry [2]. - Currently, there are two FDA-approved drugs for Alzheimer's disease: Biogen's Leqembi and Eli Lilly's Kisunla, both targeting amyloid beta accumulation [8][9].
跨国药企CEO年薪晒一晒
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 09:25
随着各跨国药企财务报表先后披露,各家"掌门人"的薪水情况也随之更新。值得关注的是,强生CEO Joaquin Duato不再是制药业薪酬最高的首席执行官。与此同时,只有两位女性进入前十。 默沙东也在为现任"药王"Keytruda未雨绸缪:到2024年,Keytruda和HPV疫苗Gardasil合计占默沙东年销 售额的约59%。默沙东CEO Robert Davis表示,公司"非常注重业务发展,过去3.5年已在多元化资产领 域投资近400亿美元。" 4月24日,默沙东公布了2025年第一季度业绩。报告显示,公司全球销售额达155亿美元,同比下降2% (剔除汇率影响后增长1%)。销售额136.4亿美元(占比88%),同比下降3%,主疫苗和抗病毒产品销 售额下滑,但肿瘤、心血管和糖尿病领域实现增长。 | 表 1. 跨国药企 2024 年营收排名前十情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 企业名称 | 营收 | 同比增速 | | | (单位:亿美元) | (单位:%) | | 强生 | 888 | 4 | | சு | 653 | 3 | | 默沙东 | 642 | 7 | | 辉瑞 | 63 ...
Lilly(LLY) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-05 12:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company's full year revenue increased by 32%, reaching $45 billion, with fourth quarter revenue growing by 45% [19] - The company invested nearly $11 billion in R&D, representing about 24% of its revenue, with an 18% year-over-year increase [19] - A new $15 billion share repurchase program was announced, marking the seventh consecutive year of a 15% increase in quarterly dividends [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The performance of Monjaro, Zepbound, and Verzenio significantly contributed to revenue growth [16] - The company launched five new medicines since 2022, including Evolus, Jaypirca, Kisunla, Monjaro, Zepbound, and Omvoh, enhancing patient reach [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expanded its manufacturing capacity to meet increasing demand and opened new facilities, including the Lilly Seaport Innovation Center in Boston and a Lilly Gateway Lab in the UK [20][21] - A major investment in the United States was announced, bringing total manufacturing commitments since 2020 to over $50 billion [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on solving serious healthcare problems and aims to deliver life-changing medicines to millions [16] - The long-term balanced growth strategy includes advancements in obesity, diabetes, oncology, neuroscience, and immunology [16] - The company is complementing its pipeline through acquisitions and collaborations, such as acquiring Morphic Therapeutics and partnering with OpenAI [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the potential for significant growth from late-stage readouts in 2025 [17] - The company is committed to enhancing supply chain resilience and creating high-paying jobs through its investments [21] - Management emphasized the importance of their workforce and collaborations in achieving their goals [22] Other Important Information - The proposals to amend the articles of incorporation regarding the board structure and voting provisions did not receive the required votes [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Does the compensation committee use the compensation actually paid total in setting the CEO target total compensation award for the coming year? - Management clarified that the compensation actually paid is not used to set the target compensation, as it reflects a mark-to-market value rather than actual compensation [26][28] Question: How much training is provided to employees to prevent clicking on links resulting in malware or breaks in cybersecurity? - Management confirmed that a comprehensive cybersecurity program is in place, including training to prevent incidents related to malware [29]