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零跑汽车(09863):2025H1营收大幅增长,实现半年度盈利
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-04 14:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][32][4] Core Views - The company achieved significant revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a total revenue of 24.25 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 174%. This growth was driven by increased vehicle and parts deliveries, strategic partnerships, and carbon credit trading [1][8] - The company reported a net profit of 0.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking its first half-year profit after a loss of 22.1 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [1][8] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 reached a new high of 14.13%, up from 1.1% in the same period of 2024, attributed to increased sales volume, cost management, and product mix optimization [2][10] - The company is expanding its international presence, with over 20,000 vehicles exported in the first half of 2025 and plans to establish a local production base in Europe by the end of 2026 [3][27] - The company has signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with China FAW Group to jointly develop new energy passenger vehicles and components [3][28] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards to 69.7 billion, 114.9 billion, and 141.2 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 116.7%, 64.8%, and 22.9% [4][5] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has also been increased to 0.84 billion, 4.64 billion, and 7.25 billion yuan, respectively [4][5] - The average revenue per vehicle in the first half of 2025 was 109,400 yuan, with a historical low cost per vehicle of 93,900 yuan, resulting in a gross profit of 15,500 yuan per vehicle [2][19] - The company expects to maintain a downward trend in expense ratios, with SG&A and R&D expense ratios projected at 7.20% and 6.00% for 2025, respectively [37][36]