Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that due to the shift of DRAM manufacturers towards advanced processes and new capacities for Server and HBM applications to meet AI Server demand, there will be a significant tightening of supply in other markets, leading to a projected increase in contract prices for Conventional DRAM by 55-60% in Q1 2026 and for NAND Flash by 33-38% [2][3] Group 2 - In Q1 2026, the contract price for Conventional DRAM is expected to rise by 55-60%, while HBM blended prices will increase by 50-55% [3] - The global MLC NAND Flash capacity is projected to decrease by 41.7% in 2026 due to major manufacturers exiting or reducing production, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances [3] Group 3 - The mass production schedule for HBM4 is anticipated to be delayed until the end of Q1 2026 due to adjustments in specifications by NVIDIA and increased demand for previous generation products [6] Group 4 - The supply-demand situation for LCD TV panels is expected to tighten in Q1 2026 due to production cuts by major manufacturers in response to the upcoming Chinese New Year [8] Group 5 - The global installation volume of electric vehicle SiC inverters reached a record high of 8.35 million units in Q3 2025, marking a 22% year-on-year increase, with a penetration rate of 18% [9]

Core Viewpoint - The LCD demand is expected to improve by 2026 due to factors such as sports events, with leading manufacturers likely to drive supply-demand balance through production control [1][2] Group 1: LCD Market Outlook - The demand for LCD is anticipated to rebound, supported by major manufacturers maintaining production control to enhance supply-demand dynamics [1] - The upcoming FIFA World Cup and the continuation of trade-in policies in China are expected to boost demand for LCD TVs [1] - The average size of TV panels is projected to continue increasing, contributing to overall demand growth [2] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Major panel manufacturers, including BOE, TCL Huaxing, and Huike, have achieved significant market share and are expected to continue production control, including reductions during the Lunar New Year [2] - According to TrendForce, TV panel prices are forecasted to rise by $1 across various sizes in January 2026 compared to the previous month [2] Group 3: OLED Market Potential - The potential demand for mid-size OLED panels is gaining attention, with expectations for significant cost reductions and increased penetration in laptops and tablets by 2026 [3] - Major manufacturers are optimistic about market demand, as evidenced by BOE's early activation of the first 8.6-generation AMOLED production line in China [3] Group 4: Domestic Manufacturers' Breakthroughs - Domestic manufacturers are accelerating technological breakthroughs in materials and driver chips, which may benefit from improving downstream demand [4] - New products in OLED materials are entering the market, and companies like Xiahe Technology are achieving commercial production of key materials [4] Group 5: Related Companies - Key panel manufacturers include TCL Technology (000100.SZ), BOE A (000725.SZ), and Rainbow Technology (600707.SH) [5] - Notable panel materials manufacturers are Lite-On Optoelectronics (688150.SH) and Ruvi Optoelectronics (688401.SH) [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The price of TV panels is expected to rise, with LCD and mid-size OLED likely to lead demand recovery. This is supported by the anticipated increase in demand due to upcoming sports events and government policies promoting trade-in programs for energy-efficient TVs [3][7] - The LCD market is expected to see a rebound in demand, driven by major manufacturers controlling production to improve supply-demand dynamics. The upcoming FIFA World Cup and continued government incentives are expected to boost demand [7] - Mid-size OLED is projected to penetrate the market more rapidly, enhancing demand for OLED technology in personal computers and other devices. The production efficiency and cost reduction in OLED manufacturing are expected to drive this trend [7] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report suggests investing in panel manufacturers such as TCL Technology, BOE Technology Group, and others, as well as panel material manufacturers like Lite-On Optoelectronics and others [3][8] Market Dynamics - According to TrendForce, TV panel prices are expected to rise across all sizes in January 2026, with specific increases noted for various dimensions [11] - The report highlights the successful early activation of BOE's 8.6 generation AMOLED production line, indicating strong market confidence among leading manufacturers [12]

【机构：受春节减产影响 预估2026年一季度LCD电视面板供需转紧】智通财经1月6日电，根据 TrendForce集邦咨询最新调查，由于中国农历春节将于二月来临，BOE（京东方）、TCL CSOT（华 星）和HKC（惠科）等三大LCD电视面板厂均规划针对后端模组厂实施五至十天的停产，以降低人力 成本及后续库存升高风险，前端产线将同步进行减产。预估第一季整体LCD电视面板稼动率将季减3.5 个百分点至87.7%，供需转为偏紧格局。 转自：智通财经 ...

根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新调查，由于中国农历春节将于二月来临，BOE（京东方）、TCL CSOT （华星）和HKC（惠科）等三大LCD电视面板厂均规划针对后端模组厂实施五至十天的停产，以降低 人力成本及后续库存升高风险，前端产线将同步进行减产。预估第一季整体LCD电视面板稼动率将季减 3.5个百分点至87.7%，供需转为偏紧格局。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that major LCD TV panel manufacturers, including BOE, TCL CSOT, and HKC, are planning production cuts of five to ten days around the Chinese Lunar New Year to reduce labor costs and mitigate inventory risks, leading to a projected decrease in overall LCD TV panel utilization rate by 3.5 percentage points to 87.7% in Q1 [1] - The overall supply of TV panels is expected to decrease by 3.8% in Q1 due to the planned production cuts and fewer working days in February, while demand is anticipated to decline by only 1.8% due to the continued promotion of trade-in policies and upcoming events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup [1] Group 2 - Looking ahead to 2026, the TV panel industry is expected to continue the trend of increasing screen sizes, although demand for ultra-large panels may slow due to weaker market demand and high base effects [2] - Panel manufacturers aim to adjust their product mix to shift market demand from smaller sizes (23.6 inches, 32 inches) to larger sizes (43 inches, 50 inches), which is expected to enhance average panel size and overall demand area [2] - The industry faces uncertainties due to international factors and rising memory prices, making capacity management and order flexibility crucial for panel manufacturers in 2026 [2] - Long-term, the lack of new capacity and major investments in LCD TV panels is seen as a positive signal for panel prices and industry health [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends and forecasts in the LCD television panel industry, highlighting production adjustments by major manufacturers in response to seasonal demand and market conditions [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Major LCD panel manufacturers, including BOE, TCL CSOT, and HKC, plan to implement production halts of five to ten days around the Lunar New Year to reduce labor costs and mitigate inventory risks, leading to a projected decrease in overall LCD TV panel utilization rates by 3.5 percentage points to 87.7% in Q1 [2]. - The overall supply area of TV panels is expected to decrease by 3.8% in Q1 due to reduced working days in February and planned production cuts by the three major manufacturers [2]. - The Chinese government's continued promotion of trade-in policies, including a 15% subsidy for first-level energy-efficient TVs, along with preparations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, is anticipated to soften the decline in TV panel demand area to a seasonal decrease of only 1.8% [2]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, the trend of increasing TV panel sizes is expected to continue, although demand for ultra-large panels may slow due to weaker market demand and high base effects [3]. - Manufacturers are expected to adjust their product mix to shift market demand from smaller sizes (23.6 inches, 32 inches) to larger sizes (43 inches, 50 inches), which will help increase the average size of TV panels and overall demand area [3]. - The industry faces uncertainties due to international factors and rising memory prices, making it crucial for manufacturers to enhance production scheduling and order flexibility to respond quickly to market changes [3][4]. - In the long term, the lack of new capacity and large investments in LCD TV panels is viewed as a positive signal for panel prices and industry health [4].

根据Tr e n dFo r c e集邦咨询最新调查，由于中国农历春节将于二月来临，BOE（京东方）、TCL CSOT（华星）和HKC（惠科）等三大LCD电视面板厂均规划针对后端模组厂实施五至十天的 停产，以降低人力成本及后续库存升高风险，前端产线将同步进行减产。 预估第一季整体LCD 电视面板稼动率将季减3 . 5个百分点至8 7 . 7%，供需转为偏紧格局 。 从 供 给 面 来 看 ， 除 了 三 大 面 板 厂 计 划 于 中 国 农 历 春 节 执 行 减 产 外 ， 且 原 本 二 月 份 工 作 天 数 较 少，使得第一季整体电视供给面积将季减3 . 8%。同时由于近期中国宣布将持续推动以旧换新政 策，其中针对一级能效电视仍提供1 5%的补贴，加上2 0 2 6年FIFA足球运动赛事带动的备货也将 于第一季展开，预估将缓和淡季电视面板需求面积下滑的力道，仅季减1 . 8%。 展望2 0 2 6年，电视面板将延续推行"尺寸渐大化"策略，不过，超大尺寸电视面板受到部分市场 需求相对偏弱及高基期的影响，预期增速将有所放缓。因此，面板厂今年寄望调整产品组合， 推动市场需求从2 3 . 6吋、3 2吋等小 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant shift in demand towards Nearline SSDs due to the rising needs for AI inference services, as traditional HDDs face severe supply shortages [2] - The DRAM market is experiencing price increases, with conventional DRAM prices expected to rise by 8-13% in Q4 2025, driven by prioritization of advanced process capacities for high-end server DRAM and HBM [3][4] - The production capacity for LCD TV panels is projected to decrease, with an estimated drop in utilization rates from manufacturers' planned levels, indicating a slowdown in demand [7] Group 2 - NAND Flash prices are anticipated to rise by 5-10% in Q4 2025, influenced by a shift in storage demand towards QLC enterprise SSDs due to HDD supply shortages and extended lead times [8]

Core Viewpoint - TrendForce indicates that the demand for LCD TV panels will slow down by Q4 2025, prompting major manufacturers like BOE, CSOT, and HKC to implement production adjustments during the National Day holiday to manage inventory and operational costs [2][4]. Supply Side Summary - Major panel manufacturers plan to take breaks during the National Day holiday, with BOE, CSOT, and Sharp scheduling 5 to 7 days off for their 10.5-generation production lines, leading to an estimated production utilization rate of around 74% for October [2]. - HKC's main production lines are expected to have a 5-day holiday, resulting in an estimated utilization rate of approximately 77.5% for the 8.6-generation panels [2]. - CSOT's T1 and T2 factories are also planning a 5-day break, with the utilization rate for the 8.5-generation lines expected to decrease by 4 percentage points to 81.3% [2]. Demand Side Summary - October's demand for TV panels is supported by pre-sales for the Double Eleven shopping festival, but there is a 4.8% month-over-month decline in demand compared to September, leading manufacturers to control production [3]. - The production adjustments are expected to help stabilize TV panel prices in October [4].