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国信证券:7月LCD TV面板价格环比下滑 关注TV品牌下半年促销备货情况
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 06:05
Core Viewpoint - The LCD panel prices are expected to decline in August 2025, with a potential increase in demand as the year-end sales season approaches [1][3][5]. Price Summary - In July 2025, the prices for 32, 43, 50, 55, and 65-inch LCD TV panels were $36, $63, $95, $121, and $170 respectively, with month-over-month declines of 5.3%, 1.6%, 7.8%, 5.5%, and 3.4% [1][3]. - Omdia forecasts that in August 2025, the prices will further decline to $34, $62, $92, $118, and $167, with respective month-over-month decreases of 5.6%, 1.6%, 3.2%, 2.5%, and 1.8% [1][3]. - For IT panels, prices for 10.1-inch, 14-inch, and 23.8-inch LCD panels remained stable at $16.3, $26.2, and $44.8 respectively in July 2025 [3]. Supply & Demand Analysis - In June 2025, the global shipment area for large-size LCD panels decreased by 3.46% year-over-year, with TV panel shipments down by 6.23% [4]. - The global large-size LCD production capacity is expected to grow by 2.31% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a slight increase of 0.21% anticipated in 2025 [4]. Industry Outlook - The LCD industry is stabilizing, with a concentration of market share due to the shutdown and sale of overseas production lines, which may help regulate LCD TV panel prices [5]. - The profitability of LCD panel companies is expected to improve as the cyclical nature of the industry diminishes and growth attributes become more prominent [5]. Investment Recommendations - The industry recommends investing in leading domestic panel manufacturers like BOE Technology Group (京东方A) to capitalize on the benefits of domestic consumption upgrades and market share advantages [6]. - Other recommended companies include Zhaochi Co., Ltd. (兆驰股份), Kangguan Technology (康冠科技), and Visionox Technology (视源股份) [6].
天禄科技(301045) - 2025年7月21日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-07-21 08:40
Group 1: Financial Status and Funding - Beijing Electric Control Investment has fully paid its capital contribution by June 2025 [1] - Suzhou Yiming and Suzhou Yisi have also completed their capital contributions by June 2025 [1] - The total investment for the TAC film Phase I project is approximately 500 million RMB, with 376.67 million RMB already received from shareholders [2][3] Group 2: Project Progress - The procurement of customized equipment for the TAC film project is ongoing, with major contracts signed and equipment expected to be delivered by the end of the year [4] - Construction of the factory has commenced following the acquisition of the construction permit in June 2025 [4] - Laboratory test results for the trial film align with internal testing, confirming the project's technical viability [4] Group 3: Arbitration and Legal Matters - An arbitration case with Baidefu was initiated due to disputes over technical standards and pricing adjustments, with no significant progress reported since acceptance in May 2025 [5][6] - A small advance payment of 3.85 million RMB has been made to Baidefu, and a change in equipment suppliers is expected to mitigate project impacts [6] Group 4: Market Trends - The LCD panel industry is experiencing fluctuating demand, with a strong first quarter driven by export demand and policy incentives, followed by a cooling second quarter [6] - As of July, prices for certain LCD TV sizes have slightly decreased, while prices for MNT and NB panels remain stable [6]
LCD行业月报:京东方拟收购彩虹光电30%股权,行业竞争格局优化-20250628
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-28 15:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the LCD industry [2] Core Viewpoints - BOE plans to acquire a 30% stake in Rainbow Optoelectronics, which is expected to optimize the competitive landscape of the panel industry [4][6] - The average gross margin of major Chinese LCD manufacturers increased by 1.81 percentage points year-on-year and 3.60 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 14.89% in Q1 2025 [5] - The report indicates a downward trend in TV panel prices, with expectations of further declines in July [6][22] - The global large-size LCD panel shipment area decreased by 6.08% year-on-year in May 2025, with specific declines in TV and monitor shipments [9][32] Market Performance - From May 2025 to the present, the panel index has risen by 3.54%, outperforming major stock indices [8][15] - As of June 23, 2025, the total market capitalization of the A-share panel industry was 513.69 billion yuan, with an overall price-to-book ratio of 1.49x, at the 57.3 percentile of the past five years [15][20] Price & Cost - In June 2025, the prices of various sizes of LCD TV panels decreased, with a forecasted further decline in July [6][22] - The prices for IT panels remained stable across different sizes in June 2025 [7][22] Supply & Demand - The report forecasts a 2.31% increase in global large-size LCD capacity in 2024 compared to 2023, with a slight growth of 0.21% expected in 2025 [9][26] - The demand for large-size LCD panels is projected to decline, particularly in the TV segment, which saw an 8.01% year-on-year decrease in shipment area in May 2025 [9][32] Performance Review - In May 2025, global large-size LCD panel revenue was $6.195 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 10.72% [57] - Major manufacturers' revenues showed varied performance, with BOE's revenue at $1.78 billion, down 12.92% year-on-year [60]
京东方A(000725) - 012-2025年5月26日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-05-27 00:36
Group 1: Industry Overview - The LCD industry is shifting from competition based on scale and market share to a focus on high-profit applications, high-value products, advanced technology, and high-value brands, promoting high-quality development in the industry [1][2] - The average utilization rate of the LCD industry has been recovering since November 2024, maintaining above 80% in Q1 2025, with adjustments made in Q2 based on demand [3] Group 2: Pricing Trends - LCD TV panel prices have risen since January 2025 due to strong terminal demand, but are expected to stabilize in May 2025 as procurement demand cools [4] - MNT panel prices are experiencing moderate increases, while NB panel prices remain stable [4] Group 3: Company Developments - The 8.6 generation AMOLED production line in Chengdu began equipment installation four months ahead of schedule, transitioning from construction to operational phase [5] - In 2024, the revenue structure for display devices is projected to be: TV 26%, IT 34%, LCD mobile and others 13%, and OLED 27% [6][7] Group 4: Financial Outlook - The company anticipates depreciation of approximately 38 billion in 2024, with an increase compared to 2023 due to the completion of depreciation for several high-generation lines [8] - Depreciation is expected to peak this year as new projects are completed and mature lines reach the end of their depreciation period [8] Group 5: Industry Integration - The company is open to participating in industry consolidation, considering factors such as industry layout, market structure, and integration costs [9]
【国信电子胡剑团队|LCD行业月报】预计3月LCD TV面板价格延续增长
剑道电子· 2025-03-26 03:26
Core Viewpoint - The LCD TV panel prices are expected to continue rising in March 2025, driven by stable demand and the impact of China's trade-in policy [3][10]. Group 1: Market Overview - From February 2025 to the present, the panel index has increased by 2.24%, underperforming compared to major indices like the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component [3][8]. - As of March 13, 2025, the total market capitalization of the A-share panel industry is 562.467 billion yuan, with an overall price-to-book ratio of 1.61x, which is at the 61.0% percentile of the past five years [3][8]. Group 2: Price & Cost - In February 2025, the prices for various sizes of LCD TV panels were as follows: 32-inch at $38, 43-inch at $64, 50-inch at $103, 55-inch at $129, and 65-inch at $177, with month-on-month increases of 2.7%, 1.6%, 1.0%, 0.8%, and 1.1% respectively [10]. - The prices for IT panels in February 2025 remained stable for most sizes, with a slight increase for the 23.8-inch panel [10]. Group 3: Supply & Demand - In January 2025, the global shipment area for large-size LCD panels increased by 7.34% year-on-year, with a total shipment of 71.494 million units, reflecting a 12.42% year-on-year growth [14][17]. - The average size of LCD TVs is projected to increase, contributing to the growth in demand for LCD panels [20]. Group 4: Performance Review - In January 2025, the global revenue for large-size LCD panels was $5.426 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.85% [37]. - Major LCD manufacturers in China reported a total revenue of 510.133 billion yuan in 2023, with a slight year-on-year growth of 0.94% [42]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the LCD panel supply chain, particularly BOE Technology Group [7].
【国信电子胡剑团队|LCD行业月报】预计3月LCD TV面板价格延续增长
剑道电子· 2025-03-26 03:26
点击 关注我们 报告发布日期:2025年3月20日 报告名称:《LCD行业月报- 预计3月LCD TV面板价格延续增长 》 分析师:胡剑 S0980521080001/胡慧 S0980521080002/ 叶 子 S0980522100003 / 詹浏洋 S0980524060001 / 张大为 S0980524100002/李书颖S0980522100003 联系人:连欣然 完整报告请扫描下方二维码 国信研究 LCD行业月报-预计3月LCD TV面板价格延 续揭长 2025-03-20 | 胡剑 胡慧 叶子 张大为 连欣然 行情&业绩回顾:2025年2月至今面板(申万)指数 上涨2.24%,3Q24中国主要LCD厂商平均毛利率同环比下 滑行情回顾:2025年2月至今面板(申万)指数上涨2.24% ,跑输上证指数、深证成指、沪深300指数1.09pct、3.4 8pct、0.24pct;其中深天马A、龙腾光电分别上涨1.07% 、1.35%,京东方A、TCL科技、彩虹股份分别下跌3.36 %、6.39%、8.14%。估值方面,截至3月13日A股面板行 业总市值5624.67亿元,整体PB (LF) 为1.61 ...