Group 1 - Tianfeng Securities has revised down the revenue forecasts for Green Leaf Pharmaceutical for 2025 and 2026 from 8.529 billion and 10.279 billion to 6.638 billion and 7.447 billion respectively, with an expected revenue of 8.162 billion in 2027 [1] - The net profit estimates have also been reduced from 1.373 billion and 1.678 billion to 672 million and 831 million for 2025 and 2026, with an expected net profit of 916 million in 2027 [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.181 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 313 million, a year-on-year decrease of 19.3% [1] Group 2 - The company focuses on two major therapeutic areas: CNS and oncology, with multiple new products beginning commercialization and the sales proportion of new products increasing by 32% year-on-year [1] - In the oncology treatment sector, revenue reached 1.295 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.5%, while CNS treatment revenue was 868 million, up 5.4%. Cardiovascular treatment revenue was 693 million, down 9.2%, and metabolic treatment revenue was 180 million, down 7.9% [1] Group 3 - The company has successfully commercialized two major products in the CNS field, with Ruxinlin being the first domestically developed antidepressant included in the 2024 medical insurance catalog, achieving over fourfold sales growth in the first half of 2025 [2] - ERZOFRI, a treatment for schizophrenia, was commercialized in the U.S. in April 2025, marking it as the first drug of its kind developed by a Chinese company with independent intellectual property rights [2] - The company has a rich pipeline of innovative drugs in development, including LY03017 for treating Parkinson's disease psychosis and Alzheimer's disease psychosis, with expected completion of Phase I trials in China by the end of 2025 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities has revised down the revenue and net profit forecasts for Green Leaf Pharmaceutical for 2025 to 2026 due to intense market competition and centralized procurement impacts, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The revenue forecast for Green Leaf Pharmaceutical has been adjusted from 85.29 billion and 102.79 billion to 66.38 billion and 74.47 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with an expected revenue of 81.62 billion for 2027 [1] - The net profit forecast has been revised down from 13.73 billion and 16.78 billion to 6.72 billion and 8.31 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with an expected net profit of 9.16 billion for 2027 [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 31.81 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 3.13 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 19.3% [1] Group 2: Business Focus and Product Development - The company is focusing on two major areas: CNS (Central Nervous System) and oncology, with multiple new products beginning commercialization and an increasing sales proportion of new products (up 32% year-on-year) [1] - In the oncology treatment sector, revenue reached 12.95 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.5%, while CNS treatment revenue was 8.68 billion, up 5.4%. Cardiovascular treatment revenue was 6.93 billion, down 9.2%, and metabolic treatment revenue was 1.80 billion, down 7.9% [1] Group 3: New Product Commercialization - The company has successfully commercialized two major products in the CNS field, with Ruxinlin being the first domestically developed antidepressant included in the 2024 medical insurance directory, showing over 4 times year-on-year sales growth [2] - ERZOFRI, a product for treating schizophrenia, entered the U.S. market in April 2025, being the first of its kind developed by a Chinese company with independent intellectual property rights [2] - ERZOFRI has a long patent period until 2039 and is currently in a favorable competitive landscape with only two companies in the market [2] Group 4: Innovation Pipeline - The company has a rich pipeline of innovative drugs in development, actively seeking business development collaborations with multinational corporations [3] - LY03017, aimed at treating Parkinson's disease psychosis and Alzheimer's disease psychosis, is expected to complete Phase I clinical trials in China by the end of 2025, with IND approval anticipated in Q3 2025 [3] - Other innovative drugs, including LY03015 for tardive dyskinesia and Huntington's disease, are in Phase II clinical trials, with data expected in the first half of 2026 [3]