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迎着 AMD 的回调跑吧
美股研究社· 2025-09-10 12:21
Core Viewpoint - AMD's stock price fell over 6% due to concerns about AI chip demand not meeting expectations [1][2] Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Market Reactions - Seaport Global downgraded AMD's rating from "Buy" to "Hold" due to slower-than-expected adoption of its latest AI accelerators, citing weak demand and constrained customer budgets [2] - Citigroup maintained a "Hold" rating with a target price of $180, while Bank of America kept a "Buy" rating, projecting a potential stock price increase of about 25% to $200 [2] - Despite short-term pressures from competition with Nvidia and Broadcom, analysts remain optimistic about AMD's long-term prospects, viewing the current dip as a buying opportunity [3] Group 2: Market Performance and Comparisons - AMD's stock has dropped approximately 7% since its earnings report in early August, underperforming the S&P 500 index, which rose by 2.3% during the same period [3] - Year-to-date, AMD's stock has increased by over 25.3%, matching Nvidia's performance, both outperforming the S&P 500's 10.7% gain [4] Group 3: Future Outlook and Market Potential - Analysts believe AMD's AI momentum can offset the ongoing weakness in the Chinese market, with the MI300/MI350 product line expected to position AMD as a strong competitor to Nvidia [4] - AMD anticipates the potential market size for AI accelerators to reach $500 billion by 2028, driven by the upcoming MI450 launch and customer enthusiasm [8] - AMD's server CPU market share has grown to 41%, a significant increase from nearly 0% over the past seven years, with a mid-term goal of achieving at least 20% market share in data center GPUs [8] Group 4: Stock Analysis and Technical Indicators - AMD's stock recently fell below its EMA21 and is testing support near EMA200, with EMA50 acting as an intermediate support level [11] - The stock has retraced about 19% from its peak of $186.65 and is currently consolidating around $151.41 [11] - Analysts suggest that the current price range represents a reliable entry point for long-term investors [12] Group 5: Revenue Projections - Melius Research analysts predict AMD's revenue will grow by 28% to reach $33 billion by 2025, exceeding $40 billion by 2026, with earnings per share expected to rise by 54% to $6.02 [13]