Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry maintains high prosperity, with a positive outlook on opportunities in analog and storage sectors [2][3] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11%, while the electronics sector increased by 1.65%. Among sub-industries, consumer electronics surged by 4.27%, and components fell by 1.59%. Concurrently, the Hang Seng Tech Index, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, and Taiwan Information Technology Index rose by 1.17%, 2.72%, and 2.90%, respectively [2][3] Semiconductor Industry Insights - The supply chain has recently revised upward the shipment expectations for NVIDIA's GB series products for 2026, reinforcing the high growth trend in the computing chain's performance. TSMC anticipates sustained strong AI demand and a moderate recovery in non-AI demand, raising its annual revenue growth forecast from approximately 25% to 30% [2] - SMIC and Huahong's 2Q25 utilization rates are nearing saturation, with optimistic order demand outlooks supporting the continuation of high prosperity in the semiconductor sector. The utilization rates for SMIC and Huahong in 2Q25 were 92.5% (YoY +7.3 percentage points, QoQ +2.9 percentage points) and 108.3% (YoY +10.4 percentage points, QoQ +5.6 percentage points), respectively [2][3] AI and Hardware Market Dynamics - The release of GPT-5 has significantly enhanced AI programming capabilities, leading to a market shift back towards hardware investments. Companies such as Industrial Fulian, Shengyi Technology, and others are recommended as core targets in the North American computing industry chain [2][4] Storage Market Trends - The storage market is showing signs of recovery, with Kioxia reporting a 39.1% quarter-on-quarter increase in non-GAAP net profit for FY25Q1. The NAND market is expected to see a bit growth rate of around 10% in 2025, driven by normalizing inventory levels in smartphones and PCs, new smartphone releases, and strong demand from data centers [3] - Major manufacturers have announced price increases for server customers in the third quarter, with the spot market for server DDR5 prices showing an upward trend [3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the consumer electronics sector include Industrial Fulian, Lens Technology, Xiaomi Group, and others. In the semiconductor sector, recommended companies include SMIC, Aojie Technology, and Huahong Semiconductor, among others [5][6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月11日 电子行业周报 优于大市 GB 系列机柜出货预期有所上修，晶圆代工订单展望乐观 半导体维持高景气，看好模拟及存储左侧布局良机。过去一周上证上涨 2.11%，电子上涨 1.65%，子行业中消费电子上涨 4.27%，元件下跌 1.59%。 同期恒生科技、费城半导体、台湾资讯科技上涨 1.17%、2.72%、2.90%。近 期在北美算力强势上涨的带动下，相关映射链条成为主要情绪拉动点，尤其 是受益于 ASIC 趋势下网络架构的变化而带来显著增量的交换机及服务器产 业链。一方面，供应链近期陆续上修 2026 年英伟达 GB 系列产品出货预 期，算力链业绩高增长趋势再强化；另一方面，台积电预计 AI 需求持 续强劲，非 AI 需求温和复苏，将年收入增速预期由 25%左右上调到 30% 左右；与此同时，中芯、华虹 2Q25 稼动率趋近饱和，订单需求展望乐 观，佐证半导体高景气延续。建议关注基本面趋势逐季强化、有较强品类 扩张及国产替代预期的模拟 IC 及存储模组。当下时点仍坚定看好 25 年电子 板块在"宏观政策周期、产业库存周期、AI 创新周期"共振下的"估值扩张" 行情，坚定推 ...