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【国信电子胡剑团队|0811周观点】GB系列机柜出货预期有所上修,晶圆代工订单展望乐观
剑道电子· 2025-08-12 05:32
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry maintains a high level of prosperity, with positive expectations for the analog and memory sectors, driven by strong demand in North America and adjustments in supply chain forecasts for 2026 [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11%, while the electronics sector increased by 1.65% over the past week, with the consumer electronics sub-sector seeing a notable rise of 4.27% [3]. - The Hang Seng Tech Index, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, and Taiwan Information Technology Index also experienced gains of 1.17%, 2.72%, and 2.90%, respectively [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The recent surge in computing power in North America has become a key driver of market sentiment, particularly benefiting the switch and server industries due to changes in network architecture influenced by ASIC trends [3]. - Supply chains have recently revised upward their shipment forecasts for NVIDIA's GB series products for 2026, reinforcing the high growth trend in the computing chain [3]. - TSMC anticipates sustained strong demand for AI, with a moderate recovery in non-AI demand, leading to an upward revision of its annual revenue growth forecast from approximately 25% [3].
GB系列机柜出货预期有所上修,晶圆代工订单展望乐观
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-11 14:43
证券研究报告 | 2025年08月11日 电子行业周报 优于大市 GB 系列机柜出货预期有所上修,晶圆代工订单展望乐观 半导体维持高景气,看好模拟及存储左侧布局良机。过去一周上证上涨 2.11%,电子上涨 1.65%,子行业中消费电子上涨 4.27%,元件下跌 1.59%。 同期恒生科技、费城半导体、台湾资讯科技上涨 1.17%、2.72%、2.90%。近 期在北美算力强势上涨的带动下,相关映射链条成为主要情绪拉动点,尤其 是受益于 ASIC 趋势下网络架构的变化而带来显著增量的交换机及服务器产 业链。一方面,供应链近期陆续上修 2026 年英伟达 GB 系列产品出货预 期,算力链业绩高增长趋势再强化;另一方面,台积电预计 AI 需求持 续强劲,非 AI 需求温和复苏,将年收入增速预期由 25%左右上调到 30% 左右;与此同时,中芯、华虹 2Q25 稼动率趋近饱和,订单需求展望乐 观,佐证半导体高景气延续。建议关注基本面趋势逐季强化、有较强品类 扩张及国产替代预期的模拟 IC 及存储模组。当下时点仍坚定看好 25 年电子 板块在"宏观政策周期、产业库存周期、AI 创新周期"共振下的"估值扩张" 行情,坚定推 ...